Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sun 3 May 2026 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Cuypers 16' 1–0
1–1 24' Evander
Hugo Cuypers 28' 2–1
2–2 31' Evander
2–3 90+7' Evander pen

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati — MLS at Soldier Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Joe Dickerson
  • Assistant 1 Cameron Blanchard (USA)
  • Assistant 2 Logan Brown
8 games this season 🟨 3.4/game ⚽ 14.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 5–0 W
18 Apr FC Cincinnati A 3–3 D
12 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Nashville SC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC FC Cincinnati
#5 Position #9
42 Points 33
26 Played 26
12 / 6 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 9 / 9
46 Scored 55
38 Conceded 64
+8 GD -9
1.62 PPG 1.27
46% Win % 31%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
31% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 5th (42 pts). FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/8
46-60
4/6
61-75
8/–
76+
3/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie 8 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A
FC Cincinnati
Kevin Denkey 14 G 1 A
Evander 13 G 7 A
Tom Barlow 7 G 2 A
Pavel Bucha 6 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Chicago Fire FC get us underway at Soldier Field.
  • 5' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 10' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 15' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 16' Brilliant from the ! Hugo Cuypers makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 16.
  • 21' Chicago Fire FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 24' What an equalizer from Evander!
  • 28' Hugo Cuypers with the second goal in the match!
  • 31' Evander doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 36' The home supporters are growing impatient. Chicago Fire FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 41' Maren Haile-Selassie has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 7 goals this season.
  • 46' The energy levels are beginning to show. Gregg Berhalter might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' Kyle Smith has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 56.
  • 61' Supporters expect more eagerness from Kyle Smith, as he is very good at scoring at Soldier Field with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 66' The 26-year-old Roman Celentano has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 68' The referee shows FC Cincinnati player a card on 68.
  • 73' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 78' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
  • 83' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 88' It looks surprising Chicago Fire FC does not make any changes. Gerardo Valenzuela has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Ayoub Lajhar is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • With this win, FC Cincinnati is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.74 Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.95 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 79%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC49% Draw22% FC Cincinnati29%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes79% 0% No21%
Avg goals/match: 4.69
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 83%
17%
± 3.5 67%
33%
± 4.5 49%
51%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw
71%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
51%
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC42% Draw34% FC Cincinnati24%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.7%
1 – 1
5.6%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
Actual
4 – 1
4.1%
4 – 2
3.9%
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap Chicago Fire FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 15% 64%
-1.5 36% — 64%
-1 36% 18% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 13% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.