Saturday , 12 September 2026

Chicago Fire FC vs FC Cincinnati, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sun 3 May 2026 · 00:30 UTC Soldier Field HT 45' · FT 45'
Hugo Cuypers 16' 1–0
1–1 24' Evander
Hugo Cuypers 28' 2–1
2–2 31' Evander
2–3 90+7' Evander pen

Overview

Match Preview

Chicago Fire FC vs FC CincinnatiMLS at Soldier Field.

Match Details

  • Referee Joe Dickerson
  • Assistant 1 Cameron Blanchard (USA)
  • Assistant 2 Logan Brown
8 games this season 🟨 3.4/game 14.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May FC Cincinnati H 2–3 L
26 Apr Sporting Kansas City H 5–0 W
18 Apr FC Cincinnati A 3–3 D
12 Apr Atlanta United FC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Nashville SC H 1–0 W
21 Mar Philadelphia Union A 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 May Chicago Fire FC A 3–2 W
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L

Season Stats

Chicago Fire FC FC Cincinnati
#4 Position #6
39 Points 31
23 Played 23
11 / 6 / 6 W / D / L 8 / 7 / 8
44 Scored 49
33 Conceded 56
+11 GD -7
1.70 PPG 1.35
48% Win % 35%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
Chicago Fire FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season

Chicago Fire FC are 4th (39 pts). FC Cincinnati are 6th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
0-15
7/2
16-30
7/5
31-45
3/6
46-60
3/5
61-75
7/
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Cincinnati
0-15
3/2
16-30
5/7
31-45
9/8
46-60
4/9
61-75
2/2
76+
11/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chicago Fire FC
Hugo Cuypers 11 G
Maren Haile-Selassie 7 G 3 A
Philip Zinckernagel 5 G 4 A
FC Cincinnati
Evander 13 G 7 A
Kevin Denkey 11 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 6 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' In just a few seconds Soldier Field will turn into a battlefield for Chicago Fire FC and FC Cincinnati.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Gregg Berhalter will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with FC Cincinnati winning 50% of all matches.
  • 15' FC Cincinnati fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 16' Against the run of play, Hugo Cuypers has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 21' Evander has been relatively quiet despite scoring 58 goals in his last 292 appearances.
  • 24' Evander has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 24 minutes.
  • 28' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Hugo Cuypers makes it 2-1.
  • 31' Evander makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and FC Cincinnati are in front.
  • 36' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Chicago Fire FC and FC Cincinnati are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 41' Chicago Fire FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 46' Kyle Smith needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 51' Chicago Fire FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' It’s a booking for FC Cincinnati player. Kyle Smith gets a card.
  • 61' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 66' FC Cincinnati are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kevin Denkey.
  • 73' Maren Haile-Selassie is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Chicago Fire FC so far.
  • 78' FC Cincinnati are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 83' Philip Zinckernagel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chicago Fire FC tonight.
  • 88' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 90' Controversy at the stadium! Ayoub Lajhar argues furiously but the card stands.
  • FC Cincinnati celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.85 Chicago Fire FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94 FC Cincinnati xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 84% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC50% Draw22% FC Cincinnati28%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 84%
16%
± 3.5 69%
31%
± 4.5 51%
49%

Double Chance

Chicago Fire FC or Draw
72%
Draw or FC Cincinnati
50%
Chicago Fire FC or FC Cincinnati
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chicago Fire FC44% Draw33% FC Cincinnati23%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.2%
3 – 1
6%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
5.3%
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 1
4.3%
4 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
Actual
3 – 3
3.7%
2 – 0
3.6%
3 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Chicago Fire FC

Handicap Chicago Fire FC covers Push FC Cincinnati covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 16% 62%
-1.5 38% 62%
-1 38% 18% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 12% 13%
+1.5 87% 13%
+2 87% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% 6%

Clean Sheet

Chicago Fire FC keeps clean sheet
15%
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.