Sunday , 13 September 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red BullsMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Fotis Bazakos
9 games this season 🟨 2.7/game 11.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
22 Apr D.C. United SC H 4–4 D
18 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D
04 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–2 W
21 Mar Charlotte FC A 1–6 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati New York Red Bulls
#8 Position #10
32 Points 30
24 Played 25
8 / 8 / 8 W / D / L 8 / 6 / 11
52 Scored 33
59 Conceded 48
-7 GD -15
1.33 PPG 1.20
33% Win % 32%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 8th (32 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/8
31-45
9/8
46-60
5/10
61-75
2/2
76+
12/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
Evander 13 G 7 A
Kevin Denkey 11 G 1 A
Tom Barlow 6 G 1 A
New York Red Bulls
Julian Hall 9 G 2 A
Jorge Ruvalcaba 7 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati58% Draw20% New York Red Bulls22%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes75% 0% No25%
Avg goals/match: 4.39
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 62%
38%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
42%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati45% Draw35% New York Red Bulls20%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 23% 77%
-2 23% 17% 60%
-1.5 40% 60%
-1 40% 19% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 12% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 6% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
7%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.