FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 26 games · 33 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
9 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 27 | 46 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | Charlotte FC | 27 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 26 | 42 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 27 | 39 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 27 | 34 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 27 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 26 | 33 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 33 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 26 | 30 |
| 12 | Columbus Crew SC | 27 | 29 |
| 13 | Toronto FC | 27 | 29 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 27 | 27 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 27 | 24 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 26 | 50 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 27 | 47 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | 45 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 26 | 44 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 44 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 28 | 41 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 27 | 36 |
| 23 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 28 | 36 |
| 24 | Seattle Sounders FC | 26 | 35 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 27 | 32 |
| 26 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 32 |
| 27 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 32 |
| 28 | Austin FC | 27 | 31 |
| 29 | Minnesota United FC | 27 | 29 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #10 |
| 33 | Points | 33 |
| 26 | Played | 26 |
| 8 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 9 / 6 / 11 |
| 55 | Scored | 34 |
| 64 | Conceded | 48 |
| -9 | GD | -14 |
| 1.27 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 31% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
23%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 9th (33 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (33 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/9
31-45
9/9
46-60
5/11
61-75
4/4
76+
13/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
5/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 14 G | 1 A |
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Tom Barlow | 7 G | 2 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 10 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. FC Cincinnati is hosting New York Red Bulls for another epic battle.
- 5' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 10' A quiet spell here at TQL Stadium. FC Cincinnati seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 15' Gerardo Valenzuela needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 4 Yellow cards this season.
- 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joyeux Masanka Bungi.
- 23' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 28' Gustav Berggren, a Sweden , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 31' Poor challenge from Bryan Ramirez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 36' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' Kevin Denkey puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 45' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 46' Matthew Dos Santos is ready to make an impact after coming on for Joyeux Masanka Bungi at the 46 minute mark.
- 50' Goal! Kevin Denkey scores his 82 goal in 190 matches.
- 55' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 60' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 61' Tom Barlow gets the nod from FC Cincinnati. He replaces Kenji Mboma and will look to change the dynamic.
- 62' Fresh legs for New York Red Bulls! Emil Forsberg comes on to replace Gustav Berggren.
- 67' FC Cincinnati is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 72' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 73' The crowd applauds Cade Cowell as he leaves the pitch. Rafael Mosquera steps in for New York Red Bulls.
- 78' A moment of madness from Adri Mehmeti on 78 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
- 79' The crowd applauds Bryan Ramirez as he leaves the pitch. Ayoub Lajhar steps in for FC Cincinnati.
- 84' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 84 minutes.
- 85' The New York Red Bulls bench stirs into life. Ronald Donkor is withdrawn and Nehuen Benedetti gets his opportunity.
- 89' The whistle greets Kyle Smith as he departs to be replaced by Gilberto Flores.
- Full Time. FC Cincinnati beats New York Red Bulls
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Ender Echenique 61'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 79'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Gilberto Flores 89'
- 27
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 61'
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Ayoub Lajhar 79'
- 88
Bench
- 13
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 61'
- 37
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 79'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 89'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 61'
-
55
Ayoub Lajhar ↑ 79'
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 26
-
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Emil Forsberg 62'
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Rafael Mosquera 73'
- 12
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Jorge Ruvalcaba 62'
- 15
- 23
Bench
- 13
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 62'
- 77
- 6
- 20
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↑ 62'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 85'
-
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↑ 46'
-
79
Rafael Mosquera ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
| Kaku | 2 |
| Omir Fernandez | 2 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-25
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-22
New York Red Bulls
4–4
D.C. United SC
D
2026-04-18
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-11
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.63
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.64
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 74%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.27
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
43%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 1
6.8%
3 – 1
6.7%
2 – 2
6.3%
3 – 2
5.4%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.9%
4 – 1
4.4%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.6%
1 – 0
3.4%
2 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 17% | 62% |
| -1.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| -1 | 38% | 19% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

