Thursday , 2 July 2026

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON

MLS · 2026
Sat 25 Apr 2026 · 23:30 UTC TQL Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Cincinnati vs New York Red BullsMLS at TQL Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Fotis Bazakos
7 games this season 🟨 2.4/game 11.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr New York Red Bulls H 2–0 W
22 Apr New York City FC A 4–4 D
18 Apr Chicago Fire FC H 3–3 D
11 Apr Toronto FC A 1–1 D
04 Apr New York Red Bulls A 2–4 L
22 Mar Montreal Impact FC H 4–3 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr FC Cincinnati A 0–2 L
22 Apr D.C. United SC H 4–4 D
18 Apr Montreal Impact FC A 1–4 L
11 Apr Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D
04 Apr FC Cincinnati H 4–2 W
21 Mar Charlotte FC A 1–6 L

Season Stats

FC Cincinnati New York Red Bulls
#7 Position #5
20 Points 22
15 Played 15
5 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 6 / 4 / 5
36 Scored 25
37 Conceded 32
-1 GD -7
1.33 PPG 1.47
33% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
39% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
20% Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season

FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to TQL Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls.
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 18' It’s gonna be a card for Joyeux Masanka Bungi.
  • 23' Kevin Denkey has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
  • 28' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 31' Bryan Ramirez is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
  • 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
  • 40' Kevin Denkey puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
  • 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 46' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Joyeux Masanka Bungi is replaced by Matthew Dos Santos on 46 minute.
  • 50' Goal! Kevin Denkey scores his 77 goal in 190 matches.
  • 55' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 61' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Kenji Mboma by Tom Barlow on 61 minute.
  • 62' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 62 minute. Gustav Berggren leaves to be changed by Emil Forsberg.
  • 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohammed Sofo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 72' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
  • 73' Rafael Mosquera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cade Cowell on 73 minute.
  • 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Adri Mehmeti.
  • 79' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 79 minute. Bryan Ramirez leaves to be changed by Ayoub Lajhar.
  • 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
  • 85' Nehuen Benedetti is replacing Ronald Donkor for the New York Red Bulls side.
  • 89' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gilberto Flores is hanging Kyle Smith on the field on 89 minute.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New York Red Bulls.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.02 FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88 New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati59% Draw19% New York Red Bulls22%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.9
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 95%
5%
± 2.5 85%
15%
± 3.5 70%
30%
± 4.5 53%
47%

Double Chance

FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
41%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
FC Cincinnati46% Draw32% New York Red Bulls22%
Actual: FC Cincinnati win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
4.9%
4 – 1
4.7%
4 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%

Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati

Handicap FC Cincinnati covers Push New York Red Bulls covers
-2.5 25% 75%
-2 25% 17% 59%
-1.5 41% 59%
-1 41% 18% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 11% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
6%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.