FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 34 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 34 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
11 games this season
🟨 3.1/game
⚽ 11.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 77 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 34 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 34 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew SC | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 46 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 46 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 34 | 42 |
| 11 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 34 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 34 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 34 | 64 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 34 | 58 |
| 18 | St. Louis City | 34 | 54 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 52 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 47 |
| 22 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 46 |
| 23 | Seattle Sounders FC | 34 | 46 |
| 24 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 45 |
| 25 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 44 |
| 26 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 44 |
| 27 | Colorado Rapids SC | 34 | 43 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 34 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 34 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #11 |
| 46 | Points | 42 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 12 / 10 / 12 | W / D / L | 12 / 6 / 16 |
| 67 | Scored | 48 |
| 75 | Conceded | 62 |
| -8 | GD | -14 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.24 |
| 35% | Win % | 35% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
24%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (46 pts). New York Red Bulls are 11th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
6/3
16-30
5/11
31-45
10/11
46-60
8/13
61-75
6/7
76+
17/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
7/7
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/7
46-60
7/10
61-75
4/6
76+
8/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Kevin Denkey | 17 G | 2 A |
| Evander | 14 G | 13 A |
| Tom Barlow | 10 G | 4 A |
| Pavel Bucha | 6 G | 3 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 13 G | 3 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 8 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at TQL Stadium!
- 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
- 10' Roman Celentano needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 18' Joyeux Masanka Bungi is having his name booked by the referee on 18.
- 23' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 28' Emil Forsberg has been relatively quiet despite scoring 83 goals in his last 108 appearances.
- 31' The referee calls foul for Bryan Ramirez. He receives a card.
- 36' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dylan Nealis suffering a number of foals already.
- 40' GOAL! Kevin Denkey fires home to make it 1-0!
- 45' New York Red Bulls seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 46' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Joyeux Masanka Bungi is replaced by Matthew Dos Santos.
- 50' The Togo Kevin Denkey breaks the deadlock on 45 minutes. 2-0!
- 55' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' Tom Barlow is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kenji Mboma at the 61 minute mark.
- 62' The crowd applauds Gustav Berggren as he leaves the pitch. Emil Forsberg steps in for New York Red Bulls.
- 67' The 18-year-old Andrei Chirila has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 72' Brian Anunga has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 30 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 73' A change in the New York Red Bulls ranks — Cade Cowell exits the field as Rafael Mosquera enters on 73.
- 78' A meaty challenge results in booking for Adri Mehmeti on 78.
- 79' Ayoub Lajhar is replacing Bryan Ramirez for the FC Cincinnati side.
- 84' New York Red Bulls looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Emil Forsberg scoring 1 goals.
- 85' The supporters are chanting for Nehuen Benedetti. He replaces Ronald Donkor on 85 minute.
- 89' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 89 minute. Kyle Smith leaves to be changed by Gilberto Flores.
- The points are shared — FC Cincinnati 2-0 New York Red Bulls. Honours even.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Ender Echenique 61'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 79'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Gilberto Flores 89'
- 27
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 61'
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Ayoub Lajhar 79'
- 88
Bench
- 13
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 61'
- 37
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 79'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 89'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 61'
-
55
Ayoub Lajhar ↑ 79'
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 26
-
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Emil Forsberg 62'
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Rafael Mosquera 73'
- 12
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Jorge Ruvalcaba 62'
- 15
- 23
Bench
- 13
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 62'
- 77
- 6
- 20
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↑ 62'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 85'
-
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↑ 46'
-
79
Rafael Mosquera ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-25
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-22
New York Red Bulls
4–4
D.C. United SC
D
2026-04-18
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-11
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.51
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 76% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.11
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 2.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 3.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 4.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
77%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
44%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 1
7.4%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
4 – 1
4.2%
1 – 0
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
4 – 2
3.3%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 20% | — | 80% |
| -2 | 20% | 16% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 19% | 44% |
| -0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

