FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 15 games · 20 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 15 games · 22 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
7 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 11.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 15 | 31 |
| 3 | Chicago Fire FC | 14 | 26 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 14 | 25 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls | 15 | 22 |
| 6 | Charlotte FC | 15 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 15 | 20 |
| 8 | New York City FC | 15 | 19 |
| 9 | D.C. United SC | 15 | 18 |
| 10 | Columbus Crew SC | 15 | 16 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 14 | 14 |
| 12 | Montreal Impact FC | 14 | 14 |
| 13 | Orlando City SC | 15 | 14 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 14 | 11 |
| 15 | Philadelphia Union | 15 | 7 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 14 | 32 |
| 17 | San Jose Earthquakes | 15 | 32 |
| 18 | Real Salt Lake | 14 | 26 |
| 19 | FC Dallas | 15 | 25 |
| 20 | Los Angeles FC | 15 | 24 |
| 21 | Seattle Sounders FC | 13 | 24 |
| 22 | Houston Dynamo | 14 | 22 |
| 23 | Minnesota United FC | 15 | 22 |
| 24 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 15 | 20 |
| 25 | San Diego FC | 15 | 17 |
| 26 | Colorado Rapids SC | 15 | 16 |
| 27 | St. Louis City | 14 | 16 |
| 28 | Portland Timbers | 14 | 14 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 15 | 14 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 14 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #5 |
| 20 | Points | 22 |
| 15 | Played | 15 |
| 5 / 5 / 5 | W / D / L | 6 / 4 / 5 |
| 36 | Scored | 25 |
| 37 | Conceded | 32 |
| -1 | GD | -7 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.47 |
| 33% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 7th (20 pts). New York Red Bulls are 5th (22 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/5
31-45
7/3
46-60
3/4
61-75
2/1
76+
8/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
5/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
1/2
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to TQL Stadium that hosts another battle between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. FC Cincinnati is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 15' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 18' It’s gonna be a card for Joyeux Masanka Bungi.
- 23' Kevin Denkey has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 5 goals this season.
- 28' The travelling New York Red Bulls supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 31' Bryan Ramirez is having his name booked by the referee on 31.
- 36' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with New York Red Bulls winning 50% of all matches.
- 40' Kevin Denkey puts FC Cincinnati on the lead.
- 45' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 46' It is a substitution in New York Red Bulls team. Joyeux Masanka Bungi is replaced by Matthew Dos Santos on 46 minute.
- 50' Goal! Kevin Denkey scores his 77 goal in 190 matches.
- 55' FC Cincinnati is showing some good football. However, FC Cincinnati are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 60' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' Another substitution for FC Cincinnati to replace Kenji Mboma by Tom Barlow on 61 minute.
- 62' Another change for New York Red Bulls made on 62 minute. Gustav Berggren leaves to be changed by Emil Forsberg.
- 67' Supporters expect more eagerness from Mohammed Sofo, as he is very good at scoring at TQL Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 72' New York Red Bulls started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 72.
- 73' Rafael Mosquera has so much to prove this time. He replaces Cade Cowell on 73 minute.
- 78' That looks like a foul for a card for Adri Mehmeti.
- 79' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 79 minute. Bryan Ramirez leaves to be changed by Ayoub Lajhar.
- 84' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering FC Cincinnati that had 245 games and scored 352 goals.
- 85' Nehuen Benedetti is replacing Ronald Donkor for the New York Red Bulls side.
- 89' FC Cincinnati manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Gilberto Flores is hanging Kyle Smith on the field on 89 minute.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for New York Red Bulls.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Ender Echenique 61'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 79'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Gilberto Flores 89'
- 27
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 61'
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Ayoub Lajhar 79'
- 88
Bench
- 13
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 61'
- 37
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 79'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 89'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 61'
-
55
Ayoub Lajhar ↑ 79'
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 26
-
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Emil Forsberg 62'
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Rafael Mosquera 73'
- 12
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Jorge Ruvalcaba 62'
- 15
- 23
Bench
- 13
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 62'
- 77
- 6
- 20
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↑ 62'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 85'
-
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↑ 46'
-
79
Rafael Mosquera ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-25
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-22
New York Red Bulls
4–4
D.C. United SC
D
2026-04-18
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-11
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
3.02
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.88
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 85% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.9
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 95% |
|
5% |
| ± 2.5 | 85% |
|
15% |
| ± 3.5 | 70% |
|
30% |
| ± 4.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
41%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
81%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 2
5.8%
1 – 1
4.9%
4 – 1
4.7%
4 – 2
4.4%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 3
3.6%
2 – 0
Actual
3 – 3
3.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 17% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 18% | 40% |
| -0.5 | 60% | — | 40% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 11% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 7% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
16%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
6%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

