FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
FC Cincinnati vs New York Red Bulls — MLS at TQL Stadium.
- FC Cincinnati 24 games · 32 pts (2026/26)
- New York Red Bulls 25 games · 30 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Fotis Bazakos
9 games this season
🟨 2.7/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 25 | 54 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 25 | 45 |
| 3 | Charlotte FC | 25 | 40 |
| 4 | New England Revolution | 24 | 40 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire FC | 23 | 39 |
| 6 | Orlando City SC | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | New York City FC | 25 | 32 |
| 8 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 32 |
| 9 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 30 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 25 | 30 |
| 11 | D.C. United SC | 24 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 25 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew SC | 25 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 25 | 23 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 25 | 21 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 23 | 46 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 25 | 43 |
| 18 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 43 |
| 19 | San Jose Earthquakes | 25 | 41 |
| 20 | St. Louis City | 25 | 41 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 26 | 40 |
| 22 | Colorado Rapids SC | 25 | 35 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 25 | 32 |
| 24 | San Diego FC | 24 | 30 |
| 25 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 26 | 30 |
| 26 | Real Salt Lake | 24 | 29 |
| 27 | Minnesota United FC | 25 | 29 |
| 28 | Seattle Sounders FC | 23 | 28 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 24 | 26 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 24 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | New York Red Bulls | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Apr | New York City FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Chicago Fire FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 11 Apr | Toronto FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 04 Apr | New York Red Bulls | A | 2–4 | L |
| 22 Mar | Montreal Impact FC | H | 4–3 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | FC Cincinnati | A | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Apr | D.C. United SC | H | 4–4 | D |
| 18 Apr | Montreal Impact FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 11 Apr | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FC Cincinnati | H | 4–2 | W |
| 21 Mar | Charlotte FC | A | 1–6 | L |
Season Stats
| FC Cincinnati | New York Red Bulls | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #10 |
| 32 | Points | 30 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 8 / 8 / 8 | W / D / L | 8 / 6 / 11 |
| 52 | Scored | 33 |
| 59 | Conceded | 48 |
| -7 | GD | -15 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 33% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
39%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
FC Cincinnati this season
FC Cincinnati this season
20%
Clean Sheets
New York Red Bulls this season
New York Red Bulls this season
FC Cincinnati are 8th (32 pts). New York Red Bulls are 10th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
0-15
4/3
16-30
5/8
31-45
9/8
46-60
5/10
61-75
2/2
76+
12/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
New York Red Bulls
0-15
6/4
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/6
46-60
4/8
61-75
2/6
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
FC Cincinnati
| Evander | 13 G | 7 A |
| Kevin Denkey | 11 G | 1 A |
| Tom Barlow | 6 G | 1 A |
New York Red Bulls
| Julian Hall | 9 G | 2 A |
| Jorge Ruvalcaba | 7 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls get this one started.
- 5' Andrei Chirila has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 10' With 1 assists to his name this season, Adri Mehmeti is clearly more than just a goal scorer for FC Cincinnati.
- 15' FC Cincinnati seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 18' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Joyeux Masanka Bungi.
- 23' New York Red Bulls are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 28' Kevin Denkey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 27 Yellow cards this season.
- 31' FC Cincinnati player sees a card in front of him.
- 36' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 40' Kevin Denkey is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 7 goals this season for the .
- 45' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 45 minutes.
- 46' The New York Red Bulls manager makes a substitution. Joyeux Masanka Bungi departs to be replaced by Matthew Dos Santos.
- 50' Kevin Denkey has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
- 55' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. will be considering his options from the bench.
- 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 61' Another change for FC Cincinnati made on 61 minute. Kenji Mboma leaves to be changed by Tom Barlow.
- 62' Time for substitution for New York Red Bulls. Gustav Berggren is replaced by Emil Forsberg.
- 67' New York Red Bulls are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 72' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 73' A tactical swap from New York Red Bulls — Rafael Mosquera on, Cade Cowell off on 73 minutes.
- 78' A moment of madness from Adri Mehmeti on 78 minutes earns him a card. New York Red Bulls will be frustrated.
- 79' The FC Cincinnati bench stirs into life. Bryan Ramirez is withdrawn and Ayoub Lajhar gets his opportunity.
- 84' New York Red Bulls is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 85' The crowd applauds Ronald Donkor as he leaves the pitch. Nehuen Benedetti steps in for New York Red Bulls.
- 89' A change in the FC Cincinnati ranks — Kyle Smith exits the field as Gilberto Flores enters on 89.
- New York Red Bulls will have plenty to reflect on. FC Cincinnati were simply the better side today.
Lineups
FC Cincinnati Lineups
Starting XI
- 10
-
20
Pavel Bucha ↓ Ender Echenique 61'
-
9
Kevin Denkey ↓ Ayoub Jabbari 79'
-
24
Kyle Smith ↓ Gilberto Flores 89'
- 27
- 18
- 22
-
17
Kenji Mboma ↓ Tom Barlow 61'
- 11
-
29
Bryan Ramirez ↓ Ayoub Lajhar 79'
- 88
Bench
- 13
-
16
Tom Barlow ↑ 61'
- 37
- 93
-
99
Ayoub Jabbari ↑ 79'
- 19
-
3
Gilberto Flores ↑ 89'
-
66
Ender Echenique ↑ 61'
-
55
Ayoub Lajhar ↑ 79'
New York Red Bulls Lineups
Starting XI
- 34
- 26
-
4
Gustav Berggren ↓ Emil Forsberg 62'
-
7
Cade Cowell ↓ Rafael Mosquera 73'
- 12
- 3
- 48
- 16
-
37
Mohammed Sofo ↓ Jorge Ruvalcaba 62'
- 15
- 23
Bench
- 13
-
10
Emil Forsberg ↑ 62'
- 77
- 6
- 20
-
11
Jorge Ruvalcaba ↑ 62'
-
39
Nehuen Benedetti ↑ 85'
-
56
Matthew Dos Santos ↑ 46'
-
79
Rafael Mosquera ↑ 73'
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Kevin Denkey | 4 |
| Lewis Morgan | 3 |
| Luciano Acosta | 2 |
| Matt Miazga | 2 |
| Kyle Duncan | 2 |
| Florian Valot | 2 |
| Yuya Kubo | 2 |
| Frankie Amaya | 2 |
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati Form
New York Red Bulls Form
2026-04-25
FC Cincinnati
2–0
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-22
New York Red Bulls
4–4
D.C. United SC
D
2026-04-18
Montreal Impact FC
4–1
New York Red Bulls
L
2026-04-11
Internacional CF Miami
2–2
New York Red Bulls
D
2026-04-04
New York Red Bulls
4–2
FC Cincinnati
W
2026-03-21
Charlotte FC
6–1
New York Red Bulls
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.73
FC Cincinnati xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.66
New York Red Bulls xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 80% + Both teams to score 75%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.39
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 62% |
|
38% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
FC Cincinnati or Draw
78%
Draw or New York Red Bulls
42%
FC Cincinnati or New York Red Bulls
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: FC Cincinnati win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
6.7%
1 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
6.1%
3 – 2
5.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.7%
4 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.2%
4 – 2
3.8%
2 – 3
3.4%
1 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — FC Cincinnati
| Handicap | FC Cincinnati covers | Push | New York Red Bulls covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -2 | 23% | 17% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 19% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 78% | — | 22% |
| +1 | 78% | 12% | 11% |
| +1.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
| +2 | 89% | 6% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
FC Cincinnati keeps clean sheet
20%
✗
New York Red Bulls keeps clean sheet
7%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

