Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
- Assistant 2 Makoto Bozono (Japan)
6 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 12.0 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 3–2 | W |
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–6 | L |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 2–3 | L |
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 48 | Scored | 25 |
| 38 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 61% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Cerezo Osaka FC kicks off things out of here…
- 5' Riku Yamada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dion Cools made 351 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 25' Goal! Ryogo Yamasaki scores his 21 goal in 418 matches.
- 28' Goal! Thiago Andrade scores his 9 goal in 286 matches.
- 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
- 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yumeki Yokoyama, as he is very good at scoring at Yodoko Sakura Stadium with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
- 43' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 48' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 53' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 58' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 63' What a strike from Shunta Tanaka! The score is 2-1.
- 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Go Hatano suffering a number of foals already.
- 72' GOAL! Matheus Jesus scores on 72.
- 77' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 86' V-Varen Nagasaki receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
- 90' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Kosuke Nakamura gets a card.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cerezo Osaka FC players.
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 27
- 44
- 23
- 13
- 10
- 11
- 4
- 18
- 16
- 48
- 14
Bench
- 8
- 6
- 2
- 5
- 7
- 3
- 21
- 19
- 9
Coach
Arthur Papas
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 23
- 18
- 5
- 13
- 48
- 24
- 41
- 11
- 3
Bench
- 10
- 9
- 21
- 25
- 1
- 17
- 6
- 34
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 1 |
| Kota Mizunuma | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matheus Jesus | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-05-09
Cerezo Osaka FC
3–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2026-05-03
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
81%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
39%
Cerezo Osaka FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
80%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

