Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 9 May 2026 · 07:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Ryogo Yamasaki pen
Thiago Andrade 28' 1–1
Shunta Tanaka 63' 2–1
2–2 72' Matheus Jesus
Shinji Kagawa pen 90+4' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen NagasakiJ. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2 Makoto Bozono (Japan)
6 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 12.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May V-Varen Nagasaki H 3–2 W
06 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–6 L
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
29 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
18 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–3 L
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC V-Varen Nagasaki
#2 Position #9
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
48 Scored 25
38 Conceded 33
+10 GD -8
1.72 PPG 1.17
61% Win % 39%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Cerezo Osaka FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' Riku Yamada has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Cerezo Osaka FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 20' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dion Cools made 351 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 25' Goal! Ryogo Yamasaki scores his 21 goal in 418 matches.
  • 28' Goal! Thiago Andrade scores his 9 goal in 286 matches.
  • 33' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
  • 38' Supporters expect more eagerness from Yumeki Yokoyama, as he is very good at scoring at Yodoko Sakura Stadium with 2 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 43' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 48' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 53' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 58' It looks like no one’s ball. V-Varen Nagasaki is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 63' What a strike from Shunta Tanaka! The score is 2-1.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Go Hatano suffering a number of foals already.
  • 72' GOAL! Matheus Jesus scores on 72.
  • 77' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 82' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 86' V-Varen Nagasaki receives a card for a hard tackle on 86.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Cerezo Osaka FC player. Kosuke Nakamura gets a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Cerezo Osaka FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC61% Draw20% V-Varen Nagasaki19%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
81%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
39%
Cerezo Osaka FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC47% Draw36% V-Varen Nagasaki17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
27%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.