V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| -8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
H2H (2 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 10' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 15' V-Varen Nagasaki looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Thiago Santana scoring 1 goals.
- 19' What a strike from Yuto Iwasaki! The score is 1-0.
- 24' V-Varen Nagasaki started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
- 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 34' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 37' The referee calls foul for Noah Browne. He receives a card.
- 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 43' GOAL! Thiago Santana scores on 43.
- 48' It’s high time Takuya Takagi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 50' Goal! Werik scores his 7 goal in 250 matches.
- 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Motoki Hasegawa suffering a number of foals already.
- 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosuke Shirai made 381 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 70' Hayato Teruyama has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
- 80' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' It’s a booking for V-Varen Nagasaki player. Motoki Hasegawa gets a card.
- The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 9
- 21
- 13
- 8
- 17
- 48
- 24
- 41
- 3
Bench
- 23
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 25
- 1
- 11
- 34
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 18
- 51
- 22
- 48
- 8
- 28
- 6
- 98
- 5
- 45
Bench
- 7
- 66
- 88
- 26
- 27
- 99
- 4
- 9
- 52
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 1 |
| Werik | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2026-05-03
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyoto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

