V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| -8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
15%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
1/5
16-30
–/–
31-45
4/4
46-60
4/4
61-75
1/3
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Thiago Santana | 5 G | |
| Kenshin Yasuda | 5 G | |
| Matheus Jesus | 4 G | 2 A |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' V-Varen Nagasaki have kicked off against Fagiano Okayama FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Ataru Esaka has been relatively quiet despite scoring 47 goals in his last 421 appearances.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Eduardo, a Brazil midfielder, has 18 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 19' Yuto Iwasaki is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 24' Kazunari Ichimi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 29' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takuya Takagi might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 34' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His V-Varen Nagasaki side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 37' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Noah Browne.
- 42' Fagiano Okayama FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Lucao scoring 1 goals.
- 43' Thiago Santana adds to his 2 season tally! V-Varen Nagasaki lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 48' Hayato Teruyama is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for V-Varen Nagasaki so far.
- 50' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Werik makes no mistake. 2-1!
- 55' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Noah Browne made 66 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 60' The 24-year-old Hiroshi Omori has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 65' Over 65 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 70' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 70.
- 75' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 80' Daichi Tagami needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 85' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Motoki Hasegawa.
- Full Time. V-Varen Nagasaki beats Fagiano Okayama FC
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 9
- 21
- 13
- 8
- 17
- 48
- 24
- 41
- 3
Bench
- 23
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 25
- 1
- 11
- 34
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 18
- 51
- 22
- 48
- 8
- 28
- 6
- 98
- 5
- 45
Bench
- 7
- 66
- 88
- 26
- 27
- 99
- 4
- 9
- 52
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 1 |
| Werik | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2026-05-03
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

