Sunday , 16 August 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 6 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank 19,802 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuto Iwasaki 19' 1–0
Thiago Santana 43' 2–0
2–1 50' Werik
Y 37' Noah Browne
Y 90' Lucao

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FCJ. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

Match Details

  • Referee Ming Fu
  • Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka

Head-to-Head

2
1
V-Varen Nagasaki 3 games · Avg 1.7 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
11 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–2 L
02 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
25 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Apr Gamba Osaka A 5–6 L
11 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–5 L

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Fagiano Okayama FC
#9 Position #6
21 Points 26
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
25 Scored 41
33 Conceded 46
-8 GD -5
1.17 PPG 1.44
39% Win % 44%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
100% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
/
46-60
1/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank that hosts another battle between V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC.
  • 5' Supporters expect more eagerness from Thiago Santana, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 10' A quiet spell here at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 15' V-Varen Nagasaki has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 19' GOAL! Yuto Iwasaki scores on 19. Assisted by Go Hatano
  • 24' Masahiro Sekiguchi, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 29' Kosei Ogura has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 56 appearances.
  • 34' V-Varen Nagasaki is showing some good football. However, V-Varen Nagasaki are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 37' Noah Browne is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 42' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 43' Thiago Santana doubles the advantage! 2-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 48' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 48 minutes.
  • 50' GOAL! Werik scores on 50.
  • 55' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 60' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 65' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 70' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 75' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Kosuke Shirai suffering a number of foals already.
  • 80' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 85' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 90' V-Varen Nagasaki receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki49% Draw22% Fagiano Okayama FC29%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki36% Draw38% Fagiano Okayama FC26%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.