Thursday , 2 July 2026

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Wed 6 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank 19,802 HT 45' · FT 45'
Yuto Iwasaki 19' 1–0
Thiago Santana 43' 2–0
2–1 50' Werik
Y 37' Noah Browne
Y 90' Lucao

Overview

Match Preview

V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FCJ. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.

Match Details

  • Referee Ming Fu
  • Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
  • Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka

Head-to-Head

2
V-Varen Nagasaki 2 games · Avg 2.0 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L
11 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May V-Varen Nagasaki A 1–2 L
02 May Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 1–0 W
29 Apr Nagoya Grampus A 1–1 D
25 Apr Avispa Fukuoka H 2–0 W
19 Apr Gamba Osaka A 5–6 L
11 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC A 1–5 L

Season Stats

V-Varen Nagasaki Fagiano Okayama FC
#9 Position #6
21 Points 26
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
25 Scored 41
33 Conceded 46
-8 GD -5
1.17 PPG 1.44
39% Win % 44%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
28% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. V-Varen Nagasaki needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 10' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 15' V-Varen Nagasaki looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Thiago Santana scoring 1 goals.
  • 19' What a strike from Yuto Iwasaki! The score is 1-0.
  • 24' V-Varen Nagasaki started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 29' It looks like no one’s ball. Fagiano Okayama FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 34' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 37' The referee calls foul for Noah Browne. He receives a card.
  • 42' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 43' GOAL! Thiago Santana scores on 43.
  • 48' It’s high time Takuya Takagi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 50' Goal! Werik scores his 7 goal in 250 matches.
  • 55' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Motoki Hasegawa suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Kosuke Shirai made 381 appearances and scored 7 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 70' Hayato Teruyama has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 75' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering V-Varen Nagasaki that had 188 games and scored 49 goals.
  • 80' Fagiano Okayama FC is showing some good football. However, Fagiano Okayama FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 90' It’s a booking for V-Varen Nagasaki player. Motoki Hasegawa gets a card.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Fagiano Okayama FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
V-Varen Nagasaki49% Draw22% Fagiano Okayama FC29%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes73% 0% No27%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
V-Varen Nagasaki36% Draw38% Fagiano Okayama FC26%
Actual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki

Handicap V-Varen Nagasaki covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 14% 86%
-2 14% 14% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 19% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 15% 16%
+1.5 84% 16%
+2 84% 9% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.