V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
V-Varen Nagasaki vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Ming Fu
- Assistant 1 Shingo Sakamoto (Japan)
- Assistant 2 Osamu Akasaka
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 03 May | Nagoya Grampus | H | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 2–1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Gamba Osaka | H | 6–7 | L |
| 18 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 1–2 | L |
| 02 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 5–6 | L |
| 11 Apr | Kyōto Sanga FC | A | 1–5 | L |
Season Stats
| V-Varen Nagasaki | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 25 | Scored | 41 |
| 33 | Conceded | 46 |
| -8 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
33%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
H2H (3 games)
33%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/4
61-75
–/1
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
V-Varen Nagasaki
| Matheus Jesus | 3 G |
| Thiago Santana | 3 G |
| Tenmu Matsumoto | 2 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — V-Varen Nagasaki and Fagiano Okayama FC get this one started.
- 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takashi Kiyama will be considering his options from the bench.
- 10' V-Varen Nagasaki started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
- 15' V-Varen Nagasaki seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 19' V-Varen Nagasaki is taking the lead after the goal scored by Yuto Iwasaki on 19.
- 24' Fagiano Okayama FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 29' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 34' Over 34 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 37' Noah Browne has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 37.
- 42' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kosei Ogura is clearly more than just a goal scorer for V-Varen Nagasaki.
- 43' Goal! Thiago Santana scores his 70 goal in 319 matches.
- 48' A quiet spell here at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-Varen Nagasaki seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 50' A stunning finish from Werik — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 55' Go Hatano is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fagiano Okayama FC tonight.
- 60' V-Varen Nagasaki currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 65' V-Varen Nagasaki is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ataru Esaka, as he is very good at scoring at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 75' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takashi Kiyama might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 80' It is a cagey affair so far. V-Varen Nagasaki in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact 3-4-2-1.
- 85' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Yugo Tatsuta suffering a number of foals already.
- 90' The referee shows V-Varen Nagasaki player a card on 90.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.
Lineups
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4
- 22
- 9
- 21
- 13
- 8
- 17
- 48
- 24
- 41
- 3
Bench
- 23
- 10
- 18
- 5
- 25
- 1
- 11
- 34
- 33
Coach
Takuya Takagi
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1
- 18
- 51
- 22
- 48
- 8
- 28
- 6
- 98
- 5
- 45
Bench
- 7
- 66
- 88
- 26
- 27
- 99
- 4
- 9
- 52
Coach
Takashi Kiyama
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Thiago Santana | 1 |
| Yuto Iwasaki | 1 |
| Werik | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2026-05-03
V-Varen Nagasaki
1–2
Nagoya Grampus
L
2026-04-29
Shimizu S-Pulse
1–2
V-Varen Nagasaki
W
2026-04-25
V-Varen Nagasaki
6–7
Gamba Osaka
L
2026-04-18
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
2026-04-11
Avispa Fukuoka
1–0
V-Varen Nagasaki
L
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2026-05-06
V-Varen Nagasaki
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-05-02
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2026-04-29
Nagoya Grampus
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2026-04-25
Fagiano Okayama FC
2–0
Avispa Fukuoka
W
2026-04-19
Gamba Osaka
6–5
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2026-04-11
Kyōto Sanga FC
5–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.15
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.77
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
V-Varen Nagasaki or Draw
71%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
51%
V-Varen Nagasaki or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: V-Varen Nagasaki win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.4%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 2
6.5%
3 – 1
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
4%
1 – 0
3.8%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 0
3.3%
0 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — V-Varen Nagasaki
| Handicap | V-Varen Nagasaki covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 14% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 19% | 54% |
| -0.5 | 46% | — | 54% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 15% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 9% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

