Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, 2018
Overview
Match Preview
Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki — J. League .
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- V-Varen Nagasaki 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Masaaki Toma
- Referee Takeshi Suhara
- Referee Hiroki Katsumata
- Referee Makoto Hibino
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 3–1 | W |
| 02 May | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | A | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Apr | Vegalta Sendai | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 02 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 28 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Jubilo Iwata | A | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Apr | Kashiwa Reysol | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Cerezo Osaka FC | V-Varen Nagasaki | |
|---|---|---|
| #2 | Position | #9 |
| 31 | Points | 21 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 11 / 0 / 7 | W / D / L | 7 / 0 / 11 |
| 48 | Scored | 25 |
| 38 | Conceded | 33 |
| +10 | GD | -8 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.17 |
| 61% | Win % | 39% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
17%
Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
V-Varen Nagasaki this season
Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
V-Varen Nagasaki
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for Cerezo Osaka FC and V-Varen Nagasaki.
- 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 10' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' V-Varen Nagasaki seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 20' Over 20 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 30' The travelling V-Varen Nagasaki supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with V-Varen Nagasaki winning 50% of all matches.
- 45' Hijiri Onaga has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 188 appearances.
- 50' V-Varen Nagasaki are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 55' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 55 minutes.
- 60' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 65' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 70' Supporters expect more eagerness from Ryota Takasugi, as he is very good at scoring at with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 75' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and V-Varen Nagasaki are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 80' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Takuya Takagi will be considering his options from the bench.
- 85' Keita Nakamura is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Cerezo Osaka FC tonight.
- 90' V-Varen Nagasaki have won 49 goals from 188 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- Full Time. Cerezo Osaka FC beats V-Varen Nagasaki
Lineups
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 6
- 23
-
2
Riku Matsuda ↓ Eiichi Katayama 90'
- 22
- 43
- 14
- 8
- 17
- 13
- 18
Bench
- 27
- 4
- 20
-
24
Kazuya Yamamura ↑ 73'
-
7
Kota Mizunuma ↑ 73'
- 32
-
16
Eiichi Katayama ↑ 90'
Coach
Yoon Junghwan
V-Varen Nagasaki Lineups
Starting XI
- 30
-
5
Daichi Tagami ↓ Choi Kyubaek 71'
- 4
- 32
- 20
-
3
Ryutaro Iio ↓ Ben Halloran 83'
- 28
- 27
- 17
- 19
-
11
Musashi Suzuki ↓ Juanma 58'
Bench
-
18
Ben Halloran ↑ 83'
- 1
-
39
Choi Kyubaek ↑ 71'
- 6
- 23
-
9
Juanma ↑ 58'
- 37
Coach
Takuya Takagi
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Yusuke Maruhashi | 2 |
| Matej Jonjic | 1 |
| Matheus Jesus | 1 |
| Keita Nakamura | 1 |
| Ryogo Yamasaki | 1 |
| Shinji Kagawa | 1 |
| Yoichiro Kakitani | 1 |
Head to Head
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
V-Varen Nagasaki Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.2
V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
82%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
39%
Cerezo Osaka FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
7.9%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 2
4.8%
3 – 2
4.3%
4 – 1
4.2%
0 – 0
4.2%
4 – 0
3.5%
Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC
| Handicap | Cerezo Osaka FC covers | Push | V-Varen Nagasaki covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 18% | 60% |
| -1.5 | 40% | — | 60% |
| -1 | 40% | 21% | 39% |
| -0.5 | 61% | — | 39% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
31%
✓
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

