Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 – 4
5 – 3 pen
Full Time
Wed 6 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 14,668 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Shunta Tanaka
Matheus Bueno pen 90' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Kohei Ando (Japan)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 6–4 W
02 May Kyōto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
05 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–6 L
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
29 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
18 Apr Kyōto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Cerezo Osaka FC
#7 Position #2
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
40 Scored 48
42 Conceded 38
-2 GD +10
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 61%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
43% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/4
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/2
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse
Se-hun Oh 2 G
Koya Kitagawa 1 G
Cerezo Osaka FC
Solomon Sakuragawa 3 G
Yumeki Yokoyama 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Shimizu S-Pulse to score. At the same time, Cerezo Osaka FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Cerezo Osaka FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 10' Nelson Ishiwatari has been relatively quiet despite scoring 1 goals in his last 376 appearances.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 19' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Shunta Tanaka makes it 0-1.
  • 24' Shimizu S-Pulse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 24.
  • 29' With 0 assists to his name this season, Hikaru Nakahara is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 44' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 49' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Cerezo Osaka FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 54' Toshiki Takahashi, a Japan forward, has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 59' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 64' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 69' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Shimizu S-Pulse side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 74' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Shimizu S-Pulse that had 374 games and scored 291 goals.
  • 79' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 84' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shimizu S-Pulse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 88' Cerezo Osaka FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 90' Brilliant from the midfielder! Matheus Bueno makes it 1-1 with a superb finish on 90.
  • 90' The referee shows Shimizu S-Pulse player a card on 90.
  • Shimizu S-Pulse celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.5 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.63 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse42% Draw21% Cerezo Osaka FC37%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes84% 0% No16%
Avg goals/match: 5.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 74%
26%
± 4.5 57%
43%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw33% Cerezo Osaka FC35%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–4 not predicted
6 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 4
3.5%
4 – 2
3.2%
3 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 15% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 57% — 43%
+1 57% 16% 26%
+1.5 74% — 26%
+2 74% 12% 14%
+2.5 86% — 14%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
8% ✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.