Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse

6 – 4

5 – 3 pen

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Wed 6 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 14,668 HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 19' Shunta Tanaka

Matheus Bueno pen 90' 1–1

Y 88' Shinnosuke Hatanaka

Ahmed Ahmedov 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee
Assistant 1 Kohei Ando (Japan)
Assistant 2

4 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tōkyō	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F·Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Shimizu S-Pulse 17 games · Avg 3.4 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-05-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 6–4 Cerezo Osaka FC 2026-03-07 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–0 Shimizu S-Pulse 2025-11-09 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–4 Cerezo Osaka FC 2025-06-01 Cerezo Osaka FC 4–2 Shimizu S-Pulse 2022-06-26 Cerezo Osaka FC 1–1 Shimizu S-Pulse

Recent Form

Shimizu S-Pulse

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	6–4	W
02 May	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	2–1	W
29 Apr	V-Varen Nagasaki	H	1–2	L
25 Apr	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–2	L
11 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	5–6	L
05 Apr	V-Varen Nagasaki	A	3–0	W

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
06 May	Shimizu S-Pulse	A	4–6	L
03 May	Avispa Fukuoka	H	2–2	D
29 Apr	Vissel Kobe	A	0–0	D
25 Apr	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	A	1–2	L
18 Apr	Kyoto Sanga FC	H	3–0	W
11 Apr	Gamba Osaka	A	1–0	W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse		Cerezo Osaka FC
#7	Position	#2
24	Points	31
18	Played	18
8 / 0 / 10	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
40	Scored	48
42	Conceded	38
-2	GD	+10
1.33	PPG	1.72
44%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)

59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

22% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season

28% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Shimizu S-Pulse

0-15

2/1

16-30

1/3

31-45

1/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

4/4

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Cerezo Osaka FC

0-15

3/1

16-30

4/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/3

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Cerezo Osaka FC kicks off things out of here…
5' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
15' Cerezo Osaka FC is showing some good football. However, Cerezo Osaka FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
19' What a strike from Shunta Tanaka! The score is 0-1.
24' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Dion Cools made 351 appearances and scored 5 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
29' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Togo Umeda suffering a number of foals already.
34' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
39' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 39 minutes.
44' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Shimizu S-Pulse needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
49' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
54' Se-hun Oh needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 7 Yellow cards this season.
59' Matheus Bueno has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
64' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
69' Cerezo Osaka FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
74' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
79' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
88' Shinnosuke Hatanaka was booked on 88.
90' What an equalizer from Matheus Bueno!
90' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ahmed Ahmedov on 90.
Another three points for Shimizu S-Pulse.

Lineups

Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Takayuki Yoshida

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Arthur Papas

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Ratao	3
Hiroaki Okuno	2
Satoki Uejo	2
Crislan	2
Hiroshi Kiyotake	2
Koya Kitagawa	2
Crislan	2
Akira Ibayashi	1

Head to Head

Shimizu S-Pulse Form

2026-05-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 6–4 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2026-05-02 Kyoto Sanga FC 1–2 Shimizu S-Pulse W 2026-04-29 Shimizu S-Pulse 1–2 V-Varen Nagasaki L 2026-04-25 Shimizu S-Pulse 0–2 Nagoya Grampus L 2026-04-11 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 6–5 Shimizu S-Pulse L 2026-04-05 V-Varen Nagasaki 0–3 Shimizu S-Pulse W

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2026-05-06 Shimizu S-Pulse 6–4 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2026-05-03 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka D 2026-04-29 Vissel Kobe 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2026-04-25 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2026-04-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 3–0 Kyoto Sanga FC W 2026-04-11 Gamba Osaka 0–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.5 Shimizu S-Pulse xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.63 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse42% Draw21% Cerezo Osaka FC37%

Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes84% 0% No16%

Avg goals/match: 5.13

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	99%	1%
± 1.5	96%	4%
± 2.5	87%	13%
± 3.5	74%	26%
± 4.5	57%	43%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw

62%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

58%

Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw33% Cerezo Osaka FC35%

Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–4 not predicted

6 – 4

Actual

2 – 2

6.2%

2 – 3

5.4%

1 – 2

5.2%

3 – 2

5.1%

2 – 1

4.9%

1 – 1

4.5%

3 – 3

4.4%

1 – 3

4.4%

3 – 1

2 – 4

3.5%

4 – 2

3.2%

3 – 4

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap	Shimizu S-Pulse covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	11%	77%
-1.5	23%	—	77%
-1	23%	15%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	57%	—	43%
+1	57%	16%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	12%	14%
+2.5	86%	—	14%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet

8% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

9% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.