Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
- Shimizu S-Pulse 18 games · 24 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee
- Assistant 1 Kohei Ando (Japan)
- Assistant 2
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 6–4 | W |
| 02 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 29 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | H | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Apr | Nagoya Grampus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 5–6 | L |
| 05 Apr | V-Varen Nagasaki | A | 3–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 4–6 | L |
| 03 May | Avispa Fukuoka | H | 2–2 | D |
| 29 Apr | Vissel Kobe | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–2 | L |
| 18 Apr | Kyoto Sanga FC | H | 3–0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Gamba Osaka | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Shimizu S-Pulse | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 24 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 8 / 0 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 40 | Scored | 48 |
| 42 | Conceded | 38 |
| -2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 44% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
65%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
H2H (17 games)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
- 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
- 19' The Japan Shunta Tanaka breaks the deadlock on 19 minutes. 0-1!
- 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Shimizu S-Pulse winning 50% of all matches.
- 29' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
- 39' Shimizu S-Pulse are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 44' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 49' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Toshiki Takahashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shimizu S-Pulse.
- 59' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 64' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 69' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 79' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 88' The referee has no hesitation. Shinnosuke Hatanaka is booked for Cerezo Osaka FC — card on 88.
- 90' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Bueno! He fires home on 90 to make it 1-1!
- 90' Shimizu S-Pulse player sees a card in front of him.
- It finishes all square. Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC share the spoils 6-4.
Lineups
Shimizu S-Pulse Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 28
- 16
- 5
- 10
- 25
- 51
- 11
- 38
- 47
- 9
- 6
Bench
- 7
- 1
- 81
- 29
- 4
- 15
- 97
- 17
- 23
Coach
Takayuki Yoshida
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 27
- 8
- 44
- 66
- 10
- 4
- 21
- 18
- 48
- 9
- 14
Bench
- 23
- 13
- 5
- 11
- 7
- 3
- 34
- 19
- 16
Coach
Arthur Papas
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Rafael Ratao | 3 |
| Hiroshi Kiyotake | 2 |
| Koya Kitagawa | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Hiroaki Okuno | 2 |
| Satoki Uejo | 2 |
| Crislan | 2 |
| Souza | 1 |
Head to Head
Shimizu S-Pulse Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.5
Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.63
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Shimizu S-Pulse win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 5.13
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 2.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 3.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 4.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
Double Chance
Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 6–4 not predicted6 – 4Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 4
3.5%
4 – 2
3.2%
3 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse
| Handicap | Shimizu S-Pulse covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 12% | — | 88% |
| -2 | 12% | 11% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 15% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +1 | 57% | 16% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 12% | 14% |
| +2.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
Clean Sheet
Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

