Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
6 4
5 – 3 pen
Full Time
Wed 6 May 2026 · 04:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 14,668 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 19' Shunta Tanaka
Matheus Bueno pen 90' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Cerezo Osaka FCJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Kohei Ando (Japan)
  • Assistant 2

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 6–4 W
02 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
05 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki A 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
06 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–6 L
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
29 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
18 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Gamba Osaka A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Cerezo Osaka FC
#7 Position #2
24 Points 31
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 0 / 7
40 Scored 48
42 Conceded 38
-2 GD +10
1.33 PPG 1.72
44% Win % 61%

Key Stats

65% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
59% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Cerezo Osaka FC that had 369 games and scored 396 goals.
  • 15' The energy levels are beginning to show. Arthur Papas might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 19' The Japan Shunta Tanaka breaks the deadlock on 19 minutes. 0-1!
  • 24' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Shimizu S-Pulse winning 50% of all matches.
  • 29' The travelling Cerezo Osaka FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 34' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 34 minutes.
  • 39' Shimizu S-Pulse are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 44' It’s high time Arthur Papas made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 49' A quiet spell here at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-Pulse seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 54' With 0 assists to his name this season, Toshiki Takahashi is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 59' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 64' Cerezo Osaka FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 69' Shimizu S-Pulse is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 74' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 79' It is a cagey affair so far. Shimizu S-Pulse in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 84' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 88' The referee has no hesitation. Shinnosuke Hatanaka is booked for Cerezo Osaka FC — card on 88.
  • 90' A goal from the Brazil international Matheus Bueno! He fires home on 90 to make it 1-1!
  • 90' Shimizu S-Pulse player sees a card in front of him.
  • It finishes all square. Shimizu S-Pulse and Cerezo Osaka FC share the spoils 6-4.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.5 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.63 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 87% + Both teams to score 84%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse42% Draw21% Cerezo Osaka FC37%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes84% 0% No16%
Avg goals/match: 5.13
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 99%
1%
± 1.5 96%
4%
± 2.5 87%
13%
± 3.5 74%
26%
± 4.5 57%
43%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
62%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
58%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse32% Draw33% Cerezo Osaka FC35%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 6–4 not predicted
6 – 4
Actual
2 – 2
6.2%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 3
4.4%
1 – 3
4.4%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 4
3.5%
4 – 2
3.2%
3 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 11% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 15% 62%
-0.5 38% 62%
+0.5 57% 43%
+1 57% 16% 26%
+1.5 74% 26%
+2 74% 12% 14%
+2.5 86% 14%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
8%
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.