Sunday , 16 August 2026

Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen Nagasaki, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
Sat 9 May 2026 · 07:00 UTC Yodoko Sakura Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 25' Ryogo Yamasaki pen
Thiago Andrade 28' 1–1
Shunta Tanaka 63' 2–1
2–2 72' Matheus Jesus
Shinji Kagawa pen 90+4' 3–2

Overview

Match Preview

Cerezo Osaka FC vs V-Varen NagasakiJ. League at Yodoko Sakura Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee
  • Assistant 1 Jun Mihara
  • Assistant 2 Makoto Bozono (Japan)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May V-Varen Nagasaki H 3–2 W
06 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–6 L
03 May Avispa Fukuoka H 2–2 D
29 Apr Vissel Kobe A 0–0 D
25 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–2 L
18 Apr Kyoto Sanga FC H 3–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–3 L
06 May Fagiano Okayama FC H 2–1 W
03 May Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L
29 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–1 W
25 Apr Gamba Osaka H 6–7 L
18 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 0–2 L

Season Stats

Cerezo Osaka FC V-Varen Nagasaki
#2 Position #9
31 Points 21
18 Played 18
11 / 0 / 7 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
48 Scored 25
38 Conceded 33
+10 GD -8
1.72 PPG 1.17
61% Win % 39%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
V-Varen Nagasaki this season

Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts). V-Varen Nagasaki are 9th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Cerezo Osaka FC and V-Varen Nagasaki is underway.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' Cerezo Osaka FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined V-Varen Nagasaki backline.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cerezo Osaka FC and V-Varen Nagasaki are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' Cerezo Osaka FC currently sit 9 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 25' What composure from Ryogo Yamasaki! The Japan international strokes it home. 0-1.
  • 28' What an equalizer from Thiago Andrade!
  • 33' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 38' Nelson Ishiwatari has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 43' V-Varen Nagasaki come into this ranked 16 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 48' The energy levels are beginning to show. Takuya Takagi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 53' It’s high time Takuya Takagi made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 63' Shunta Tanaka adds to his 3 season tally! Cerezo Osaka FC lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 68' V-Varen Nagasaki looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Matheus Jesus scoring 1 goals.
  • 72' Matheus Jesus doubles the advantage! 2-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 77' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 77 minutes.
  • 82' Hotaru Yamaguchi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 86' It’s a booking for V-Varen Nagasaki player. Riku Yamada gets a card.
  • 90' That is a card for Cerezo Osaka FC. Kosuke Nakamura will be fuming at that decision.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for V-Varen Nagasaki.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.55 Cerezo Osaka FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.35 V-Varen Nagasaki xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cerezo Osaka FC61% Draw20% V-Varen Nagasaki19%
Actual: Cerezo Osaka FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Cerezo Osaka FC or Draw
81%
Draw or V-Varen Nagasaki
39%
Cerezo Osaka FC or V-Varen Nagasaki
80%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cerezo Osaka FC47% Draw36% V-Varen Nagasaki17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.8%
3 – 1
7.2%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.5%
1 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Cerezo Osaka FC

Handicap Cerezo Osaka FC covers Push V-Varen Nagasaki covers
-2.5 24% 76%
-2 24% 18% 58%
-1.5 42% 58%
-1 42% 20% 38%
-0.5 62% 38%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 11% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 5% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
27%
V-Varen Nagasaki keeps clean sheet
9%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.