Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON

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J. League · 2023

Avispa Fukuoka

2 – 1

Full Time

Cerezo Osaka FC

Sat 25 Feb 2023 · 06:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium 9,607 HT 45' · FT 45'

Hiroyuki Mae 47' 1–0

1–1 59' Satoki Uejo

Takeshi Kanamori 89' 2–1

Itsuki Oda 62' Y

Daiki Miya 67' Y

Y 78' Hirotaka Tameda

Overview

Match Preview

Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.

Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Futoshi Nakamura
Assistant 1 Yukitaka Kumagai (Japan)
Assistant 2 Masaki Abe (Japan)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Vissel Kobe	18	35
2	Cerezo Osaka FC	18	31
3	Nagoya Grampus	18	31
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	18	30
5	Gamba Osaka	18	28
6	Fagiano Okayama FC	18	26
7	Shimizu S-Pulse	18	24
8	Kyoto Sanga FC	18	23
9	V-Varen Nagasaki	18	21
10	Avispa Fukuoka	18	21
11	Kashima Antlers	18	45
12	FC Tokyo	18	37
13	FC Machida Zelvia	18	37
14	Kawasaki Frontale	18	28
15	Tokyo Verdy	18	28
16	Urawa Red Diamonds	18	25
17	Kashiwa Reysol	18	20
18	Yokohama F.Marinos	18	20
19	FC Mito Holly Hock	18	18
20	JEF United Ichihara Chiba	18	12

Head-to-Head

Avispa Fukuoka 13 games · Avg 2.6 goals Cerezo Osaka FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-02-25 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2022-07-30 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–0 Avispa Fukuoka 2022-04-17 Avispa Fukuoka 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-08-15 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC 2021-04-10 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

Avispa Fukuoka

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Cerezo Osaka FC	H	2–1	W
18 Feb	Vissel Kobe	A	0–1	L
05 Nov	Urawa Red Diamonds	A	1–1	D
29 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	H	2–1	W
08 Oct	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	A	2–1	W
01 Oct	Vissel Kobe	H	0–1	L

Cerezo Osaka FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Feb	Avispa Fukuoka	A	1–2	L
18 Feb	Albirex Niigata	H	2–2	D
05 Nov	Nagoya Grampus	H	0–1	L
29 Oct	Kyoto Sanga FC	A	0–0	D
12 Oct	FC Tokyo	A	0–4	L
08 Oct	Kashiwa Reysol	A	0–0	D

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka		Cerezo Osaka FC
#10	Position	#2
21	Points	31
18	Played	18
7 / 0 / 11	W / D / L	11 / 0 / 7
49	Scored	48
59	Conceded	38
-10	GD	+10
1.17	PPG	1.72
39%	Win %	61%

Key Stats

38% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)

54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

0% Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka

0-15

–/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

2/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

1/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Cerezo Osaka FC gets underway.
5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
10' Itsuki Oda has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 18 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
15' Cerezo Osaka FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Rikito Inoue scoring 1 goals.
20' Cerezo Osaka FC have won 396 goals from 369 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
25' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
30' The home supporters are growing impatient. Avispa Fukuoka must find a spark to ignite this game.
35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Akio Kogiku will be considering his options from the bench.
40' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Shun Nakamura made 418 appearances and scored 3 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
45' Avispa Fukuoka are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Cerezo Osaka FC backline.
47' Hiroyuki Mae makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and Avispa Fukuoka are in front.
52' Riki Harakawa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
57' Cerezo Osaka FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
59' What composure from Satoki Uejo! The Japan international strokes it home. 1-1.
62' Poor challenge from Itsuki Oda. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
63' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Riki Harakawa is replaced by Tokuma Suzuki on 63 minute.
67' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Yota Maejima on, Itsuki Oda off on 67 minutes.
67' Poor challenge from Daiki Miya. The referee spots it immediately and shows the Yellow card.
71' The whistle greets Satoki Uejo as he departs to be replaced by Shinji Kagawa.
76' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 76 minutes.
78' That is a Yellow card for Cerezo Osaka FC. Hirotaka Tameda will be fuming at that decision.
78' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Takeshi Kanamori comes on to replace Kazuya Konno.
79' Kenedeiebusu Mikuni is replacing Douglas Grolli for the Avispa Fukuoka side.
84' It looks like no one’s ball. Cerezo Osaka FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
86' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Lukian by Ryoga Sato on 86 minute.
89' Sensational shot from Takeshi Kanamori. Avispa Fukuoka is back in the lead.
Cerezo Osaka FC will have plenty to reflect on. Avispa Fukuoka were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Avispa Fukuoka Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

3
Tatsuki Nara
5
Daiki Miya
1
Takumi Nagaishi
16
Itsuki Oda ↓ Yota Maejima 67'
8
Kazuya Konno ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 79'
9
Lukian ↓ Ryoga Sato 86'
17
Shun Nakamura ↓ Yosuke Ideguchi 86'
6
Hiroyuki Mae
11
Yuya Yamagishi
2
Masato Yuzawa
33
Douglas Groli ↓ Kennedy Egbus Mikuni 79'

Bench

99
Yosuke Ideguchi ↑ 86'
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 79'
14
Tatsuya Tanaka
29
Yota Maejima ↑ 67'
31
Masaaki Murakami
27
Ryoga Sato ↑ 86'
20
Kennedy Egbus Mikuni ↑ 79'

Coach Shigetoshi Hasebe

Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

9
Leo Ceara
11
Jordy Croux
25
Hiroaki Okuno
4
Riki Harakawa ↓ Tokuma Suzuki 63'
22
Matej Jonjic
29
Kakeru Funaki
16
Seiya Maikuma
33
Ryuya Nishio
19
Hirotaka Tameda ↓ Hikaru Nakahara 79'
31
Keisuke Shimizu
7
Satoki Uejo ↓ Shinji Kagawa 71'

Bench

Coach Akio Kogiku

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Rafael Ratao	3
Masaya Shibayama	3
Shunta Tanaka	2
Satoki Uejo	2
Yuma Tsujioka	1
Masakazu Yoshioka	1
Leo Ceara	1
Juanma	1

Head to Head

Avispa Fukuoka Form

2023-02-25 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC W 2023-02-18 Vissel Kobe 1–0 Avispa Fukuoka L 2022-11-05 Urawa Red Diamonds 1–1 Avispa Fukuoka D 2022-10-29 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Kashiwa Reysol W 2022-10-08 Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo 1–2 Avispa Fukuoka W 2022-10-01 Avispa Fukuoka 0–1 Vissel Kobe L

Cerezo Osaka FC Form

2023-02-25 Avispa Fukuoka 2–1 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2023-02-18 Cerezo Osaka FC 2–2 Albirex Niigata D 2022-11-05 Cerezo Osaka FC 0–1 Nagoya Grampus L 2022-10-29 Kyoto Sanga FC 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D 2022-10-12 FC Tokyo 4–0 Cerezo Osaka FC L 2022-10-08 Kashiwa Reysol 0–0 Cerezo Osaka FC D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.26 Avispa Fukuoka xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.39 Cerezo Osaka FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 83% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka44% Draw21% Cerezo Osaka FC35%

Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes80% 0% No20%

Avg goals/match: 4.65

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	98%	2%
± 1.5	94%	6%
± 2.5	83%	17%
± 3.5	67%	33%
± 4.5	49%	51%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw

64%

Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC

56%

Avispa Fukuoka or Cerezo Osaka FC

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Avispa Fukuoka31% Draw35% Cerezo Osaka FC34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 2

6.7%

1 – 2

6.1%

1 – 1

5.9%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 3

5.3%

3 – 2

1 – 3

4.8%

3 – 1

4.3%

3 – 3

2 – 4

3.2%

0 – 2

2.9%

4 – 2

2.9%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap	Avispa Fukuoka covers	Push	Cerezo Osaka FC covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	11%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	16%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	17%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	12%	13%
+2.5	87%	—	13%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.