Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Haruhiro Otsuka
- Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/–
76+
–/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Nagoya Grampus host Cerezo Osaka FC — let the battle begin!
- 4' Cerezo Osaka FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Capixaba on 4.
- 9' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 14' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 19' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 21' Ryuji Izumi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 21 minutes.
- 26' The 29-year-old Tokuma Suzuki has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 31' Yuichi Maruyama adds to his 0 season tally! Nagoya Grampus lead 2-1 — and this changes everything.
- 36' Japan international Seiya Maikuma has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 41' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 43' Magnificent from Mateus! That is 40 goals in 439 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Jin-hyeon Kim is replaced by Han-Been Yang on 46 minute.
- 51' The home supporters are growing impatient. Nagoya Grampus must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 53' It is a substitution in Cerezo Osaka FC team. Tokuma Suzuki is replaced by Hinata Kida on 53 minute.
- 58' named a 3-1-4-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-4-2 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 63' Cerezo Osaka FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Leo Ceara made 175 appearances and scored 88 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 71' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Takuji Yonemoto is replaced by Takuya Uchida on 71 minute.
- 73' Satoki Uejo is replacing Capixaba for the Cerezo Osaka FC side.
- 78' Supporters expect more eagerness from Satoki Uejo, as he is very good at scoring at Toyota Stadium with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 82' The Nagoya Grampus manager makes a substitution. Kasper Junker departs to be replaced by Yuki Nogami.
- 87' It is a cagey affair so far. Nagoya Grampus in their 3-1-4-2 trying to find a way past Cerezo Osaka FC's compact 4-4-2.
- 90' It is a substitution in Nagoya Grampus team. Mateus is replaced by Ryoga Kida on 90 minute.
- Another three points for Nagoya Grampus.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Takuya Uchida 71'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 71'
- 1
- 15
- 3
- 13
- 7
- 4
-
10
Mateus ↓ Ryoga Kida 90'
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Yuki Nogami 82'
Bench
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 71'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 82'
- 16
- 46
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 71'
- 31
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Satoki Uejo 73'
- 8
- 25
- 3
- 6
- 16
-
17
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Hinata Kida 53'
- 19
- 24
-
21
Jin-hyeon Kim ↓ Han-Been Yang 46'
Bench
-
29
Kakeru Funaki ↑ 46'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 53'
- 33
-
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 46'
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 73'
-
1
Han-Been Yang ↑ 46'
- 38
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
51%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 3
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

