Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC, J. League 2023 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Nagoya Grampus vs Cerezo Osaka FC — J. League at Toyota Stadium.
- Nagoya Grampus 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
- Cerezo Osaka FC 18 games · 31 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Yudai Yamamoto
- Assistant 1 Haruhiro Otsuka
- Assistant 2 Yukimasa Anai
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun | Cerezo Osaka FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 27 May | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 May | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 2–1 | W |
| 14 May | Kashima Antlers | A | 0–2 | L |
| 06 May | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 03 May | Vissel Kobe | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun | Nagoya Grampus | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 May | Yokohama FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 20 May | Shonan Bellmare | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 May | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 07 May | Kashima Antlers | H | 0–1 | L |
| 03 May | Gamba Osaka | A | 2–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Nagoya Grampus | Cerezo Osaka FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 31 | Points | 31 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 11 / 0 / 7 |
| 46 | Scored | 48 |
| 44 | Conceded | 38 |
| +2 | GD | +10 |
| 1.72 | PPG | 1.72 |
| 56% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
28%
Clean Sheets
Nagoya Grampus this season
Nagoya Grampus this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Cerezo Osaka FC this season
Nagoya Grampus are 3rd (31 pts). Cerezo Osaka FC are 2nd (31 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Nagoya Grampus
0-15
2/1
16-30
2/4
31-45
5/4
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/1
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cerezo Osaka FC
0-15
3/1
16-30
4/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Toyota Stadium. Nagoya Grampus are looking to make home advantage count against Cerezo Osaka FC.
- 4' Goal! Capixaba scores his 4 goal in 173 matches.
- 9' Cerezo Osaka FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Solomon Sakuragawa scoring 2 goals.
- 14' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 19' Nagoya Grampus is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 21' Ryuji Izumi makes no mistake. The score reads 1-1 and Nagoya Grampus are in front.
- 26' Cerezo Osaka FC come into this ranked 5 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 31' GOAL! Yuichi Maruyama scores on 31.
- 36' It looks surprising Nagoya Grampus does not make any changes. Leo Ceara has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 41' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 43' Mateus has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 43 minutes.
- 46' Cerezo Osaka FC ring the changes. Jin-hyeon Kim has done his job and it is now time for Han-Been Yang to step up.
- 51' Cerezo Osaka FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
- 53' The Cerezo Osaka FC bench stirs into life. Tokuma Suzuki is withdrawn and Hinata Kida gets his opportunity.
- 58' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Satoki Uejo made 369 appearances and scored 9 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 63' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 63 minutes.
- 68' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' Time for substitution for Nagoya Grampus. Takuji Yonemoto is replaced by Takuya Uchida.
- 73' A change in the Cerezo Osaka FC ranks — Capixaba exits the field as Satoki Uejo enters on 73.
- 78' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 82' Yuki Nogami gets the nod from Nagoya Grampus. He replaces Kasper Junker and will look to change the dynamic.
- 87' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Nagoya Grampus and Cerezo Osaka FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 90' Nagoya Grampus make a change. Mateus trudges off to be replaced by Ryoga Kida on 90 minutes.
- Game over. The scoreline of 3-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Nagoya Grampus Lineups
3-1-4-2Starting XI
-
6
Takuji Yonemoto ↓ Takuya Uchida 71'
-
18
Kensuke Nagai ↓ Noriyoshi Sakai 71'
- 1
- 15
- 3
- 13
- 7
- 4
-
10
Mateus ↓ Ryoga Kida 90'
- 17
-
77
Kasper Junker ↓ Yuki Nogami 82'
Bench
-
34
Takuya Uchida ↑ 71'
-
2
Yuki Nogami ↑ 82'
- 16
- 46
-
9
Noriyoshi Sakai ↑ 71'
- 31
-
42
Ryoga Kida ↑ 90'
Coach
Kenta Hasegawa
Cerezo Osaka FC Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 9
-
27
Capixaba ↓ Satoki Uejo 73'
- 8
- 25
- 3
- 6
- 16
-
17
Tokuma Suzuki ↓ Hinata Kida 53'
- 19
- 24
-
21
Jin-hyeon Kim ↓ Han-Been Yang 46'
Bench
-
29
Kakeru Funaki ↑ 46'
-
5
Hinata Kida ↑ 53'
- 33
-
41
Hikaru Nakahara ↑ 46'
-
7
Satoki Uejo ↑ 73'
-
1
Han-Been Yang ↑ 46'
- 38
Coach
Akio Kogiku
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Mateus | 3 |
| Shuhei Akasaki | 2 |
| Kennedy Egbus Mikuni | 2 |
| Ryuji Izumi | 2 |
| Yuya Yamagishi | 2 |
| Sota Kitano | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Solomon Sakuragawa | 2 |
Head to Head
Nagoya Grampus Form
Cerezo Osaka FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25
Nagoya Grampus xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.94
Cerezo Osaka FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 76%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Nagoya Grampus win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.19
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 59% |
|
41% |
| ± 4.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
Double Chance
Nagoya Grampus or Draw
70%
Draw or Cerezo Osaka FC
51%
Nagoya Grampus or Cerezo Osaka FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Nagoya Grampus win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
7.4%
2 – 1
7.3%
2 – 2
6.9%
1 – 2
6.3%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
5.1%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 3
4%
2 – 0
4%
3 – 3
3.4%
1 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
3%
Asian Handicap — Nagoya Grampus
| Handicap | Nagoya Grampus covers | Push | Cerezo Osaka FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 18% | 55% |
| -0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +0.5 | 66% | — | 34% |
| +1 | 66% | 15% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
Nagoya Grampus keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Cerezo Osaka FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

