Sunday , 16 August 2026

Ceará SC vs Santos FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

3 0
Full Time
Sun 5 Oct 2025 · 23:30 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs Santos FCSerie A at Castelao.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Santos FC H 3–0 W
02 Oct EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
29 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 1–0 W
20 Sep EC Bahia H 1–1 D
14 Sep CR Vasco da Gama A 2–2 D
30 Aug EC Juventude H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Oct Ceará SC A 0–3 L
02 Oct Gremio FBPA H 1–1 D
28 Sep RB Bragantino A 2–2 D
21 Sep Sao Paulo FC H 1–0 W
14 Sep CA Mineiro A 1–1 D
31 Aug Fluminense FC H 0–0 D

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Santos FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
1/4
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 7 G 2 A
Neymar 6 G 2 A
Alvaro Barreal 4 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Ceará SC host Santos FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Bruno suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' What a moment for Lucas Mugni! That strike on 10 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 15' Santos FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 20' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 25' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 30' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 35' Santos FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 37' Lourenco catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 37.
  • 39' A meaty challenge results in booking for Benjamin Rollheiser on 39.
  • 44' Marcos Victor has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 46' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Tomas Rincon exits the field as Alvaro Barreal enters on 46.
  • 51' Santos FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 51.
  • 55' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Igor Vinicius.
  • 60' Both keepers have barely been tested. Ceará SC and Santos FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 63' Ceara SC make a change. Lucas Mugni trudges off to be replaced by Vina on 63 minutes.
  • 66' The deadlock is broken! Pedro Henrique gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
  • 68' Gustavo Caballero is replacing Igor Vinicius for the Santos FC side.
  • 72' Fresh legs for Ceara SC! Richardson comes on to replace Lourenco.
  • 76' The Santos FC manager makes a substitution. Guilherme departs to be replaced by Tiquinho Soares.
  • 81' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 82' A change in the Santos FC ranks — Benjamin Rollheiser exits the field as Thaciano enters on 82.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Santos FC player. Tiquinho Soares gets a card.
  • 90' Another change for Ceara SC made on 90 minute. Antonio Galeano leaves to be changed by Aylon.
  • The points are shared — Ceará SC 3-0 Santos FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC53% Draw27% Santos FC20%
Actual: Ceará SC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
80%
Draw or Santos FC
47%
Ceará SC or Santos FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Ceará SC35% Draw50% Santos FC15%
Actual: Ceará SC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
13%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
8.7%
0 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
Actual
1 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
4.3%
2 – 2
3.5%
0 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 16% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 25% 48%
-0.5 52% 48%
+0.5 81% 19%
+1 81% 13% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
46%
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
24%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.