Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Cagliari Calcio

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Full Time

US Lecce

Mon 16 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce — Serie A .

Cagliari Calcio 11 games · 16 pts (2026/27)
US Lecce 11 games · 10 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Ermanno Feliciani (Italy)

5 games this season 🟨 2.4/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	29
2	FC Internazionale Milano	11	28
3	AS Roma	11	27
4	AC Milan	11	24
5	Como 1907	11	23
6	Frosinone Calcio	11	20
7	Juventus FC	11	18
8	Bologna FC 1909	11	17
9	Cagliari Calcio	11	16
10	SSC Napoli	11	15
11	Torino FC	11	14
12	Atalanta BC	11	14
13	Genoa CFC	11	13
14	US Lecce	11	10
15	ACF Fiorentina	11	9
16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	8
17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	8
18	AC Monza	11	7
19	Venezia FC	11	6
20	Udinese Calcio	11	5

Head-to-Head

Cagliari Calcio 9 games · Avg 2.2 goals US Lecce

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-16 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 US Lecce 2025-09-19 US Lecce 1–2 Cagliari Calcio 2025-01-19 Cagliari Calcio 4–1 US Lecce 2024-08-31 US Lecce 1–0 Cagliari Calcio 2024-05-05 Cagliari Calcio 1–1 US Lecce

Recent Form

Cagliari Calcio

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Feb	US Lecce	H	0–2	L
09 Feb	AS Roma	A	0–2	L
31 Jan	Hellas Verona FC	H	4–0	W
24 Jan	ACF Fiorentina	A	2–1	W
17 Jan	Juventus FC	H	1–0	W
12 Jan	Genoa CFC	A	0–3	L

US Lecce

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
16 Feb	Cagliari Calcio	A	2–0	W
08 Feb	Udinese Calcio	H	2–1	W
01 Feb	Torino FC	A	0–1	L
24 Jan	SS Lazio	H	0–0	D
18 Jan	AC Milan	A	0–1	L
14 Jan	FC Internazionale Milano	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio		US Lecce
#9	Position	#14
16	Points	10
11	Played	11
5 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	3 / 1 / 7
10	Scored	12
15	Conceded	22
-5	GD	-10
1.45	PPG	0.91
45%	Win %	27%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

30% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

18% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts). US Lecce are 14th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio

0-15

1/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

1/3

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

2/6

■ Scored ■ Conceded

US Lecce

0-15

3/3

16-30

1/8

31-45

2/2

46-60

1/1

61-75

2/5

76+

3/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio

Daniel Maldini	5 G
Alessandro Romano	1 G

US Lecce

Lassana Coulibaly	2 G	2 A
Tiago Gabriel	2 G	1 A
Olaf Gorter	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: US Lecce gets underway.
Cagliari Calcio will have plenty to reflect on. US Lecce were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Nikola Krstovic	2
Nadir Zortea	1
Joao Pedro Galvao	1
Adam Obert	1
Radja Nainggolan	1
Santiago Pierotti	1
Gianluca Lapadula	1
Daniel Maldini	1

Head to Head

Cagliari Calcio Form

2026-02-16 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 US Lecce L 2026-02-09 AS Roma 2–0 Cagliari Calcio L 2026-01-31 Cagliari Calcio 4–0 Hellas Verona FC W 2026-01-24 ACF Fiorentina 1–2 Cagliari Calcio W 2026-01-17 Cagliari Calcio 1–0 Juventus FC W 2026-01-12 Genoa CFC 3–0 Cagliari Calcio L

US Lecce Form

2026-02-16 Cagliari Calcio 0–2 US Lecce W 2026-02-08 US Lecce 2–1 Udinese Calcio W 2026-02-01 Torino FC 1–0 US Lecce L 2026-01-24 US Lecce 0–0 SS Lazio D 2026-01-18 AC Milan 1–0 US Lecce L 2026-01-14 FC Internazionale Milano 1–0 US Lecce L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.3 Cagliari Calcio xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.95 US Lecce xG

I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Cagliari Calcio42% Draw30% US Lecce28%

Actual: US Lecce win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes46% 0% No54%

Avg goals/match: 2.25

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	87%	13%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw

72%

Draw or US Lecce

58%

Cagliari Calcio or US Lecce

70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Cagliari Calcio30% Draw51% US Lecce19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.9%

0 – 0

12.7%

1 – 0

12.5%

0 – 1

8.8%

2 – 0

8.6%

2 – 1

8.2%

1 – 2

0 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

3 – 0

3.7%

3 – 1

3.6%

1 – 3

1.9%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap	Cagliari Calcio covers	Push	US Lecce covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	13%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	23%	57%
-0.5	43%	—	57%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

US Lecce keeps clean sheet

28% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.