Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce — Serie A at Unipol Domus.
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
- Assistant 1
- Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici
7 games this season
🟨 1.4/game
⚽ 7.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan | US Lecce | H | 4–1 | W |
| 11 Jan | AC Milan | A | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jan | AC Monza | A | 2–1 | W |
| 28 Dec | FC Internazionale Milano | H | 0–3 | L |
| 22 Dec | Venezia FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Atalanta BC | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| Cagliari Calcio | US Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #17 |
| 43 | Points | 38 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 11 / 10 / 17 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 20 |
| 40 | Scored | 28 |
| 53 | Conceded | 50 |
| -13 | GD | -22 |
| 1.13 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 29% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! Cagliari Calcio welcome US Lecce for this crunch clash at Unipol Domus.
- 5' It looks surprising US Lecce does not make any changes. Antoine Makoumbou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 20' US Lecce is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 25' Cagliari Calcio currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wladimiro Falcone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
- 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Nicola will be considering his options from the bench.
- 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 42' Santiago Pierotti is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
- 45' US Lecce player sees a card in front of him.
- 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jesper Karlsson made 108 appearances and scored 49 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 52' Michel Adopo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 54' Cagliari Calcio make a change. Michel Adopo trudges off to be replaced by Alessandro Deiola on 54 minutes.
- 56' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Santiago Pierotti is withdrawn and Kevin Bonifazi gets his opportunity.
- 60' Against the run of play, Gianluca Gaetano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 63' It is a substitution in US Lecce team. THorir Johann Helgason is replaced by Ylber Ramadani on 63 minute.
- 65' What composure from Sebastiano Luperto! The Italy international strokes it home. 2-1.
- 70' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Ante Rebic is booked for US Lecce — card on 73.
- 74' Tommaso Augello gets the nod from Cagliari Calcio. He replaces Mattia Felici and will look to change the dynamic.
- 77' Rares Burnete gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Tete Morente and will look to change the dynamic.
- 80' Against the run of play, Nadir Zortea has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 81' The referee calls foul for Nadir Zortea. He receives a card.
- 83' What a strike from Adam Obert! The score is 4-1.
- 86' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 86 minute. Nadir Zortea leaves to be changed by Leonardo Pavoletti.
- 90' Alessandro Deiola picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- The points are shared — Cagliari Calcio 4-1 US Lecce. Honours even.
Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 26
- 6
- 10
- 25
- 29
- 91
- 28
-
97
Mattia Felici ↓ Tommaso Augello 74'
- 19
- 33
- 8
Bench
-
30
Leonardo Pavoletti ↑ 86'
- 21
- 9
-
14
Alessandro Deiola ↑ 54'
-
3
Tommaso Augello ↑ 74'
- 23
-
18
Razvan Marin ↑ 54'
-
70
Gianluca Gaetano ↑ 54'
- 71
- 31
- 37
- 16
- 24
- 80
Coach
Davide Nicola
US Lecce Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
- 12
- 29
-
7
Tete Morente ↓ Rares Burnete 77'
- 14
- 50
-
9
Nikola Krstovic ↓ Ante Rebic 63'
- 30
- 75
- 19
- 6
- 13
Bench
- 1
-
3
Ante Rebic ↑ 63'
-
21
Kevin Bonifazi ↑ 56'
-
37
Jesper Karlsson ↑ 77'
-
20
Ylber Ramadani ↑ 63'
- 98
- 77
- 27
- 32
-
23
Rares Burnete ↑ 77'
Coach
Marco Giampaolo
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Gianluca Gaetano | 1 |
| Nadir Zortea | 1 |
| Joao Pedro Galvao | 1 |
| Adam Obert | 1 |
| Radja Nainggolan | 1 |
| Santiago Pierotti | 1 |
| Gianluca Lapadula | 1 |
Head to Head
Cagliari Calcio Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59
Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05
US Lecce xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cagliari Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
Cagliari Calcio or Draw
76%
Draw or US Lecce
51%
Cagliari Calcio or US Lecce
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: US Lecce win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 4–1 not predicted4 – 1Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%
Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio
| Handicap | Cagliari Calcio covers | Push | US Lecce covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 74% |
| -1.5 | 26% | — | 74% |
| -1 | 26% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 76% | — | 24% |
| +1 | 76% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
36%
✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

