Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 14:00 UTC Unipol Domus 16,306 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Santiago Pierotti
Gianluca Gaetano 60' 1–1
Sebastiano Luperto 65' 2–1
Nadir Zortea 80' 3–1
Adam Obert 83' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce — Serie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici
3 games this season 🟨 4.0/game ⚽ 10.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan US Lecce H 4–1 W
11 Jan AC Milan A 1–1 D
05 Jan AC Monza A 2–1 W
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
22 Dec Venezia FC A 1–2 L
14 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–4 L
11 Jan Empoli FC A 3–1 W
05 Jan Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SS Lazio H 1–2 L
15 Dec AC Monza H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio US Lecce
#4 Position #12
12 Points 6
5 Played 5
4 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
5 Scored 5
2 Conceded 10
+3 GD -5
2.40 PPG 1.20
80% Win % 40%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season
20% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

Cagliari Calcio are 4th (12 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 3 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G
US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 1 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G
Olaf Gorter 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.73 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.78 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Cagliari Calcio to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio57% Draw25% US Lecce18%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.51
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
82%
Draw or US Lecce
43%
Cagliari Calcio or US Lecce
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio40% Draw47% US Lecce13%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
13.3%
2 – 0
11.9%
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.6%
4 – 0
2.9%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 15% — 85%
-2 15% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 25% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 11% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
46% ✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.