Thursday , 2 July 2026

Cagliari Calcio vs US Lecce, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 19 Jan 2025 · 14:00 UTC Unipol Domus 16,306 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 42' Santiago Pierotti
Gianluca Gaetano 60' 1–1
Sebastiano Luperto 65' 2–1
Nadir Zortea 80' 3–1
Adam Obert 83' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Cagliari Calcio vs US LecceSerie A at Unipol Domus.

Match Details

  • Referee Juan Luca Sacchi (Italy)
  • Assistant 1
  • Assistant 2 Pietro Dei Giudici
7 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan US Lecce H 4–1 W
11 Jan AC Milan A 1–1 D
05 Jan AC Monza A 2–1 W
28 Dec FC Internazionale Milano H 0–3 L
22 Dec Venezia FC A 1–2 L
14 Dec Atalanta BC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
19 Jan Cagliari Calcio A 1–4 L
11 Jan Empoli FC A 3–1 W
05 Jan Genoa CFC H 0–0 D
30 Dec Como 1907 A 0–2 L
21 Dec SS Lazio H 1–2 L
15 Dec AC Monza H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Cagliari Calcio US Lecce
#14 Position #17
43 Points 38
38 Played 38
11 / 10 / 17 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 20
40 Scored 28
53 Conceded 50
-13 GD -22
1.13 PPG 1.00
29% Win % 26%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Cagliari Calcio welcome US Lecce for this crunch clash at Unipol Domus.
  • 5' It looks surprising US Lecce does not make any changes. Antoine Makoumbou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' Both keepers have barely been tested. Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 20' US Lecce is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 25' Cagliari Calcio currently sit 18 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' With 0 assists to his name this season, Wladimiro Falcone is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Cagliari Calcio.
  • 35' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Davide Nicola will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 40' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Cagliari Calcio and US Lecce are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 42' Santiago Pierotti is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 45' US Lecce player sees a card in front of him.
  • 50' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jesper Karlsson made 108 appearances and scored 49 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 52' Michel Adopo picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 54' Cagliari Calcio make a change. Michel Adopo trudges off to be replaced by Alessandro Deiola on 54 minutes.
  • 56' The US Lecce bench stirs into life. Santiago Pierotti is withdrawn and Kevin Bonifazi gets his opportunity.
  • 60' Against the run of play, Gianluca Gaetano has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' It is a substitution in US Lecce team. THorir Johann Helgason is replaced by Ylber Ramadani on 63 minute.
  • 65' What composure from Sebastiano Luperto! The Italy international strokes it home. 2-1.
  • 70' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 73' The referee has no hesitation. Ante Rebic is booked for US Lecce — card on 73.
  • 74' Tommaso Augello gets the nod from Cagliari Calcio. He replaces Mattia Felici and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Rares Burnete gets the nod from US Lecce. He replaces Tete Morente and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 80' Against the run of play, Nadir Zortea has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 81' The referee calls foul for Nadir Zortea. He receives a card.
  • 83' What a strike from Adam Obert! The score is 4-1.
  • 86' Another change for Cagliari Calcio made on 86 minute. Nadir Zortea leaves to be changed by Leonardo Pavoletti.
  • 90' Alessandro Deiola picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • The points are shared — Cagliari Calcio 4-1 US Lecce. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.59 Cagliari Calcio xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.05 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Cagliari Calcio49% Draw27% US Lecce24%
Actual: Cagliari Calcio win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Cagliari Calcio or Draw
76%
Draw or US Lecce
51%
Cagliari Calcio or US Lecce
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Cagliari Calcio34% Draw47% US Lecce19%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 1
12.8%
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
9.1%
2 – 0
8.8%
0 – 1
6.5%
1 – 2
6%
3 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 0
4.6%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Cagliari Calcio

Handicap Cagliari Calcio covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 76% 24%
+1 76% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
36%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.