Saturday , 14 November 2026

AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Mon 9 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Roma vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)
6 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 16.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb Cagliari Calcio H 2–0 W
02 Feb Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
29 Jan Panathinaikos AO A 1–1 D
25 Jan AC Milan H 1–1 D
22 Jan VfB Stuttgart H 2–0 W
18 Jan Torino FC A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Feb AS Roma A 0–2 L
31 Jan Hellas Verona FC H 4–0 W
24 Jan ACF Fiorentina A 2–1 W
17 Jan Juventus FC H 1–0 W
12 Jan Genoa CFC A 0–3 L
08 Jan US Cremonese A 2–2 D

Season Stats

AS Roma Cagliari Calcio
#3 Position #9
27 Points 16
11 Played 11
8 / 3 / 0 W / D / L 5 / 1 / 5
31 Scored 10
10 Conceded 15
+21 GD -5
2.45 PPG 1.45
73% Win % 45%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
55% Clean Sheets
AS Roma this season
30% Clean Sheets
Cagliari Calcio this season

AS Roma are 3rd (27 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 9th (16 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Roma
0-15
4/1
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/–
46-60
4/4
61-75
4/–
76+
8/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Cagliari Calcio
0-15
1/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
1/3
46-60
1/2
61-75
1/1
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Cagliari Calcio
Daniel Maldini 5 G
Alessandro Romano 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

AS Roma Lineups

Cagliari Calcio Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.29 AS Roma xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for: AS Roma to win 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 65%

Match Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma71% Draw19% Cagliari Calcio10%
Actual: AS Roma win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 2.77
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

AS Roma or Draw
90%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
29%
AS Roma or Cagliari Calcio
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
AS Roma55% Draw39% Cagliari Calcio6%
Actual: AS Roma win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
14.2%
3 – 0
12%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
7.4%
4 – 0
6.8%
3 – 1
5.9%
4 – 1
3.5%
5 – 0
3.2%
0 – 1
2.4%
2 – 2
1.8%

Asian Handicap — AS Roma

Handicap AS Roma covers Push Cagliari Calcio covers
-2.5 31% — 69%
-2 31% 23% 46%
-1.5 54% — 46%
-1 54% 23% 23%
-0.5 77% — 23%
+0.5 95% — 5%
+1 95% 4% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

AS Roma keeps clean sheet
62% ✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.