US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
US Lecce vs Cagliari Calcio — Serie A .
- US Lecce 38 games · 38 pts (2026/27)
- Cagliari Calcio 38 games · 43 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Luca Zufferli (Italy)
4 games this season
🟨 0.0/game
⚽ 1.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 38 | 87 |
| 2 | SSC Napoli | 38 | 76 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 38 | 73 |
| 4 | Como 1907 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 38 | 70 |
| 6 | Juventus FC | 38 | 69 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 38 | 59 |
| 8 | Bologna FC 1909 | 38 | 56 |
| 9 | SS Lazio | 38 | 54 |
| 10 | Udinese Calcio | 38 | 50 |
| 11 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 38 | 49 |
| 12 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 38 | 45 |
| 13 | Torino FC | 38 | 45 |
| 14 | Cagliari Calcio | 38 | 43 |
| 15 | ACF Fiorentina | 38 | 42 |
| 16 | Genoa CFC | 38 | 41 |
| 17 | US Lecce | 38 | 38 |
| 18 | US Cremonese | 38 | 34 |
| 19 | Hellas Verona FC | 38 | 21 |
| 20 | AC Pisa 1909 | 38 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | Cagliari Calcio | H | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Sep | Atalanta BC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 29 Aug | AC Milan | H | 0–2 | L |
| 23 Aug | Genoa CFC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 25 May | SS Lazio | A | 1–0 | W |
| 18 May | Torino FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | US Lecce | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | Parma Calcio 1913 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | SSC Napoli | A | 0–1 | L |
| 24 Aug | ACF Fiorentina | H | 1–1 | D |
| 23 May | SSC Napoli | A | 0–2 | L |
| 18 May | Venezia FC | H | 3–0 | W |
Season Stats
| US Lecce | Cagliari Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| #17 | Position | #14 |
| 38 | Points | 43 |
| 38 | Played | 38 |
| 10 / 8 / 20 | W / D / L | 11 / 10 / 17 |
| 28 | Scored | 40 |
| 50 | Conceded | 53 |
| -22 | GD | -13 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.13 |
| 26% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
US Lecce are 17th (38 pts). Cagliari Calcio are 14th (43 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- Full Time. Cagliari Calcio beats US Lecce
Lineups
US Lecce Lineups
Cagliari Calcio Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Nikola Krstovic | 2 |
| Nadir Zortea | 1 |
| Joao Pedro Galvao | 1 |
| Adam Obert | 1 |
| Radja Nainggolan | 1 |
| Santiago Pierotti | 1 |
| Gianluca Lapadula | 1 |
| Marco Calderoni | 1 |
Head to Head
US Lecce Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.99
US Lecce xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.26
Cagliari Calcio xG
I would bet for:
Cagliari Calcio or Draw 70% + Under 2.5 goals 61%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Cagliari Calcio win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 1.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 2.5 | 39% |
|
61% |
| ± 3.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
US Lecce or Draw
61%
Draw or Cagliari Calcio
70%
US Lecce or Cagliari Calcio
69%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.1%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
12%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 2
8%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
5%
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 3
3.4%
0 – 3
3.3%
3 – 1
2.1%
Asian Handicap — US Lecce
| Handicap | US Lecce covers | Push | Cagliari Calcio covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 8% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 17% | 72% |
| -0.5 | 28% | — | 72% |
| +0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +1 | 59% | 22% | 19% |
| +1.5 | 81% | — | 19% |
| +2 | 81% | 12% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Cagliari Calcio keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

