Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga .
- Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2025/26)
- Casa Pia AC 34 games · 30 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Iancu Vasilica
7 games this season
🟨 2.1/game
⚽ 8.3 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan | Casa Pia AC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 28 Dec | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–4 | L |
| 20 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Dec | Vitória SC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 06 Dec | AVS | A | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Nov | CD Santa Clara | H | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Dec | Vitória SC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Dec | CD Tondela | A | 2–1 | W |
| 13 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 06 Dec | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Nov | FC Alverca | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Rio Ave FC | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #16 |
| 36 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 8 / 12 / 14 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 35 | Scored | 31 |
| 57 | Conceded | 57 |
| -22 | GD | -26 |
| 1.06 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 24% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
75%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
Rio Ave FC this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
Casa Pia AC this season
Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Rio Ave FC and Casa Pia AC.
- With this win, Rio Ave FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.
Lineups
Rio Ave FC Lineups
Casa Pia AC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cassiano | 2 |
| Larra | 1 |
| Renato Pantalon | 1 |
| Tiago Fonseca Morais | 1 |
| Rafael Martins | 1 |
| Duplexe Tchamba | 1 |
| Joca | 1 |
| Pablo Barbosa | 1 |
Head to Head
Rio Ave FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62
Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12
Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Rio Ave FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 30% |
|
70% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
Rio Ave FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
50%
Rio Ave FC or Casa Pia AC
74%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%
Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC
| Handicap | Rio Ave FC covers | Push | Casa Pia AC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 22% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +1 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +1.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
| +2 | 90% | 7% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
33%
✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

