Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Rio Ave FC vs Casa Pia ACPrimeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iancu Vasilica
7 games this season 🟨 2.1/game 8.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
28 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
20 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Vitória SC H 0–1 L
06 Dec AVS A 2–1 W
30 Nov CD Santa Clara H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Rio Ave FC A 1–3 L
28 Dec Vitória SC H 0–0 D
21 Dec CD Tondela A 2–1 W
13 Dec Gil Vicente FC H 1–1 D
06 Dec CD Santa Clara A 0–1 L
29 Nov FC Alverca H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Rio Ave FC Casa Pia AC
#12 Position #16
36 Points 30
34 Played 34
8 / 12 / 14 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
35 Scored 31
57 Conceded 57
-22 GD -26
1.06 PPG 0.88
24% Win % 18%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
38% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
18% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
/3
46-60
3/
61-75
/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/
16-30
/
31-45
2/2
46-60
/2
61-75
/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between Rio Ave FC and Casa Pia AC.
  • With this win, Rio Ave FC is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.62 Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.12 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC50% Draw26% Casa Pia AC24%
Actual: Rio Ave FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.74
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Rio Ave FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
50%
Rio Ave FC or Casa Pia AC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Rio Ave FC34% Draw46% Casa Pia AC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.3%
2 – 0
8.3%
1 – 2
6.3%
0 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
4.4%
0 – 2
4%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC

Handicap Rio Ave FC covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
33%
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.