Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Rio Ave FC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio do Rio Ave F.C..
- Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2025/26)
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | CD Nacional | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Dec | CF Estrela da Amadora | A | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Dec | Vitória SC | H | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Dec | CD Santa Clara | A | 0–1 | L |
| 30 Nov | Moreirense FC | H | 3–2 | W |
| 09 Nov | Boavista FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Dec | Vitória SC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 19 Dec | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | H | 0–2 | L |
| 14 Dec | Moreirense FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 07 Dec | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 30 Nov | Boavista FC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Rio Ave FC | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| #12 | Position | #14 |
| 36 | Points | 34 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 8 / 12 / 14 | W / D / L | 9 / 7 / 18 |
| 35 | Scored | 37 |
| 57 | Conceded | 45 |
| -22 | GD | -8 |
| 1.06 | PPG | 1.00 |
| 24% | Win % | 26% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
18%
Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
Rio Ave FC this season
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Three points are at stake. Rio Ave FC host CD Nacional — let the battle begin!
- 5' Rio Ave FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 10' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 15' Daniel Penha has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 26' What a moment for Clayton! That strike on 26 puts his side firmly in control.
- 31' The 30-year-old Lucas Franca has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 34' The deadlock is broken! Bruno Costa gets on the scoresheet on 34 minutes.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' It looks surprising CD Nacional does not make any changes. Rui Encarnacao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 47' Rui Encarnacao gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Lucas Franca and will look to change the dynamic.
- 52' Rio Ave FC currently sit 11 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 57' The home supporters are growing impatient. Rio Ave FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 62' The crowd applauds Joao Novais as he leaves the pitch. Tiago Fonseca Morais steps in for Rio Ave FC.
- 67' Arvin Appiah needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 72' Ulisses has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 73' GOAL! Clayton fires home to make it 2-1!
- 75' Time for substitution for CD Nacional. Isaac Aguiar is replaced by Dyego Sousa.
- 78' Ahmed Hassan Koka is ready to make an impact after coming on for Clayton at the 78 minute mark.
- 79' Chiheb Labidi is replacing Dudu for the CD Nacional side.
- 80' El Hadji Soumare is having his name booked by the referee on 80.
- 85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Rio Ave FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 90' Francisco Petrasso is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kiko Bondoso at the 90 minute mark.
- The points are shared — Rio Ave FC 2-1 CD Nacional. Honours even.
Lineups
Rio Ave FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 98
- 17
- 6
- 1
-
80
Ole Pohlmann ↓ Amine Oudrhiri 78'
- 19
-
9
Clayton ↓ Ahmed Hassan Koka 78'
- 4
-
16
Brandon Aguilera ↓ Vitor Gomes 90'
- 33
- 34
Bench
- 18
-
8
Vitor Gomes ↑ 90'
-
10
Amine Oudrhiri ↑ 78'
-
11
Tiago Fonseca Morais ↑ 62'
-
22
Ahmed Hassan Koka ↑ 78'
- 20
- 27
- 14
-
23
Francisco Petrasso ↑ 90'
- 94
Coach
Petit
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
-
99
Dudu ↓ Chiheb Labidi 79'
-
2
Joao Aurelio ↓ Arvin Appiah 78'
-
37
Lucas Franca ↓ Rui Encarnacao 47'
-
8
Bruno Costa ↓ Daniel Penha 78'
- 10
- 22
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↓ Dyego Sousa 75'
- 27
- 4
- 5
Bench
-
70
Arvin Appiah ↑ 78'
- 18
-
89
Dyego Sousa ↑ 75'
-
17
Daniel Penha ↑ 78'
-
1
Rui Encarnacao ↑ 47'
- 88
- 33
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↑ 79'
- 20
Coach
Tiago Margarido
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Clayton | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Demir Tiknaz | 2 |
| Kenji Gorre | 1 |
| Theofanis Bakoulas | 1 |
| Witi | 1 |
| Leo Santos | 1 |
| Bryan Rochez | 1 |
Head to Head
Rio Ave FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.58
Rio Ave FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32
CD Nacional xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 59%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Rio Ave FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Rio Ave FC or Draw
73%
Draw or CD Nacional
52%
Rio Ave FC or CD Nacional
75%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.8%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.5%
1 – 3
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Rio Ave FC
| Handicap | Rio Ave FC covers | Push | CD Nacional covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +1 | 69% | 17% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.