CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2025/26)
- Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2025/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | Rio Ave FC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 03 May | Vitória SC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 27 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | Gil Vicente FC | H | 0–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Boavista FC | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May | CD Nacional | A | 3–3 | D |
| 05 May | CF Estrela da Amadora | H | 2–0 | W |
| 27 Apr | Vitória SC | A | 0–3 | L |
| 18 Apr | CD Santa Clara | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Apr | Moreirense FC | A | 2–0 | W |
| 07 Apr | Boavista FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #12 |
| 34 | Points | 36 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 8 / 12 / 14 |
| 37 | Scored | 35 |
| 45 | Conceded | 57 |
| -8 | GD | -22 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 1.06 |
| 26% | Win % | 24% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
H2H (8 games)
63%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
CD Nacional this season
18%
Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season
Rio Ave FC this season
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/3
46-60
3/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Estadio da Madeira. CD Nacional are looking to make home advantage count against Rio Ave FC.
- 3' Demir Tiknaz adds to his 1 season tally! Rio Ave FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 8' Daniel Penha needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 9 Yellow cards this season.
- 13' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Rio Ave FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
- 18' The referee shows Rio Ave FC player a card on 18.
- 23' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 28' GOAL! Theofanis Bakoulas scores on 28.
- 33' CD Nacional have won 106 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 38' CD Nacional is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 43' Demir Tiknaz makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Rio Ave FC are in front.
- 46' Magnificent from Andre Sousa! That is 2 goals in 214 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 46' A change in the Rio Ave FC ranks — Demir Tiknaz exits the field as Joao Novais enters on 46.
- 51' Rio Ave FC come into this ranked 11 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 56' Joao Tome has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 57' The referee calls foul for Konstantinos Kostoulas. He receives a card.
- 62' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 65' Theofanis Bakoulas makes way for Joao Graca at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from Rio Ave FC.
- 70' Rio Ave FC is showing some good football. However, Rio Ave FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 71' Isaac Aguiar gets the nod from CD Nacional. He replaces Joel Tagueu and will look to change the dynamic.
- 72' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucas Franca.
- 77' Chiheb Labidi has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 82' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Rio Ave FC backline.
- 86' It’s a booking for Rio Ave FC player. Clayton gets a card.
- 88' Time for substitution for Rio Ave FC. Joao Pedro is replaced by Jorge Karseladze.
- 90' Leo Santos has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 90 minutes.
- 90' The referee has no hesitation. Ole Pohlmann is booked for Rio Ave FC — card on 90.
- 90' The crowd applauds Martim Neto as he leaves the pitch. Francisco Petrasso steps in for Rio Ave FC.
- It finishes all square. CD Nacional and Rio Ave FC share the spoils 3-3.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 34
- 70
- 2
-
95
Joel Tagueu ↓ Isaac Aguiar 71'
- 37
-
17
Daniel Penha ↓ Luis Esteves 46'
- 98
- 38
-
71
Fuki Yamada ↓ Ruben Macedo 46'
-
27
El Hadji Soumare ↓ Matheus Dias 46'
-
15
Chiheb Labidi ↓ Andre Sousa 46'
Bench
-
18
Andre Sousa ↑ 46'
-
7
Ruben Macedo ↑ 46'
- 1
-
10
Luis Esteves ↑ 46'
- 22
-
88
Matheus Dias ↑ 46'
-
23
Isaac Aguiar ↑ 71'
- 33
- 20
Coach
Tiago Margarido
Rio Ave FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2
- 1
-
19
Kiko Bondoso ↓ Ole Pohlmann 65'
- 9
- 7
- 20
-
34
Demir Tiknaz ↓ Joao Novais 46'
- 76
-
22
Joao Pedro ↓ Jorge Karseladze 88'
-
29
Theofanis Bakoulas ↓ Joao Graca 65'
- 82
Bench
- 95
-
6
Joao Novais ↑ 46'
-
80
Ole Pohlmann ↑ 65'
-
21
Joao Graca ↑ 65'
-
93
Jorge Karseladze ↑ 88'
- 27
- 14
-
23
Francisco Petrasso ↑ 90'
- 75
Coach
Petit
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Clayton | 2 |
| Carlos Vinicius | 2 |
| Demir Tiknaz | 2 |
| Witi | 1 |
| Leo Santos | 1 |
| Bryan Rochez | 1 |
| Andre Sousa | 1 |
| Ronan Jeronimo | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.56
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.48
Rio Ave FC xG
I would bet for:
CD Nacional or Rio Ave FC 72% + Both teams to score 61%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.04
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
65%
Draw or Rio Ave FC
63%
CD Nacional or Rio Ave FC
72%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Rio Ave FC win at HT
Correct Score
✗ 3–3 not predicted3 – 3Actual
1 – 1
12%
2 – 1
8.3%
1 – 2
7.9%
1 – 0
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6.1%
2 – 0
5.8%
0 – 2
5.2%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 3
3.9%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Rio Ave FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 19% | 62% |
| -0.5 | 38% | — | 62% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +1.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +2 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

