CD Nacional vs CD Santa Clara, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

3 – 3

Full Time

CD Santa Clara

Sun 11 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CD Santa Clara — Primeira Liga .

CD Nacional 7 games · 4 pts (2026/27)
CD Santa Clara 7 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Fabio Costa

3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 8.0 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	21
2	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	7	16
3	Sporting Clube de Portugal	7	15
4	CD Santa Clara	7	15
5	FC Arouca	7	11
6	Sporting Clube de Braga	6	11
7	Académico de Viseu FC	7	11
8	CF Estrela da Amadora	7	10
9	Moreirense FC	7	8
10	Gil Vicente FC	6	8
11	CS Marítimo	7	8
12	FC Alverca	7	8
13	FC Famalicão	7	7
14	Vitória SC	7	5
15	CD Nacional	7	4
16	Rio Ave FC	7	4
17	Casa Pia AC	7	4
18	GD Estoril Praia	7	2

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 9 games · Avg 3.3 goals CD Santa Clara

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara 2025-03-30 CD Santa Clara 1–0 CD Nacional 2024-11-04 CD Nacional 2–0 CD Santa Clara 2021-04-11 CD Santa Clara 5–1 CD Nacional 2020-12-06 CD Nacional 1–3 CD Santa Clara

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	CD Santa Clara	H	3–3	D
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W
07 Dec	FC Alverca	A	0–1	L
29 Nov	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	1–2	L

CD Santa Clara

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
11 Jan	CD Nacional	A	3–3	D
04 Jan	FC Porto	H	0–1	L
21 Dec	FC Arouca	H	0–0	D
15 Dec	Sporting Clube de Braga	A	0–1	L
06 Dec	Casa Pia AC	H	1–0	W
30 Nov	Rio Ave FC	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

CD Nacional		CD Santa Clara
#15	Position	#4
4	Points	15
7	Played	7
1 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	4 / 3 / 0
7	Scored	11
15	Conceded	4
-8	GD	+7
0.57	PPG	2.14
14%	Win %	57%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

56% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

57% Clean Sheets
CD Santa Clara this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). CD Santa Clara are 4th (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional

0-15

1/3

16-30

–/2

31-45

2/6

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/2

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

CD Santa Clara

0-15

2/–

16-30

4/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

–/1

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional

Liziero	1 G	1 A
Leo Santos	1 G
Miguel Baeza	1 G
Ze Vitor	1 G

CD Santa Clara

Goncalo Paciencia	5 G	1 A
Brenner	2 G

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. CD Santa Clara get us underway at .
Game over. The scoreline of 3-3 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

CD Santa Clara Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Carlos	2
Goncalo Paciencia	2
Osamah Rashid	2
Rui Costa	2
Martin Chrien	1
Elias Manoel	1
Guilherme Schettine	1
Joao Costa	1

Head to Head

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara D 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W 2025-12-07 FC Alverca 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-11-29 CD Nacional 1–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L

CD Santa Clara Form

2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara D 2026-01-04 CD Santa Clara 0–1 FC Porto L 2025-12-21 CD Santa Clara 0–0 FC Arouca D 2025-12-15 Sporting Clube de Braga 1–0 CD Santa Clara L 2025-12-06 CD Santa Clara 1–0 Casa Pia AC W 2025-11-30 Rio Ave FC 1–1 CD Santa Clara D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.24 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.27 CD Santa Clara xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional26% Draw23% CD Santa Clara51%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.51

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	86%	14%
± 2.5	67%	33%
± 3.5	46%	54%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

49%

Draw or CD Santa Clara

74%

CD Nacional or CD Santa Clara

77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

CD Nacional17% Draw39% CD Santa Clara44%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

9.2%

1 – 2

9.2%

0 – 2

7.7%

1 – 3

6.9%

0 – 1

6.3%

0 – 3

5.7%

2 – 2

5.7%

2 – 1

5.1%

0 – 0

4.3%

2 – 3

4.3%

1 – 4

0 – 4

3.2%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	CD Santa Clara covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	5%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	11%	81%
-0.5	19%	—	81%
+0.5	41%	—	59%
+1	41%	21%	38%
+1.5	62%	—	38%
+2	62%	18%	20%
+2.5	80%	—	20%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

CD Santa Clara keeps clean sheet

30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.