CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

4 – 0

Full Time

Rio Ave FC

Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga .

CD Nacional 33 games · 31 pts (2026/27)
Rio Ave FC 33 games · 36 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Iancu Vasilica

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	33	85
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	32	80
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	33	77
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	32	56
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	33	47
7	Moreirense FC	33	43
8	FC Arouca	33	42
9	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
10	Vitória SC	33	39
11	FC Alverca	33	36
12	Rio Ave FC	33	36
13	CD Santa Clara	33	33
14	CD Nacional	33	31
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	33	30
16	Casa Pia AC	32	30
17	CD Tondela	32	27
18	AVS	33	20

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 8 games · Avg 3.1 goals Rio Ave FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC 2025-08-17 Rio Ave FC 1–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-10 CD Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave FC 2024-12-29 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2021-05-19 CD Nacional 1–2 Rio Ave FC

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Rio Ave FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Gil Vicente FC	A	1–2	L
11 Jan	CD Santa Clara	H	3–3	D
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W

Rio Ave FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	CD Nacional	A	0–4	L
17 Jan	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–2	L
04 Jan	Casa Pia AC	H	3–1	W
28 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–4	L
20 Dec	Gil Vicente FC	A	2–2	D
13 Dec	Vitória SC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

CD Nacional		Rio Ave FC
#14	Position	#12
31	Points	36
33	Played	33
8 / 7 / 18	W / D / L	8 / 12 / 13
35	Scored	35
45	Conceded	55
-10	GD	-20
0.94	PPG	1.09
24%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

CD Nacional are 14th (31 pts). Rio Ave FC are 12th (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . CD Nacional are looking to make home advantage count against Rio Ave FC.
Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CD Nacional players.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Clayton	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Demir Tiknaz	2
Kenji Gorre	1
Theofanis Bakoulas	1
Witi	1
Leo Santos	1
Bryan Rochez	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.27 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.11 Rio Ave FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional60% Draw22% Rio Ave FC18%

Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes60% 0% No40%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	65%	35%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

81%

Draw or Rio Ave FC

40%

CD Nacional or Rio Ave FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional45% Draw39% Rio Ave FC16%

Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.7%

1 – 0

7.2%

3 – 1

7.1%

3 – 0

6.4%

2 – 2

5.2%

0 – 0

4.8%

1 – 2

4.6%

4 – 1

4.1%

3 – 2

4 – 0

Actual

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	Rio Ave FC covers
-2.5	22%	—	78%
-2	22%	19%	60%
-1.5	40%	—	60%
-1	40%	22%	38%
-0.5	62%	—	38%
+0.5	83%	—	17%
+1	83%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

33% ✗

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.