CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primeira Liga · 2025-26

CD Nacional

4 – 0

Full Time

Rio Ave FC

Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga .

CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
Rio Ave FC 34 games · 36 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Iancu Vasilica

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Porto	34	88
2	Sporting Clube de Portugal	34	82
3	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	34	80
4	Sporting Clube de Braga	34	59
5	FC Famalicão	34	56
6	Gil Vicente FC	34	50
7	Moreirense FC	34	43
8	Vitória SC	34	42
9	FC Arouca	34	42
10	GD Estoril Praia	34	39
11	FC Alverca	34	39
12	CD Santa Clara	34	36
13	Rio Ave FC	34	36
14	CD Nacional	34	34
15	CF Estrela da Amadora	34	30
16	Casa Pia AC	34	30
17	CD Tondela	34	28
18	AVS	34	21

Head-to-Head

CD Nacional 8 games · Avg 3.1 goals Rio Ave FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC 2025-08-17 Rio Ave FC 1–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-10 CD Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave FC 2024-12-29 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2021-05-19 CD Nacional 1–2 Rio Ave FC

Recent Form

CD Nacional

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	Rio Ave FC	H	4–0	W
17 Jan	Gil Vicente FC	A	1–2	L
11 Jan	CD Santa Clara	H	3–3	D
02 Jan	Vitória SC	A	1–2	L
21 Dec	AVS	A	2–2	D
15 Dec	CD Tondela	H	3–1	W

Rio Ave FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	CD Nacional	A	0–4	L
17 Jan	Sport Lisboa e Benfica	H	0–2	L
04 Jan	Casa Pia AC	H	3–1	W
28 Dec	Sporting Clube de Portugal	A	0–4	L
20 Dec	Gil Vicente FC	A	2–2	D
13 Dec	Vitória SC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

CD Nacional		Rio Ave FC
#14	Position	#13
34	Points	36
34	Played	34
9 / 7 / 18	W / D / L	8 / 12 / 14
37	Scored	35
45	Conceded	57
-8	GD	-22
1.00	PPG	1.06
26%	Win %	24%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)

63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Rio Ave FC are 13th (36 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final score is 4-0.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Clayton	2
Carlos Vinicius	2
Demir Tiknaz	2
Bruno Costa	1
Diego Lopes	1
Kenji Gorre	1
Theofanis Bakoulas	1
Witi	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.3 CD Nacional xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.08 Rio Ave FC xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + CD Nacional to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional60% Draw22% Rio Ave FC18%

Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.38

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	85%	15%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw

82%

Draw or Rio Ave FC

40%

CD Nacional or Rio Ave FC

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

CD Nacional46% Draw39% Rio Ave FC15%

Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 1

9.3%

2 – 0

1 – 0

7.4%

3 – 1

7.1%

3 – 0

6.7%

2 – 2

5.1%

0 – 0

4.8%

1 – 2

4.5%

4 – 1

4.1%

3 – 2

3.9%

4 – 0

Actual

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap	CD Nacional covers	Push	Rio Ave FC covers
-2.5	23%	—	77%
-2	23%	19%	59%
-1.5	41%	—	59%
-1	41%	22%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	84%	—	16%
+1	84%	10%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	4%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet

34% ✗

Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.