Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
CD Nacional
4 – 0
Full Time
Rio Ave FC
Sun 25 Jan 2026 · 15:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC — Primeira Liga .

Match Details

  • Referee Iancu Vasilica

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

1
4
3
CD Nacional 8 games · Avg 3.1 goals Rio Ave FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC 2025-08-17 Rio Ave FC 1–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-10 CD Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave FC 2024-12-29 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2021-05-19 CD Nacional 1–2 Rio Ave FC

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan Rio Ave FC H 4–0 W
17 Jan Gil Vicente FC A 1–2 L
11 Jan CD Santa Clara H 3–3 D
02 Jan Vitória SC A 1–2 L
21 Dec AVS A 2–2 D
15 Dec CD Tondela H 3–1 W
Rio Ave FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Jan CD Nacional A 0–4 L
17 Jan Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 0–2 L
04 Jan Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
28 Dec Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–4 L
20 Dec Gil Vicente FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Vitória SC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional Rio Ave FC
#15 Position #16
4 Points 4
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
7 Scored 5
15 Conceded 15
-8 GD -10
0.57 PPG 0.57
14% Win % 14%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
14% Clean Sheets
Rio Ave FC this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). Rio Ave FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rio Ave FC
0-15
1/4
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
Rio Ave FC
Jalen Blesa 2 G 1 A
Tamble Monteiro 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! CD Nacional vs Rio Ave FC — let the football do the talking.
  • With this win, CD Nacional is likely to improve its situation in the overall team standings.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

Rio Ave FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Demir Tiknaz 2
Clayton 2
Carlos Vinicius 2
Bruno Costa 1
Diego Lopes 1
Kenji Gorre 1
Theofanis Bakoulas 1
Witi 1

Head to Head

2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC 2025-08-17 Rio Ave FC 1–1 CD Nacional 2025-05-10 CD Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave FC 2024-12-29 Rio Ave FC 2–1 CD Nacional 2021-05-19 CD Nacional 1–2 Rio Ave FC

CD Nacional Form

2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC W 2026-01-17 Gil Vicente FC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2026-01-11 CD Nacional 3–3 CD Santa Clara D 2026-01-02 Vitória SC 2–1 CD Nacional L 2025-12-21 AVS 2–2 CD Nacional D 2025-12-15 CD Nacional 3–1 CD Tondela W

Rio Ave FC Form

2026-01-25 CD Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave FC L 2026-01-17 Rio Ave FC 0–2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica L 2026-01-04 Rio Ave FC 3–1 Casa Pia AC W 2025-12-28 Sporting Clube de Portugal 4–0 Rio Ave FC L 2025-12-20 Gil Vicente FC 2–2 Rio Ave FC D 2025-12-13 Rio Ave FC 0–1 Vitória SC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.41 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.13 Rio Ave FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional61% Draw21% Rio Ave FC18%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 47%
53%
± 4.5 28%
72%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
82%
Draw or Rio Ave FC
39%
CD Nacional or Rio Ave FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional47% Draw38% Rio Ave FC15%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 1
8.7%
2 – 0
8.4%
3 – 1
7.3%
1 – 0
6.6%
3 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
4 – 1
4.5%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 0
4.2%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Rio Ave FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 19% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 21% 36%
-0.5 64% — 36%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 10% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
33% ✗
Rio Ave FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.