CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga .
- CD Nacional 34 games · 34 pts (2026/27)
- Casa Pia AC 34 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Gustavo Correia
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 34 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 34 | 82 |
| 3 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 34 | 80 |
| 4 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 34 | 59 |
| 5 | FC Famalicão | 34 | 56 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente FC | 34 | 50 |
| 7 | Moreirense FC | 34 | 43 |
| 8 | Vitória SC | 34 | 42 |
| 9 | FC Arouca | 34 | 42 |
| 10 | GD Estoril Praia | 34 | 39 |
| 11 | FC Alverca | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Santa Clara | 34 | 36 |
| 13 | Rio Ave FC | 34 | 36 |
| 14 | CD Nacional | 34 | 34 |
| 15 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 34 | 30 |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 34 | 30 |
| 17 | CD Tondela | 34 | 28 |
| 18 | AVS | 34 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | Casa Pia AC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Feb | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 1–2 | L |
| 25 Jan | Rio Ave FC | H | 4–0 | W |
| 17 Jan | Gil Vicente FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 11 Jan | CD Santa Clara | H | 3–3 | D |
| 02 Jan | Vitória SC | A | 1–2 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb | CD Nacional | A | 0–0 | D |
| 02 Feb | FC Porto | H | 2–1 | W |
| 23 Jan | AVS | H | 3–3 | D |
| 16 Jan | Sporting Clube de Portugal | A | 0–3 | L |
| 04 Jan | Rio Ave FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 28 Dec | Vitória SC | H | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| CD Nacional | Casa Pia AC | |
|---|---|---|
| #14 | Position | #16 |
| 34 | Points | 30 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 9 / 7 / 18 | W / D / L | 6 / 12 / 16 |
| 37 | Scored | 31 |
| 45 | Conceded | 57 |
| -8 | GD | -26 |
| 1.00 | PPG | 0.88 |
| 26% | Win % | 18% |
Key Stats
25%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-0.
Lineups
CD Nacional Lineups
Casa Pia AC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Paulinho Boia | 1 |
| Larra | 1 |
| Ruben Kluivert | 1 |
| Joel Tagueu | 1 |
| Daniel Penha | 1 |
Head to Head
CD Nacional Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62
CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69
Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 60% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.31
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 88% |
|
12% |
| ± 1.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 2.5 | 40% |
|
60% |
| ± 3.5 | 21% |
|
79% |
| ± 4.5 | 9% |
|
91% |
Double Chance
CD Nacional or Draw
82%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
45%
CD Nacional or Casa Pia AC
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
2 – 0
12.6%
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
11.8%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
6.7%
0 – 1
5.8%
3 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
3.6%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.7%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — CD Nacional
| Handicap | CD Nacional covers | Push | Casa Pia AC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 18% | 68% |
| -1.5 | 32% | — | 68% |
| -1 | 32% | 26% | 42% |
| -0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
51%
✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
21%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

