Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2025-26
Sat 30 Aug 2025 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug CD Nacional H 0–2 L
24 Aug FC Porto A 0–4 L
15 Aug AVS A 2–0 W
08 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 0–2 L
16 May FC Famalicão A 1–2 L
10 May Sporting Clube de Braga H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug Casa Pia AC A 2–0 W
23 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–4 L
17 Aug Rio Ave FC A 1–1 D
09 Aug Gil Vicente FC H 0–2 L
17 May FC Porto A 0–3 L
10 May Rio Ave FC H 3–3 D

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC CD Nacional
#17 Position #15
4 Points 4
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
3 Scored 7
16 Conceded 15
-13 GD -8
0.57 PPG 0.57
14% Win % 14%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Casa Pia AC are 17th (4 pts). CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.76 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58% + Under — clean sheet likely 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC22% Draw28% CD Nacional50%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes43% 0% No57%
Avg goals/match: 2.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
51%
Draw or CD Nacional
78%
Casa Pia AC or CD Nacional
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC13% Draw48% CD Nacional39%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
14.2%
1 – 1
12.2%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 0
11.5%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 3
6.2%
1 – 0
6%
1 – 3
4.9%
2 – 1
4.1%
2 – 2
3.4%
2 – 0
2.6%
0 – 4
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 1% — 99%
-2 1% 4% 95%
-1.5 5% — 95%
-1 5% 11% 84%
-0.5 16% — 84%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 25% 31%
+1.5 69% — 31%
+2 69% 18% 13%
+2.5 87% — 13%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
47% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.