Thursday , 2 July 2026

Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Casa Pia AC
1 – 0
Full Time
CD Nacional
Fri 25 Oct 2024 · 17:45 UTC Estadio Pina Manique 1,004 HT 45' · FT 45'
Ruben Kluivert 39' 1–0
Rafael Brito 48' Y
Y 62' Jose Gomes
Y 77' Ulisses
Y 86' Nigel Thomas
Ricardo Batista 89' R
Beni 89' Y
Nermin Zolotic 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Casa Pia AC vs CD Nacional — Primeira Liga at Estadio Pina Manique.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

1
1
2
Casa Pia AC 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals CD Nacional
Last 5 meetings
2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct CD Nacional H 1–0 W
05 Oct Sporting Clube de Portugal A 0–2 L
28 Sep Vitória SC H 1–1 D
22 Sep Gil Vicente FC A 1–1 D
14 Sep Moreirense FC H 3–1 W
31 Aug CF Estrela da Amadora A 1–0 W
CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Oct Casa Pia AC A 0–1 L
29 Sep FC Famalicão A 0–0 D
20 Sep Sporting Clube de Braga H 0–3 L
15 Sep GD Estoril Praia A 0–1 L
01 Sep SC Farense H 2–0 W
25 Aug FC Arouca A 0–1 L

Season Stats

Casa Pia AC CD Nacional
#16 Position #14
30 Points 34
34 Played 34
6 / 12 / 16 W / D / L 9 / 7 / 18
31 Scored 37
57 Conceded 45
-26 GD -8
0.88 PPG 1.00
18% Win % 26%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season

Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts). CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Casa Pia AC and CD Nacional get this one started.
  • 5' CD Nacional has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Lucas Franca, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Pina Manique with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' CD Nacional are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 20' named a 3-4-2-1 earlier, and opted for a 4-3-3 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 30' It’s high time Tiago Margarido made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 35' CD Nacional seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 39' What a strike from Ruben Kluivert! The score is 1-0.
  • 44' CD Nacional have won 106 goals from 266 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' Controversy at the stadium! Rafael Brito argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 53' CD Nacional fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 58' The 24-year-old Rafael Brito has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 62' The referee shows CD Nacional player a card on 62.
  • 62' Another change for Casa Pia AC made on 62 minute. Rafael Brito leaves to be changed by Beni.
  • 64' It is a substitution in CD Nacional team. Isaac Aguiar is replaced by Adrian Butzke on 64 minute.
  • 69' Both keepers have barely been tested. Casa Pia AC and CD Nacional are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 74' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CD Nacional winning 50% of all matches.
  • 77' Ulisses has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
  • 79' CD Nacional ring the changes. Ruben Macedo has done his job and it is now time for Arvin Appiah to step up.
  • 84' It is a substitution in Casa Pia AC team. Max Svensson is replaced by Larra on 84 minute.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Nigel Thomas.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ricardo Batista on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Nermin Zolotic has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 90.
  • 90' Casa Pia AC make a change. Cassiano trudges off to be replaced by Telasco Segovia on 90 minutes.
  • Another three points for Casa Pia AC.

Lineups

Casa Pia AC Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexandre Santana

CD Nacional Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07 Casa Pia AC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.74 CD Nacional xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Casa Pia AC47% Draw31% CD Nacional22%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.81
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Casa Pia AC or Draw
78%
Draw or CD Nacional
53%
Casa Pia AC or CD Nacional
69%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Casa Pia AC27% Draw57% CD Nacional16%
Actual: Casa Pia AC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.9%
1 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 1
10.7%
2 – 0
8.9%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
2 – 2
2.7%
3 – 1
2.5%
1 – 3
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Casa Pia AC

Handicap Casa Pia AC covers Push CD Nacional covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 12% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 24% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 16% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
35% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.