Saturday , 14 November 2026

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
CD Nacional
3 – 1
Full Time
Casa Pia AC
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,556 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Penha 45+4' 1–0
1–1 49' Larra
Paulinho Boia 60' 2–1
Joel Tagueu 75' 3–1
Leo Santos 45' Y
Y 89' Ruben Kluivert
Arvin Appiah 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 11 33
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 11 28
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 11 24
4 CD Santa Clara 11 21
5 FC Arouca 11 20
6 Académico de Viseu FC 11 20
7 Gil Vicente FC 11 18
8 Sporting Clube de Braga 11 17
9 Moreirense FC 11 14
10 FC Famalicão 11 13
11 FC Alverca 11 12
12 CF Estrela da Amadora 11 10
13 CD Nacional 11 10
14 Vitória SC 11 9
15 CS Marítimo 10 8
16 Casa Pia AC 11 8
17 Rio Ave FC 11 7
18 GD Estoril Praia 10 2

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Casa Pia AC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
15 Feb GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
09 Feb SC Farense A 2–0 W
Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar CD Nacional A 1–3 L
09 Mar Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–3 L
01 Mar Vitória SC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Moreirense FC A 2–3 L
09 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional Casa Pia AC
#13 Position #16
10 Points 8
11 Played 11
3 / 1 / 7 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 7
11 Scored 6
19 Conceded 20
-8 GD -14
0.91 PPG 0.73
27% Win % 18%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
18% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

CD Nacional are 13th (10 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/4
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/5
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Matchoi Djalo 2 G
Miguel Baeza 2 G
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Casa Pia AC
Silvi 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — CD Nacional and Casa Pia AC get this one started.
  • 5' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Tiago Margarido will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 10' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. CD Nacional must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 30' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 35' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 40' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and Casa Pia AC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 45' Leo Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Rafael Brito is withdrawn and Adrian Kraev gets his opportunity.
  • 49' What a strike from Daniel Penha! The score is 1-0.
  • 54' Caue is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Casa Pia AC so far.
  • 59' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dudu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 60' The deadlock is broken! Paulinho Boia gets on the scoresheet on 60 minutes.
  • 63' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Caue is withdrawn and Cassiano gets his opportunity.
  • 68' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 69' Henrique Pereira has so much to prove this time. He replaces Miguel Sousa on 69 minute.
  • 70' Matheus Dias is ready to make an impact after coming on for Daniel Penha at the 70 minute mark.
  • 75' A goal from the Cameroon international Joel Tagueu! He fires home on 75 to make it 3-0!
  • 80' It’s high time Tiago Margarido made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 85' The Casa Pia AC bench stirs into life. Duplexe Tchamba is withdrawn and Max Svensson gets his opportunity.
  • 89' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ruben Kluivert on 89 minutes.
  • 90' Arvin Appiah was booked on 90.
  • 90' The whistle greets Luis Esteves as he departs to be replaced by Andre Sousa.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 3-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Casa Pia AC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexandre Santana

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ruben Kluivert 1
Joel Tagueu 1
Daniel Penha 1
Paulinho Boia 1
Larra 1

Head to Head

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC W 2025-03-08 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–0 CD Nacional L 2025-03-01 CD Nacional 2–1 FC Famalicão W 2025-02-21 Sporting Clube de Braga 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-02-15 CD Nacional 2–2 GD Estoril Praia D 2025-02-09 SC Farense 0–2 CD Nacional W

Casa Pia AC Form

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC L 2025-03-09 Casa Pia AC 1–3 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-03-01 Vitória SC 1–0 Casa Pia AC L 2025-02-22 Casa Pia AC 1–0 Gil Vicente FC W 2025-02-15 Moreirense FC 3–2 Casa Pia AC L 2025-02-09 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CF Estrela da Amadora W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.86 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.89 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional to win 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional58% Draw24% Casa Pia AC18%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
82%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
42%
CD Nacional or Casa Pia AC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional41% Draw44% Casa Pia AC15%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
11.2%
2 – 0
10.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
8.2%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.1%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 17% — 83%
-2 17% 18% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 24% 41%
-0.5 59% — 41%
+0.5 84% — 16%
+1 84% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
42% ✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.