Wednesday , 30 September 2026

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
CD Nacional
3 – 1
Full Time
Casa Pia AC
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,556 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Penha 45+4' 1–0
1–1 49' Larra
Paulinho Boia 60' 2–1
Joel Tagueu 75' 3–1
Leo Santos 45' Y
Y 89' Ruben Kluivert
Arvin Appiah 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 7 21
2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 7 16
3 Sporting Clube de Portugal 7 15
4 CD Santa Clara 7 15
5 FC Arouca 7 11
6 Sporting Clube de Braga 6 11
7 Académico de Viseu FC 7 11
8 CF Estrela da Amadora 7 10
9 Moreirense FC 7 8
10 Gil Vicente FC 6 8
11 CS Marítimo 7 8
12 FC Alverca 7 8
13 FC Famalicão 7 7
14 Vitória SC 7 5
15 CD Nacional 7 4
16 Rio Ave FC 7 4
17 Casa Pia AC 7 4
18 GD Estoril Praia 7 2

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Casa Pia AC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
15 Feb GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
09 Feb SC Farense A 2–0 W
Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar CD Nacional A 1–3 L
09 Mar Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–3 L
01 Mar Vitória SC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Moreirense FC A 2–3 L
09 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional Casa Pia AC
#15 Position #17
4 Points 4
7 Played 7
1 / 1 / 5 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 5
7 Scored 3
15 Conceded 16
-8 GD -13
0.57 PPG 0.57
14% Win % 14%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
14% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

CD Nacional are 15th (4 pts). Casa Pia AC are 17th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
2/6
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/2
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
–/2
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
–/4
61-75
1/4
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Estadio da Madeira. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' CD Nacional currently sit 13 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' Casa Pia AC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 20' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 25' It is a cagey affair so far. CD Nacional in their 4-1-4-1 trying to find a way past Casa Pia AC's compact 3-4-3.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' Leo Santos catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 45.
  • 46' Casa Pia AC make a change. Rafael Brito trudges off to be replaced by Adrian Kraev on 46 minutes.
  • 49' GOAL! Daniel Penha scores on 45.
  • 54' The travelling Casa Pia AC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 59' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CD Nacional side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 60' A goal from the Brazil international Paulinho Boia! He fires home on 60 to make it 2-0!
  • 63' The Casa Pia AC manager makes a substitution. Caue departs to be replaced by Cassiano.
  • 68' CD Nacional are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 69' Casa Pia AC ring the changes. Miguel Sousa has done his job and it is now time for Henrique Pereira to step up.
  • 70' Another change for CD Nacional made on 70 minute. Daniel Penha leaves to be changed by Matheus Dias.
  • 75' A stunning finish from Joel Tagueu — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 80' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and Casa Pia AC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 85' Max Svensson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Duplexe Tchamba on 85 minute.
  • 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Ruben Kluivert on 89.
  • 90' Arvin Appiah is having his name booked by the referee on 90.
  • 90' The CD Nacional manager makes a substitution. Luis Esteves departs to be replaced by Andre Sousa.
  • CD Nacional celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Casa Pia AC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexandre Santana

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ruben Kluivert 1
Joel Tagueu 1
Daniel Penha 1
Paulinho Boia 1
Larra 1

Head to Head

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC W 2025-03-08 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–0 CD Nacional L 2025-03-01 CD Nacional 2–1 FC Famalicão W 2025-02-21 Sporting Clube de Braga 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-02-15 CD Nacional 2–2 GD Estoril Praia D 2025-02-09 SC Farense 0–2 CD Nacional W

Casa Pia AC Form

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC L 2025-03-09 Casa Pia AC 1–3 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-03-01 Vitória SC 1–0 Casa Pia AC L 2025-02-22 Casa Pia AC 1–0 Gil Vicente FC W 2025-02-15 Moreirense FC 3–2 Casa Pia AC L 2025-02-09 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CF Estrela da Amadora W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.03 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.87 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional61% Draw23% Casa Pia AC16%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.9
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
84%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
39%
CD Nacional or Casa Pia AC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional45% Draw42% Casa Pia AC13%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
11.2%
1 – 0
10.6%
1 – 1
10.5%
2 – 1
9.5%
3 – 0
7.4%
0 – 0
7.2%
3 – 1
Actual
2 – 2
4.1%
1 – 2
4%
0 – 1
4%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 20% — 80%
-2 20% 19% 61%
-1.5 39% — 61%
-1 39% 24% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 86% — 14%
+1 86% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
43% ✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.