Sunday , 16 August 2026

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,556 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Penha 45+4' 1–0
1–1 49' Larra
Paulinho Boia 60' 2–1
Joel Tagueu 75' 3–1

Overview

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Casa Pia AC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
15 Feb GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
09 Feb SC Farense A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar CD Nacional A 1–3 L
09 Mar Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–3 L
01 Mar Vitória SC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Moreirense FC A 2–3 L
09 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional Casa Pia AC
#14 Position #16
1 Points 0
1 Played 1
0 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 1
2 Scored 0
2 Conceded 1
+0 GD -1
1.00 PPG 0.00
0% Win % 0%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
0% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (1 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
/
16-30
/2
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. CD Nacional get us underway at Estadio da Madeira.
  • 5' El Hadji Soumare needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' CD Nacional are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Casa Pia AC backline.
  • 20' Supporters expect more eagerness from Adrian Kraev, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio da Madeira with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 25' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 30' Casa Pia AC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 35' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 40' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 45' Leo Santos picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 46' Casa Pia AC make a change. Rafael Brito trudges off to be replaced by Adrian Kraev on 46 minutes.
  • 49' Daniel Penha has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 45 minutes.
  • 54' Casa Pia AC come into this ranked 7 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 59' CD Nacional are deployed in a 4-1-4-1 today, looking to exploit space against Casa Pia AC's 3-4-3 shape.
  • 60' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Paulinho Boia makes no mistake. 2-0!
  • 63' Another substitution for Casa Pia AC to replace Caue by Cassiano on 63 minute.
  • 68' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Larra made 328 appearances and scored 6 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 69' It is a substitution in Casa Pia AC team. Miguel Sousa is replaced by Henrique Pereira on 69 minute.
  • 70' Another substitution for CD Nacional to replace Daniel Penha by Matheus Dias on 70 minute.
  • 75' Goal! Joel Tagueu scores his 36 goal in 247 matches.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 85' A tactical swap from Casa Pia ACMax Svensson on, Duplexe Tchamba off on 85 minutes.
  • 89' Controversy at the stadium! Ruben Kluivert argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 90' The referee calls foul for Arvin Appiah. He receives a card.
  • 90' CD Nacional manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre Sousa is hanging Luis Esteves on the field on 90 minute.
  • The final score is 3-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.92 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.54 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional to win 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional65% Draw22% Casa Pia AC13%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes37% 0% No63%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
88%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
35%
CD Nacional or Casa Pia AC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional48% Draw45% Casa Pia AC7%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.8%
2 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
10.3%
3 – 0
9.6%
1 – 1
9.4%
2 – 1
8.3%
3 – 1
Actual
4 – 0
4.6%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
2.7%
2 – 2
2.3%
1 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 22% 57%
-1.5 43% 57%
-1 43% 26% 31%
-0.5 69% 31%
+0.5 91% 9%
+1 91% 7% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
58%
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
16%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.