Thursday , 2 July 2026

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC, Primeira Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2024-25
CD Nacional
3 – 1
Full Time
Casa Pia AC
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 15:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira 1,556 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Penha 45+4' 1–0
1–1 49' Larra
Paulinho Boia 60' 2–1
Joel Tagueu 75' 3–1
Leo Santos 45' Y
Y 89' Ruben Kluivert
Arvin Appiah 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs Casa Pia AC — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Porto 34 88
2 Sporting Clube de Portugal 34 82
3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 34 80
4 Sporting Clube de Braga 34 59
5 FC Famalicão 34 56
6 Gil Vicente FC 34 50
7 Moreirense FC 34 43
8 FC Arouca 34 42
9 Vitória SC 34 42
10 GD Estoril Praia 34 39
11 FC Alverca 34 39
12 Rio Ave FC 34 36
13 CD Santa Clara 34 36
14 CD Nacional 34 34
15 CF Estrela da Amadora 34 30
16 Casa Pia AC 34 30
17 CD Tondela 34 28
18 AVS 34 21

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
CD Nacional 4 games · Avg 1.8 goals Casa Pia AC
Last 5 meetings
2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

Recent Form

CD Nacional
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Casa Pia AC H 3–1 W
08 Mar Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 0–3 L
01 Mar FC Famalicão H 2–1 W
21 Feb Sporting Clube de Braga A 0–1 L
15 Feb GD Estoril Praia H 2–2 D
09 Feb SC Farense A 2–0 W
Casa Pia AC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar CD Nacional A 1–3 L
09 Mar Sporting Clube de Portugal H 1–3 L
01 Mar Vitória SC A 0–1 L
22 Feb Gil Vicente FC H 1–0 W
15 Feb Moreirense FC A 2–3 L
09 Feb CF Estrela da Amadora H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CD Nacional Casa Pia AC
#14 Position #16
34 Points 30
34 Played 34
9 / 7 / 18 W / D / L 6 / 12 / 16
37 Scored 31
45 Conceded 57
-8 GD -26
1.00 PPG 0.88
26% Win % 18%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
21% Clean Sheets
Casa Pia AC this season

CD Nacional are 14th (34 pts). Casa Pia AC are 16th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/1
31-45
–/1
46-60
–/–
61-75
3/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Casa Pia AC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
2/2
46-60
–/2
61-75
–/4
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' KICK OFF: CD Nacional gets underway.
  • 5' Casa Pia AC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 15' With 0 assists to his name this season, Patrick Sequeira is clearly more than just a goal scorer for CD Nacional.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Dudu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' It’s high time Alexandre Santana made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 30' Casa Pia AC is showing some good football. However, Casa Pia AC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 35' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both CD Nacional and Casa Pia AC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. CD Nacional is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' Leo Santos is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
  • 46' Casa Pia AC make a change. Rafael Brito trudges off to be replaced by Adrian Kraev on 46 minutes.
  • 49' The deadlock is broken! Daniel Penha gets on the scoresheet on 45 minutes.
  • 54' Casa Pia AC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 59' CD Nacional has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 60' Against the run of play, Paulinho Boia has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 63' Casa Pia AC make a change. Caue trudges off to be replaced by Cassiano on 63 minutes.
  • 68' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 69' Casa Pia AC make a change. Miguel Sousa trudges off to be replaced by Henrique Pereira on 69 minutes.
  • 70' Another change for CD Nacional made on 70 minute. Daniel Penha leaves to be changed by Matheus Dias.
  • 75' Joel Tagueu makes no mistake. The score reads 3-0 and CD Nacional are in front.
  • 80' CD Nacional looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 85' Max Svensson gets the nod from Casa Pia AC. He replaces Duplexe Tchamba and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 89' Ruben Kluivert has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • 90' That looks like a foul for a card for Arvin Appiah.
  • 90' CD Nacional manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Andre Sousa is hanging Luis Esteves on the field on 90 minute.
  • Full Time. CD Nacional beats Casa Pia AC

Lineups

CD Nacional Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Tiago Margarido

Casa Pia AC Lineups

3-4-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Alexandre Santana

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Ruben Kluivert 1
Joel Tagueu 1
Daniel Penha 1
Paulinho Boia 1
Larra 1

Head to Head

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC 2024-10-25 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CD Nacional

CD Nacional Form

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC W 2025-03-08 Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3–0 CD Nacional L 2025-03-01 CD Nacional 2–1 FC Famalicão W 2025-02-21 Sporting Clube de Braga 1–0 CD Nacional L 2025-02-15 CD Nacional 2–2 GD Estoril Praia D 2025-02-09 SC Farense 0–2 CD Nacional W

Casa Pia AC Form

2025-03-16 CD Nacional 3–1 Casa Pia AC L 2025-03-09 Casa Pia AC 1–3 Sporting Clube de Portugal L 2025-03-01 Vitória SC 1–0 Casa Pia AC L 2025-02-22 Casa Pia AC 1–0 Gil Vicente FC W 2025-02-15 Moreirense FC 3–2 Casa Pia AC L 2025-02-09 Casa Pia AC 1–0 CF Estrela da Amadora W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.85 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 Casa Pia AC xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional to win 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional56% Draw24% Casa Pia AC20%
Actual: CD Nacional win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
81%
Draw or Casa Pia AC
44%
CD Nacional or Casa Pia AC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
CD Nacional40% Draw44% Casa Pia AC16%
Actual: CD Nacional win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
1 – 0
10.2%
2 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
3 – 0
6%
3 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5%
0 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
3%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push Casa Pia AC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 18% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 23% 44%
-0.5 56% — 44%
+0.5 81% — 19%
+1 81% 12% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
Casa Pia AC keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.