Monday , 12 October 2026

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora, Primeira Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primeira Liga · 2026-27
Sun 30 Aug 2026 · 14:30 UTC Estadio da Madeira HT 45' · FT 45'
Wesley 3' 1–0
1–1 45+1' Ianis Stoica pen
1–2 62' Abraham Marcus
Pablo Ruan 66' 2–2
2–3 83' Leandro Antonetti

Overview

Match Preview

CD Nacional vs CF Estrela da Amadora — Primeira Liga at Estadio da Madeira.

Match Details

  • Referee Carlos Macedo
  • Assistant 1 Joao Macedo (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Santos (Portugal)
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 20.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug CF Estrela da Amadora H 2–3 L
23 Aug Vitoria SC A 0–1 L
16 Aug GD Estoril Praia H 2–0 W
10 Aug CD Santa Clara A 2–2 D
16 May Vitoria SC H 2–0 W
11 May CD Santa Clara A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
30 Aug CD Nacional A 3–2 W
15 Aug FC Alverca A 2–2 D
08 Aug Sporting Clube de Portugal H 2–2 D
16 May Sporting Clube de Braga A 2–2 D
11 May FC Famalicao H 0–0 D
02 May Moreirense FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

CD Nacional CF Estrela da Amadora
#16 Position #9
4 Points 10
8 Played 8
1 / 1 / 6 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 2
9 Scored 14
18 Conceded 15
-9 GD -1
0.50 PPG 1.25
13% Win % 25%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
20% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
CD Nacional this season
0% Clean Sheets
CF Estrela da Amadora this season

CD Nacional are 16th (4 pts). CF Estrela da Amadora are 9th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CD Nacional
0-15
1/3
16-30
–/2
31-45
3/7
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/3
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CF Estrela da Amadora
0-15
–/5
16-30
1/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
4/4
61-75
5/2
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CD Nacional
Abdel Kader Njoya 2 G
Liziero 1 G 1 A
Leo Santos 1 G
Miguel Baeza 1 G
Ze Vitor 1 G
CF Estrela da Amadora
Ianis Stoica 4 G 2 A
Abraham Marcus 4 G 1 A
Leandro Antonetti 4 G 1 A
Beni Souza 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.76 CD Nacional xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.26 CF Estrela da Amadora xG
I would bet for: CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional31% Draw24% CF Estrela da Amadora45%
Actual: CF Estrela da Amadora win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes74% 0% No26%
Avg goals/match: 4.02
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 91%
9%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 37%
63%

Double Chance

CD Nacional or Draw
55%
Draw or CF Estrela da Amadora
69%
CD Nacional or CF Estrela da Amadora
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CD Nacional25% Draw37% CF Estrela da Amadora38%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 2
6.8%
2 – 1
6.2%
1 – 3
5.8%
2 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.7%
3 – 1
3.6%
0 – 3
3.4%
1 – 4
3.3%

Asian Handicap — CD Nacional

Handicap CD Nacional covers Push CF Estrela da Amadora covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 9% 85%
-1.5 15% — 85%
-1 15% 15% 70%
-0.5 30% — 70%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 19% 30%
+1.5 70% — 30%
+2 70% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

CD Nacional keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
CF Estrela da Amadora keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.