Tuesday , 4 August 2026

CA Independiente vs CA Velez Sarsfield, Superliga Argentina 2026 APERTURA

Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 22:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

CA Independiente vs CA Velez SarsfieldSuperliga Argentina .

Match Details

  • Referee Hernan Mastrangelo
13 games this season 🟨 1.5/game 4.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan CA Velez Sarsfield H 1–1 D
28 Jan CA Newell's Old Boys A 1–1 D
23 Jan Estudiantes de La Plata H 1–1 D
14 Dec CA Boca Juniors A 0–0 D
10 Dec CA Tucuman H 2–1 W
01 Dec CA Central Cordoba H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan CA Independiente A 1–1 D
27 Jan CA Talleres H 2–1 W
23 Jan Instituto AC Córdoba A 1–0 W
15 Dec CA Huracan H 2–0 W
07 Dec CA Union A 0–1 L
01 Dec CA Sarmiento de Junin H 1–0 W

Season Stats

CA Independiente CA Velez Sarsfield
#7 Position #1
40 Points 51
27 Played 27
9 / 13 / 5 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 4
25 Scored 38
17 Conceded 16
+8 GD +22
1.48 PPG 1.89
33% Win % 52%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
30% Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
45% Clean Sheets
CA Velez Sarsfield this season

CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA Velez Sarsfield are 1st (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Independiente
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/
61-75
/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Velez Sarsfield
0-15
4/1
16-30
/2
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Independiente
Gabriel Avalos 11 G 5 A
Matias Abaldo 5 G 1 A
CA Velez Sarsfield
Florian Monzon 6 G
Manuel Lanzini 4 G
Matias Pellegrini 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

CA Independiente Lineups

CA Velez Sarsfield Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.88 CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.91 CA Velez Sarsfield xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + CA Independiente or Draw 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
CA Independiente34% Draw34% CA Velez Sarsfield32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes36% 0% No64%
Avg goals/match: 1.79
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 11%
89%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

CA Independiente or Draw
68%
Draw or CA Velez Sarsfield
66%
CA Independiente or CA Velez Sarsfield
66%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Independiente21% Draw58% CA Velez Sarsfield21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
19.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
13.8%
1 – 0
13.2%
0 – 2
6.5%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
6%
2 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
2.8%
0 – 3
2%
1 – 3
1.9%
3 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — CA Independiente

Handicap CA Independiente covers Push CA Velez Sarsfield covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 20% 69%
-0.5 31% 69%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 21% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
41%
CA Velez Sarsfield keeps clean sheet
42%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.