CA Independiente vs CA Tucuman, Superliga Argentina 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Independiente vs CA Tucuman — Superliga Argentina at Libertadores de America.
- CA Independiente 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- CA Tucuman 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA Velez Sarsfield | 27 | 51 |
| 2 | CA Talleres | 27 | 48 |
| 3 | Racing Club | 27 | 46 |
| 4 | CA Huracan | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | CA River Plate | 27 | 43 |
| 6 | CA Boca Juniors | 27 | 42 |
| 7 | CA Independiente | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | CA Tucuman | 27 | 40 |
| 9 | CA Union | 27 | 40 |
| 10 | CA Platense | 27 | 39 |
| 11 | CS Independiente Rivadavia | 27 | 38 |
| 12 | Estudiantes de La Plata | 27 | 36 |
| 13 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 27 | 36 |
| 14 | CA Lanus | 27 | 36 |
| 15 | CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | 27 | 35 |
| 16 | CA Belgrano | 27 | 35 |
| 17 | CD Riestra | 27 | 35 |
| 18 | CA Tigre | 27 | 34 |
| 19 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata | 27 | 32 |
| 20 | CA Rosario Central | 27 | 32 |
| 21 | CSyD Defensa y Justicia | 27 | 32 |
| 22 | CA Central Cordoba | 27 | 31 |
| 23 | AA Argentinos Juniors | 27 | 30 |
| 24 | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | 27 | 29 |
| 25 | CA Newell's Old Boys | 27 | 28 |
| 26 | CA Sarmiento de Junin | 27 | 26 |
| 27 | CA Banfield | 27 | 24 |
| 28 | CA Barracas Central | 27 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | CA Tucuman | H | 3–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | CA Platense | H | 3–0 | W |
| 19 Oct | CA San Martin de San Juan | A | 0–1 | L |
| 13 Oct | CA Lanus | H | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Oct | CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Sep | Racing Club | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | CA Independiente | A | 0–3 | L |
| 21 Oct | CA San Lorenzo de Almagro | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | Instituto AC Cordoba | A | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Oct | CA Platense | H | 2–0 | W |
| 29 Sep | CA Velez Sarsfield | A | 1–3 | L |
| 21 Sep | CA River Plate | H | 2–0 | W |
Season Stats
| CA Independiente | CA Tucuman | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #8 |
| 40 | Points | 40 |
| 27 | Played | 27 |
| 9 / 13 / 5 | W / D / L | 11 / 7 / 9 |
| 25 | Scored | 28 |
| 17 | Conceded | 27 |
| +8 | GD | +1 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 1.48 |
| 33% | Win % | 41% |
Key Stats
29%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
43%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
30%
Clean Sheets
CA Independiente this season
CA Independiente this season
44%
Clean Sheets
CA Tucuman this season
CA Tucuman this season
CA Independiente are 7th (40 pts). CA Tucuman are 8th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Independiente
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
5/5
61-75
–/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
CA Tucuman
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/5
76+
5/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Independiente
| Gabriel Avalos | 11 G | 5 A |
| Matias Abaldo | 5 G | 3 A |
| Santiago Gabriel Montiel | 4 G | 4 A |
CA Tucuman
| Leandro Diaz | 7 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Libertadores de America. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' CA Independiente are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against CA Tucuman's 4-4-2 shape.
- 10' Matias Abaldo has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 2 goals to his name this season.
- 15' Lautaro Godoy has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 25 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 16' It’s a booking for CA Tucuman player. Leandro Diaz gets a card.
- 21' Argentina international Ignacio Galvan has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 25' Magnificent from Matias Abaldo! That is 6 goals in 192 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 30' A goal from the Paraguay international Gabriel Avalos! He fires home on 30 to make it 2-0!
- 35' It looks like no one’s ball. CA Tucuman is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 40' CA Independiente are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined CA Tucuman backline.
- 45' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Tucuman that had 185 games and scored 190 goals.
- 46' CA Tucuman make a change. Kevin Lopez trudges off to be replaced by Lautaro Godoy on 46 minutes.
- 47' Poor challenge from Sebastian Valdez. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 51' Kevin Ortiz was booked on 51.
- 55' What a moment for Felipe Loyola! That strike on 55 puts his side firmly in control.
- 57' Poor challenge from Ignacio Galvan. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 62' CA Tucuman are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 63' The CA Tucuman manager makes a substitution. Adrian Sanchez departs to be replaced by Miguel Brizuela.
- 67' Ivan Marcone is replacing Felipe Loyola for the CA Independiente side.
- 72' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Independiente in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past CA Tucuman's compact 4-4-2.
- 74' Another substitution for CA Tucuman to replace Lautaro Millan by Renzo Tesuri on 74 minute.
- 79' Luciano Cabral is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kevin Lomonaco at the 79 minute mark.
- 80' CA Tucuman player sees a card in front of him.
- 85' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 89' A meaty challenge results in booking for Clever Ferreira on 89.
- CA Tucuman will have plenty to reflect on. CA Independiente were simply the better side today.
Lineups
CA Independiente Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 33
- 29
- 9
-
26
Kevin Lomonaco ↓ Luciano Cabral 79'
- 20
- 7
- 36
-
5
Felipe Loyola ↓ Ivan Marcone 67'
- 19
- 39
- 14
Bench
- 11
-
6
Nicolas Freire ↑ 79'
- 25
-
23
Ivan Marcone ↑ 67'
- 4
- 1
- 17
- 22
- 27
-
10
Luciano Cabral ↑ 79'
Coach
Gustavo Quinteros
CA Tucuman Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
- 27
-
22
Ramiro Ruiz ↓ Guillermo Acosta 63'
- 13
- 4
-
9
Mateo Bajamich ↓ Franco Nicola 46'
- 21
- 1
- 5
-
30
Kevin Lopez ↓ Lautaro Godoy 46'
- 45
- 26
Bench
- 6
-
8
Guillermo Acosta ↑ 63'
- 29
- 28
-
33
Miguel Brizuela ↑ 63'
- 18
-
10
Franco Nicola ↑ 46'
-
24
Lautaro Godoy ↑ 46'
- 34
- 35
- 12
- 14
Coach
Hugo Colace
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Gabriel Avalos | 2 |
| Felipe Loyola | 2 |
| Rodrigo Aliendro | 2 |
| Renzo Tesuri | 1 |
| Augusto Lotti | 1 |
| Fernando Gaibor | 1 |
| Mateo Bajamich | 1 |
| Emmanuel Gigliotti | 1 |
Head to Head
CA Independiente Form
2025-11-01
CA Independiente
3–0
CA Tucuman
W
2025-10-24
CA Independiente
3–0
CA Platense
W
2025-10-19
CA San Martin de San Juan
1–0
CA Independiente
L
2025-10-13
CA Independiente
0–2
CA Lanus
L
2025-10-05
CD Godoy Cruz Antonio Tomba
1–1
CA Independiente
D
2025-09-28
Racing Club
0–0
CA Independiente
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.51
CA Independiente xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.63
CA Tucuman xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 64% + Under — clean sheet likely 63%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: CA Independiente win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.14
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 1.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 2.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 3.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
| ± 4.5 | 7% |
|
93% |
Double Chance
CA Independiente or Draw
83%
Draw or CA Tucuman
44%
CA Independiente or CA Tucuman
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: CA Independiente win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 0
16.8%
0 – 0
14%
2 – 0
13%
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
8.2%
3 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.3%
3 – 1
4.3%
1 – 2
3.3%
2 – 2
2.7%
4 – 0
2.4%
0 – 2
2.2%
Asian Handicap — CA Independiente
| Handicap | CA Independiente covers | Push | CA Tucuman covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -2 | 13% | 18% | 70% |
| -1.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| -1 | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| -0.5 | 57% | — | 43% |
| +0.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +1 | 86% | 10% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
CA Independiente keeps clean sheet
54%
✓
CA Tucuman keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

