Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sun 14 Sep 2025 · 13:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Liverpool FCPremier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Michael Oliver
19 games this season 🟨 2.0/game 9.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
30 Aug Manchester United FC A 2–3 L
23 Aug Sunderland AFC H 2–0 W
16 Aug Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–3 L
03 May Millwall FC H 3–1 W
26 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 5–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
14 Sep Burnley FC A 1–0 W
31 Aug Arsenal FC H 1–0 W
25 Aug Newcastle United FC A 3–2 W
15 Aug AFC Bournemouth H 4–2 W
25 May Crystal Palace FC H 1–1 D
19 May Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 2–3 L

Season Stats

Burnley FC Liverpool FC
#2 Position #12
22 Points 0
38 Played 0
4 / 10 / 24 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
38 Scored 0
75 Conceded 0
-37 GD +0
0.58 PPG
11% Win %

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Liverpool FC are 12th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Liverpool FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.47 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.77 Liverpool FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Liverpool FC or Draw 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC21% Draw39% Liverpool FC40%
Actual: Liverpool FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes22% 0% No78%
Avg goals/match: 1.24
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 68%
32%
± 1.5 36%
64%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 4%
96%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
60%
Draw or Liverpool FC
79%
Burnley FC or Liverpool FC
61%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC11% Draw67% Liverpool FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.8%
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 2
7.9%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 1
2.5%
0 – 3
2%
1 – 3
1.2%
2 – 2
1.2%
3 – 0
0.4%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Liverpool FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 3% 96%
-1.5 4% 96%
-1 4% 15% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 63% 37%
+1 63% 25% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 9% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
47%
Liverpool FC keeps clean sheet
63%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.