Burnley FC vs Nottingham Forest FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2025-26

Burnley FC

1 – 1

Full Time

Nottingham Forest FC

Sat 20 Sep 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Burnley FC vs Nottingham Forest FC — Premier League .

Burnley FC 38 games · 22 pts (2026/27)
Nottingham Forest FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Thomas Bramall

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	West Ham United FC	38	39
2	Burnley FC	38	22
3	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	38	20
4	Tottenham Hotspur FC	0	0
5	Coventry City FC	0	0
6	Hull City AFC	0	0
7	Ipswich Town FC	0	0
8	Arsenal FC	0	0
9	Manchester City FC	0	0
10	Manchester United FC	0	0
11	Aston Villa FC	0	0
12	Liverpool FC	0	0
13	AFC Bournemouth	0	0
14	Sunderland AFC	0	0
15	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	0	0
16	Brentford FC	0	0
17	Chelsea FC	0	0
18	Fulham FC	0	0
19	Newcastle United FC	0	0
20	Everton FC	0	0
21	Leeds United FC	0	0
22	Crystal Palace FC	0	0
23	Nottingham Forest FC	0	0

Head-to-Head

Burnley FC 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Nottingham Forest FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-09-20 Burnley FC 1–1 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-05-19 Burnley FC 1–2 Nottingham Forest FC 2023-09-18 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Burnley FC

Recent Form

Burnley FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	Nottingham Forest FC	H	1–1	D
14 Sep	Liverpool FC	H	0–1	L
30 Aug	Manchester United FC	A	2–3	L
23 Aug	Sunderland AFC	H	2–0	W
16 Aug	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–3	L
03 May	Millwall FC	H	3–1	W

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
20 Sep	Burnley FC	A	1–1	D
13 Sep	Arsenal FC	A	0–3	L
31 Aug	West Ham United FC	H	0–3	L
24 Aug	Crystal Palace FC	A	1–1	D
17 Aug	Brentford FC	H	3–1	W
25 May	Chelsea FC	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

Burnley FC		Nottingham Forest FC
#2	Position	#23
22	Points	0
38	Played	0
4 / 10 / 24	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
38	Scored	0
75	Conceded	0
-37	GD	+0
0.58	PPG	–
11%	Win %	–

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Burnley FC are 2nd (22 pts). Nottingham Forest FC are 23rd (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final score is 1-1.

Lineups

Burnley FC Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Morgan Gibbs-White	3
Chris Wood	2
Callum Hudson-Odoi	1
Zeki Amdouni	1
Josh Cullen	1
Igor Jesus	1
Zian Flemming	1

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.67 Burnley FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.5 Nottingham Forest FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 88% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC36% Draw41% Nottingham Forest FC23%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes21% 0% No79%

Avg goals/match: 1.17

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	66%	34%
± 1.5	33%	67%
± 2.5	12%	88%
± 3.5	4%	96%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw

76%

Draw or Nottingham Forest FC

64%

Burnley FC or Nottingham Forest FC

59%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Burnley FC18% Draw69% Nottingham Forest FC13%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

33.9%

1 – 0

19.1%

0 – 1

13.6%

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

6.3%

2 – 1

3.7%

0 – 2

3.4%

1 – 2

2.7%

3 – 0

1.4%

2 – 2

1.1%

3 – 1

0.9%

0 – 3

0.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap	Burnley FC covers	Push	Nottingham Forest FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	7%	91%
-1.5	9%	—	91%
-1	9%	23%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	79%	—	21%
+1	79%	17%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet

61% ✗

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

52% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.