Thursday , 2 July 2026

Burnley FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2022-23 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2022-23
Sat 17 Sep 2022 · 14:00 UTC Turf Moor HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 32' Alex Scott

Overview

Head-to-Head

4
Burnley FC 4 games · Avg 2.0 goals Bristol City FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Bristol City FC H 2–1 W
13 Sep Preston North End FC A 1–1 D
02 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–1 D
30 Aug Millwall FC H 2–0 W
27 Aug Wigan Athletic FC A 5–1 W
20 Aug Blackpool FC H 3–3 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
17 Sep Burnley FC A 1–2 L
14 Sep Norwich City FC A 2–3 L
03 Sep Blackburn Rovers FC A 3–2 W
31 Aug Huddersfield Town AFC H 2–0 W
27 Aug Blackpool FC A 3–3 D
21 Aug Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Turf Moor!
  • 4' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Benson Manuel makes no mistake. 1-0!
  • 9' Jack Cork is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
  • 14' Nahki Wells, a Bermuda , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 19' Chris Martin has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 24' Burnley FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 27' Goal! Nahki Wells scores his 73 goal in 378 matches.
  • 32' It’s gonna be a Yellow card for Alex Scott.
  • 37' Connor Roberts has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 30 cards already picked up this season.
  • 42' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 46' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Alex Scott is replaced by Joe Williams.
  • 51' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 53' Johann Berg Gudmundsson has so much to prove this time. He replaces Benson Manuel on 53 minute.
  • 58' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Bristol City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 63' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Nigel Pearson will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 66' A tactical swap from Burnley FCAnass Zaroury on, Nathan Tella off on 66 minutes.
  • 67' Against the run of play, Jay Rodriguez has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 72' Burnley FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol City FC backline.
  • 76' Matty James makes way for Han-Noah Massengo at the 76 minute mark. A tactical switch from Bristol City FC.
  • 79' Time for substitution for Bristol City FC. Robert Atkinson is replaced by Chris Martin.
  • 84' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 89' The 30-year-old Josh Brownhill has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • Bristol City FC will have plenty to reflect on. Burnley FC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.8 Burnley FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC51% Draw25% Bristol City FC24%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Burnley FC or Draw
76%
Draw or Bristol City FC
49%
Burnley FC or Bristol City FC
75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Burnley FC36% Draw43% Bristol City FC21%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.6%
0 – 0
6.5%
1 – 2
6.4%
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.7%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Burnley FC

Handicap Burnley FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 72%
-1.5 28% 72%
-1 28% 21% 51%
-0.5 49% 51%
+0.5 75% 25%
+1 75% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.