Tuesday , 13 October 2026

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
Botafogo FR
3 – 2
Full Time
Gremio FBPA
Wed 16 Sep 2026 · 22:30 UTC Municipal Nilton Santos HT 45' · FT 45'
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 30' 1–0
1–1 36' Jovane Cabral
Alvaro Montoro 52' 2–1
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 79' 3–1
3–2 88' Gustavo Martins
Y 78' Erick Noriega
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 90' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A at Municipal Nilton Santos.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

5
2
7
Botafogo FR 14 games · Avg 3.9 goals Gremio FBPA
Last 5 meetings
2026-09-16 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Botafogo FR
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Gremio FBPA H 3–2 W
12 Sep RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
06 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–0 D
30 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
24 Aug CA Paranaense H 2–3 L
16 Aug EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Sep Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
12 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–2 L
07 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chapecoense AF H 3–1 W
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Gremio FBPA
#12 Position #18
36 Points 31
30 Played 30
9 / 9 / 12 W / D / L 7 / 10 / 13
43 Scored 32
48 Conceded 40
-5 GD -8
1.20 PPG 1.03
30% Win % 23%

Key Stats

64% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)
71% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
17% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 12th (36 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
2/5
31-45
5/4
46-60
5/4
61-75
4/3
76+
8/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 10 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Municipal Nilton Santos that hosts another battle between Botafogo FR and Gremio FBPA.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Botafogo FR in their 4-4-2 trying to find a way past Gremio FBPA's compact 4-3-3.
  • 20' Lucas Monzon has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' Gremio FBPA are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 30' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira makes it 1-0.
  • 35' Botafogo FR seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 36' What composure from Jovane Cabral! The Cape Verde Islands international strokes it home. 1-1.
  • 41' Gremio FBPA has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 46' Botafogo FR make a change. Edenilson trudges off to be replaced by Danilo on 46 minutes.
  • 51' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 52' Goal! Alvaro Montoro scores his 4 goal in 171 matches.
  • 57' Botafogo FR are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Gremio FBPA backline.
  • 59' A tactical swap from Gremio FBPA — Jose Enamorado on, Jovane Cabral off on 59 minutes.
  • 64' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 66' Martin Braithwaite has so much to prove this time. He replaces Filip Krovinovic on 66 minute.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 73' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Junior Santos exits the field as Marcal enters on 73.
  • 78' Erick Noriega has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 78' The crowd applauds Cristian Pavon as he leaves the pitch. Tete steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 79' Goal! Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira scores his 16 goal in 395 matches.
  • 81' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Alvaro Montoro exits the field as Allan enters on 81.
  • 86' A change in the Botafogo FR ranks — Arthur Cabral exits the field as Tiquinho Soares enters on 86.
  • 88' Gustavo Martins makes no mistake. The score reads 3-2 and Gremio FBPA are in front.
  • 90' Danilo catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Botafogo FR take all three points.

Lineups

Botafogo FR Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Franclim Carvalho

Grêmio FBPA Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Castro

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luis Suarez 3
Cuiabano 3
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 2
Jean Pyerre 2
Junior Santos 2
Pepe 2
Alisson 2
Jael 2

Head to Head

2026-09-16 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2026-02-05 Gremio FBPA 5–3 Botafogo FR 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA 2025-09-24 Gremio FBPA 1–1 Botafogo FR 2024-09-29 Botafogo FR 0–0 Gremio FBPA

Botafogo FR Form

2026-09-16 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA W 2026-09-12 Botafogo FR 1–1 RB Bragantino D 2026-09-06 Botafogo FR 0–0 SE Palmeiras D 2026-08-30 CR Flamengo 3–0 Botafogo FR L 2026-08-24 Botafogo FR 2–3 CA Paranaense L 2026-08-16 EC Vitoria 1–0 Botafogo FR L

Grêmio FBPA Form

2026-09-16 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L 2026-09-12 Gremio FBPA 1–2 CR Vasco da Gama W 2026-09-07 EC Vitoria 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2026-08-30 Gremio FBPA 3–1 Chapecoense AF L 2026-08-23 RB Bragantino 1–0 Gremio FBPA L 2026-08-16 CA Mineiro 3–0 Gremio FBPA L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.81 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 62% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR49% Draw24% Grêmio FBPA27%
Actual: Botafogo FR win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.17
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
74%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
51%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Botafogo FR35% Draw43% Grêmio FBPA22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
6.8%
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.1%
0 – 0
5.9%
3 – 1
5.4%
0 – 1
5%
3 – 0
4%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
Actual

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 14% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 15% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.