Tuesday , 15 September 2026

Botafogo FR vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 16 Sep 2026 · 22:30 UTC Municipal Nilton Santos

Overview

Match Preview

Botafogo FR vs Grêmio FBPASerie A at Municipal Nilton Santos.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep RB Bragantino H 1–1 D
06 Sep SE Palmeiras H 0–0 D
30 Aug CR Flamengo A 0–3 L
24 Aug CA Paranaense H 2–3 L
16 Aug EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
09 Aug Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep CR Vasco da Gama H 1–2 L
07 Sep EC Vitoria A 0–1 L
30 Aug Chapecoense AF H 3–1 W
23 Aug RB Bragantino A 0–1 L
16 Aug CA Mineiro A 0–3 L
08 Aug Sao Paulo FC H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Botafogo FR Gremio FBPA
#14 Position #17
32 Points 28
26 Played 26
8 / 8 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 12
38 Scored 28
41 Conceded 35
-3 GD -7
1.23 PPG 1.08
31% Win % 27%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
19% Clean Sheets
Botafogo FR this season
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Botafogo FR are 14th (32 pts). Gremio FBPA are 17th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Botafogo FR
0-15
5/5
16-30
1/3
31-45
4/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
4/3
76+
7/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
3/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/7
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Botafogo FR
Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira 7 G 2 A
Arthur Cabral 7 G 1 A
Edenilson 4 G 2 A
Matheus Martins 4 G
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

H2H

Predictions

1.61 Botafogo FR xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Grêmio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

Botafogo FR47% Draw27% Grêmio FBPA26%

Both Teams to Score

Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.77

Over / Under Goals

Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

Botafogo FR or Draw
74%
Draw or Grêmio FBPA
53%
Botafogo FR or Grêmio FBPA
73%

Half-Time Result

Botafogo FR33% Draw46% Grêmio FBPA21%

Correct Score

1 – 1
12.6%
1 – 0
9.2%
2 – 1
9.1%
0 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
8%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Botafogo FR

Handicap Botafogo FR covers Push Grêmio FBPA covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 22% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Botafogo FR keeps clean sheet
32%
Grêmio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.