Thursday , 2 July 2026

Granada CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 16:30 UTC Nuevo Los Carmenes HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Fran Garcia
0–2 45+2' Arda Guler
0–3 49' Brahim Diaz
0–4 58' Brahim Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Granada CF vs Real Madrid CFLa Liga at Nuevo Los Carmenes.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Porras Rico (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Real Madrid CF H 0–4 L
05 May Sevilla FC A 0–3 L
28 Apr CA Osasuna H 3–0 W
19 Apr Athletic Club A 1–1 D
14 Apr Deportivo Alaves H 2–0 W
04 Apr Valencia CF H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Granada CF A 4–0 W
08 May FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
04 May Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
21 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between Granada CF and Real Madrid CF is underway.
  • 5' It looks surprising Granada CF does not make any changes. Oscar Melendo has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 20' Real Madrid CF started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 20.
  • 25' That looks like a foul for a card for Lucas Boye.
  • 30' It looks like no one’s ball. Real Madrid CF is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 35' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Real Madrid CF needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 38' Real Madrid CF is taking the lead after the goal scored by Fran Garcia on 38.
  • 43' It’s high time Jose Ramon Sandoval made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 45' Granada CF receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
  • 46' Another substitution for Granada CF to replace Kamil Jozwiak by Jose Callejon on 46 minute.
  • 47' What a strike from Arda Guler! The score is 0-2.
  • 49' Goal! Brahim Diaz scores his 38 goal in 436 matches.
  • 53' Gonzalo Villar is replacing Gerard Gumbau for the Granada CF side.
  • 58' Brahim Diaz with the second goal in the match!
  • 63' The travelling Real Madrid CF supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 68' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Joselu suffering a number of foals already.
  • 70' The whistle greets Luka Modric as he departs to be replaced by Toni Kroos.
  • 74' Ricard Sanchez is replacing Bruno Mendez for the Granada CF side.
  • 79' Supporters expect more eagerness from Eder Militao, as he is very good at scoring at Nuevo Los Carmenes with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' Oscar Melendo is replacing Myrto Uzuni for the Granada CF side.
  • 86' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Real Madrid CF players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 Granada CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Granada CF21% Draw25% Real Madrid CF54%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Granada CF or Draw
46%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
79%
Granada CF or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Granada CF17% Draw44% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
10%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Granada CF

Handicap Granada CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% 93%
-1 7% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% 80%
+0.5 45% 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

Granada CF keeps clean sheet
17%
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.