Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Granada CF vs Real Madrid CF, La Liga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2023-24
Sat 11 May 2024 · 16:30 UTC Nuevo Los Carmenes HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 38' Fran Garcia
0–2 45+2' Arda Guler
0–3 49' Brahim Diaz
0–4 58' Brahim Diaz

Overview

Match Preview

Granada CF vs Real Madrid CF — La Liga at Nuevo Los Carmenes.

Match Details

  • Referee Pablo Gonzalez Fuertes (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Israel Barcena Rodriguez (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Ruben Porras Rico (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Real Madrid CF H 0–4 L
05 May Sevilla FC A 0–3 L
28 Apr CA Osasuna H 3–0 W
19 Apr Athletic Club A 1–1 D
14 Apr Deportivo Alavés H 2–0 W
04 Apr Valencia CF H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 May Granada CF A 4–0 W
08 May FC Bayern München H 2–1 W
04 May Cadiz CF H 3–0 W
30 Apr FC Bayern München A 2–2 D
26 Apr Real Sociedad de Fútbol A 1–0 W
21 Apr FC Barcelona H 3–2 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
14% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
1/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Nuevo Los Carmenes as Granada CF face off against Real Madrid CF in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' The 31-year-old Myrto Uzuni has been sensational this season — 5 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 15' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 20' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 20 minutes.
  • 25' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Boye on 25 minutes.
  • 30' Bruno Mendez, a Uruguay , has 25 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 35' Real Madrid CF is showing some good football. However, Real Madrid CF are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 38' GOAL! Fran Garcia scores on 38.
  • 43' It looks surprising Real Madrid CF does not make any changes. Martin Hongla has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 45' A moment of madness from Gerard Gumbau on 45 minutes earns him a card. Granada CF will be frustrated.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Granada CF — Jose Callejon on, Kamil Jozwiak off on 46 minutes.
  • 47' A goal from the Turkey international Arda Guler! He fires home on 45 to make it 0-2!
  • 49' What composure from Brahim Diaz! The Morocco international strokes it home. 0-3.
  • 53' Fresh legs for Granada CF! Gonzalo Villar comes on to replace Gerard Gumbau.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Brahim Diaz gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Facundo Pellistri is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Granada CF.
  • 68' Real Madrid CF come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 70' Fresh legs for Real Madrid CF! Toni Kroos comes on to replace Luka Modric.
  • 74' Ricard Sanchez gets the nod from Granada CF. He replaces Bruno Mendez and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 79' Granada CF currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 81' The Granada CF bench stirs into life. Myrto Uzuni is withdrawn and Oscar Melendo gets his opportunity.
  • 86' Dani Ceballos is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Real Madrid CF tonight.
  • 0-4 the final result. Granada CF will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.01 Granada CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.81 Real Madrid CF xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Granada CF21% Draw25% Real Madrid CF54%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.82
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Granada CF or Draw
46%
Draw or Real Madrid CF
79%
Granada CF or Real Madrid CF
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Granada CF17% Draw44% Real Madrid CF39%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 0–4 not predicted
0 – 4
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
0 – 1
10%
0 – 2
9.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.7%
1 – 3
5.8%
0 – 3
5.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
1 – 0
5.1%
2 – 2
4.8%
2 – 3
3%
2 – 0
3%

Asian Handicap — Granada CF

Handicap Granada CF covers Push Real Madrid CF covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 80%
-0.5 20% — 80%
+0.5 45% — 55%
+1 45% 23% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

Granada CF keeps clean sheet
17% ✓
Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
37% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.