Saturday , 14 November 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
Morgan Rogers 89' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee Rebecca Welch (England)
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
07 Oct Sunderland AFC A 4–0 W
03 Oct Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep Watford FC A 3–2 W
23 Sep Southampton FC H 2–1 W
19 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Birmingham City FC
#2 Position #1
29 Points 29
15 Played 15
8 / 5 / 2 W / D / L 8 / 5 / 2
30 Scored 28
19 Conceded 14
+11 GD +14
1.93 PPG 1.93
53% Win % 53%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
33% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 2nd (29 pts). Birmingham City FC are 1st (29 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
5/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/4
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
2/1
16-30
6/1
31-45
4/7
46-60
4/1
61-75
4/1
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 13 G
Amario Cozier-Duberry 3 G 4 A
Birmingham City FC
August Priske 6 G 1 A
Liam Millar 4 G 3 A
Jay Stansfield 4 G 1 A
Demarai Gray 3 G
Phil Neumann 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.5 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.96 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC54% Draw26% Birmingham City FC20%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.46
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 44%
56%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
80%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
46%
Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC34% Draw49% Birmingham City FC17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.6%
2 – 0
9.3%
2 – 1
8.9%
0 – 1
7.1%
1 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
4.6%
3 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.3%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
39% ✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.