Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2023-24
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'
Morgan Rogers 89' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Riverside.

Match Details

  • Referee Rebecca Welch (England)
  • Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
  • Assistant 2
3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Birmingham City FC H 1–0 W
07 Oct Sunderland AFC A 4–0 W
03 Oct Cardiff City FC H 2–0 W
30 Sep Watford FC A 3–2 W
23 Sep Southampton FC H 2–1 W
19 Sep Sheffield Wednesday FC A 1–1 D

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC Birmingham City FC
#3 Position #10
15 Points 11
8 Played 8
4 / 3 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 5 / 1
16 Scored 12
12 Conceded 11
+4 GD +1
1.88 PPG 1.38
50% Win % 25%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (15 games)
47% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Middlesbrough FC this season
13% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Middlesbrough FC are 3rd (15 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (11 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
0-15
3/3
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/4
61-75
3/3
76+
4/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Birmingham City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
1/6
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/–
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Middlesbrough FC
William Lankshear 6 G
Birmingham City FC
Phil Neumann 2 G
Demarai Gray 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.86 Middlesbrough FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 Birmingham City FC xG
I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC60% Draw23% Birmingham City FC17%
Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.79
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 52%
48%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw
83%
Draw or Birmingham City FC
40%
Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Middlesbrough FC41% Draw44% Birmingham City FC15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.4%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.9%
3 – 0
6.3%
3 – 1
5.9%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
2.9%
3 – 2
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap Middlesbrough FC covers Push Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 18% 66%
-1.5 34% — 66%
-1 34% 24% 42%
-0.5 58% — 42%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet
40% ✗
Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet
16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.