Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2023-24

Middlesbrough FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 14:00 UTC Riverside HT 45' · FT 45'

Morgan Rogers 89' 1–0

Matt Crooks 26' Y

Lukas Engel 30' Y

Y 40' Krystian Bielik

Y 45' John Ruddy

Hayden Hackney 58' Y

Y 71' Emmanuel Longelo

Overview

Match Preview

Middlesbrough FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship at Riverside.

Middlesbrough FC 46 games · 80 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 46 games · 64 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Rebecca Welch (England)
Assistant 1 Matthew Smith
Assistant 2

3 games this season 🟨 3.7/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Millwall FC	46	83
4	Southampton FC	46	80
5	Middlesbrough FC	46	80
6	Hull City AFC	46	73
7	Wrexham AFC	46	71
8	Derby County FC	46	69
9	Norwich City FC	46	65
10	Birmingham City FC	46	64
11	Swansea City AFC	46	64
12	Bristol City FC	46	62
13	Sheffield United FC	46	60
14	Preston North End FC	46	60
15	Queens Park Rangers FC	46	58
16	Watford FC	46	57
17	Stoke City FC	46	55
18	Portsmouth FC	46	55
19	Charlton Athletic FC	46	53
20	Blackburn Rovers FC	46	52
21	West Bromwich Albion FC	46	51
22	Oxford United FC	46	47
23	Leicester City FC	46	46
24	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Middlesbrough FC 14 games · Avg 2.4 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2023-10-21 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2023-01-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC 2022-10-05 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2022-03-15 Birmingham City FC 0–2 Middlesbrough FC 2021-10-30 Middlesbrough FC 0–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Middlesbrough FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Birmingham City FC	H	1–0	W
07 Oct	Sunderland AFC	A	4–0	W
03 Oct	Cardiff City FC	H	2–0	W
30 Sep	Watford FC	A	3–2	W
23 Sep	Southampton FC	H	2–1	W
19 Sep	Sheffield Wednesday FC	A	1–1	D

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Oct	Middlesbrough FC	A	0–1	L
06 Oct	West Bromwich Albion FC	H	3–1	W
03 Oct	Huddersfield Town AFC	H	4–1	W
30 Sep	Norwich City FC	A	0–2	L
22 Sep	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	0–0	D
19 Sep	Preston North End FC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

Middlesbrough FC		Birmingham City FC
#5	Position	#10
80	Points	64
46	Played	46
22 / 14 / 10	W / D / L	17 / 13 / 16
72	Scored	57
47	Conceded	56
+25	GD	+1
1.74	PPG	1.39
48%	Win %	37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (14 games)

43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Middlesbrough FC are 5th (80 pts). Birmingham City FC are 10th (64 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' Welcome to Riverside that hosts another battle between Middlesbrough FC and Birmingham City FC.
5' Middlesbrough FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
10' Middlesbrough FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
15' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
20' Middlesbrough FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Birmingham City FC backline.
25' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
26' A meaty challenge results in booking for Matt Crooks on 26.
27' Matt Crooks picks up a Yellow card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
30' A moment of madness from Lukas Engel on 30 minutes earns him a Yellow card. Middlesbrough FC will be frustrated.
35' The travelling Birmingham City FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
40' Birmingham City FC receives a Yellow card for a hard tackle on 40.
45' A meaty challenge results in booking for John Ruddy on 45.
50' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Middlesbrough FC and Birmingham City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
55' With 0 assists to his name this season, Dael Fry is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Middlesbrough FC.
58' The referee has no hesitation. Hayden Hackney is booked for Middlesbrough FC — Yellow card on 58.
59' The referee calls foul for Hayden Hackney. He receives a Yellow card.
62' Birmingham City FC make a change. Gary Gardner trudges off to be replaced by Juninho Bacuna on 62 minutes.
66' It is a substitution in Middlesbrough FC team. Josh Coburn is replaced by Emmanuel Latte Lath on 66 minute.
70' Birmingham City FC ring the changes. Scott Hogan has done his job and it is now time for Koji Miyoshi to step up.
71' Emmanuel Longelo has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a Yellow card on 71.
76' The supporters are chanting for Morgan Rogers. He replaces Daniel Barlaser on 76 minute.
77' Jonny Howson gets the nod from Middlesbrough FC. He replaces Sam Greenwood and will look to change the dynamic.
81' Middlesbrough FC make a change. Tom Smith trudges off to be replaced by Marcus Forss on 81 minutes.
83' A tactical swap from Birmingham City FC — Jordan James on, Ivan Sunjic off on 83 minutes.
88' Josh Coburn has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 1 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
89' GOAL! Morgan Rogers fires home to make it 1-0!
The points are shared — Middlesbrough FC 1-0 Birmingham City FC. Honours even.

Lineups

Middlesbrough FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

17
Paddy McNair
6
Dael Fry
4
Daniel Barlaser ↓ Morgan Rogers 76'
1
Seny Dieng
11
Isaiah Jones
7
Hayden Hackney
29
Sam Greenwood ↓ Jonny Howson 77'
19
Josh Coburn ↓ Emmanuel Latte Lath 66'
27
Lukas Engel
25
Matt Crooks
2
Tom Smith ↓ Marcus Forss 81'

Bench

Coach Michael Carrick

Birmingham City FC Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

26
Kevin Long
20
Gary Gardner ↓ Juninho Bacuna 62'
21
John Ruddy
9
Scott Hogan ↓ Koji Miyoshi 70'
6
Krystian Bielik
17
Siriki Dembele ↓ Oliver Burke 62'
34
Ivan Sunjic ↓ Jordan James 83'
5
Dion Sanderson
28
Jay Stansfield ↓ Lukas Jutkiewicz 83'
12
Cody Drameh
23
Emmanuel Longelo

Bench

7
Juninho Bacuna ↑ 62'
45
Oliver Burke ↑ 62'
1
Neil Etheridge
4
Marc Roberts
10
Lukas Jutkiewicz ↑ 83'
11
Koji Miyoshi ↑ 70'
44
Emanuel Aiwu
19
Jordan James ↑ 83'
49
Romelle Donovan

Coach Wayne Rooney

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Britt Assombalonga	3
Chuba Akpom	2
Matty Crooks	2
Scott Hogan	2
Lewis Wing	2
Fran Villalba	1
Daniel Ayala	1
Tahith Chong	1

Head to Head

Middlesbrough FC Form

2023-10-21 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC W 2023-10-07 Sunderland AFC 0–4 Middlesbrough FC W 2023-10-03 Middlesbrough FC 2–0 Cardiff City FC W 2023-09-30 Watford FC 2–3 Middlesbrough FC W 2023-09-23 Middlesbrough FC 2–1 Southampton FC W 2023-09-19 Sheffield Wednesday FC 1–1 Middlesbrough FC D

Birmingham City FC Form

2023-10-21 Middlesbrough FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2023-10-06 Birmingham City FC 3–1 West Bromwich Albion FC W 2023-10-03 Birmingham City FC 4–1 Huddersfield Town AFC W 2023-09-30 Norwich City FC 2–0 Birmingham City FC L 2023-09-22 Birmingham City FC 0–0 Queens Park Rangers FC D 2023-09-19 Preston North End FC 2–1 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.62 Middlesbrough FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.66 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Middlesbrough FC to win 61% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Middlesbrough FC61% Draw25% Birmingham City FC14%

Actual: Middlesbrough FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes40% 0% No60%

Avg goals/match: 2.28

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	66%	34%
± 2.5	39%	61%
± 3.5	20%	80%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

Middlesbrough FC or Draw

86%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

39%

Middlesbrough FC or Birmingham City FC

75%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Middlesbrough FC40% Draw49% Birmingham City FC11%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

13%

0 – 0

12.3%

1 – 1

11.7%

2 – 1

8.6%

3 – 0

6.9%

0 – 1

5.7%

3 – 1

4.7%

1 – 2

3.4%

2 – 2

2.9%

4 – 0

2.8%

0 – 2

2.1%

Asian Handicap — Middlesbrough FC

Handicap	Middlesbrough FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	19%	67%
-1.5	33%	—	67%
-1	33%	26%	41%
-0.5	59%	—	41%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	10%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Middlesbrough FC keeps clean sheet

52% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.