Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 QUARTER FINALS

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Tue 3 Feb 2026 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC St. Pauli 1910DFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
18 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 4.5 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 3–0 W
31 Jan Eintracht Frankfurt A 3–1 W
28 Jan Villarreal CF H 3–0 W
24 Jan SV Werder Bremen H 1–0 W
20 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP A 0–2 L
17 Jan TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 0–3 L
31 Jan FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
27 Jan RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
23 Jan Hamburger SV H 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Dortmund A 2–3 L
14 Jan VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

FC St. Pauli 1910 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.85 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.81 FC St. Pauli 1910 xG
I would bet for: Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen62% Draw23% FC St. Pauli 191015%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 2.66
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 74%
26%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
85%
Draw or FC St. Pauli 1910
38%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or FC St. Pauli 1910
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen42% Draw45% FC St. Pauli 191013%
Actual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
12.2%
2 – 0
11.7%
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
9.4%
0 – 0
8.9%
3 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
5.8%
0 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.1%
2 – 2
3.8%
4 – 0
3.3%
4 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push FC St. Pauli 1910 covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 19% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 24% 40%
-0.5 60% 40%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 10% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
45%
FC St. Pauli 1910 keeps clean sheet
17%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.