Saturday , 14 November 2026

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2021 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2021
Sun 21 Mar 2021 · 05:00 UTC Ekimae Real Estate Stadium HT 45+4' · FT 45+6'

Overview

Match Preview

Sagan Tosu FC vs Avispa Fukuoka — J. League at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Yusuke Araki
  • Referee Koichiro Fukushima
  • Referee Hiroki Katsumata
  • Referee Keigo Sendachi
  • Referee Hiroyuki Igarashi
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 7.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

5
3
Sagan Tosu FC 8 games · Avg 1.0 goals Avispa Fukuoka

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Avispa Fukuoka H 0–0 D
17 Mar Kashiwa Reysol H 2–0 W
14 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 0–0 D
10 Mar Vegalta Sendai H 5–0 W
06 Mar Urawa Red Diamonds H 2–0 W
27 Feb Shonan Bellmare A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Mar Sagan Tosu FC A 0–0 D
17 Mar Kashima Antlers H 1–0 W
13 Mar Tokushima Vortis A 2–1 W
10 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–3 L
06 Mar Shimizu S-Pulse A 2–2 D
28 Feb Nagoya Grampus H 1–2 L

Key Stats

13% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Ekimae Real Estate Stadium. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Keiya Sento suffering a number of foals already.
  • 10' Douglas Grolli has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 38 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 15' Nanasei Iino is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Sagan Tosu FC so far.
  • 20' With 0 assists to his name this season, Shinya Nakano is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 45' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 48' A meaty challenge results in booking for Douglas Grolli on 48.
  • 51' It’s a booking for Sagan Tosu FC player. Keita Yamashita gets a Yellow card.
  • 56' Daichi Hayashi gets the nod from Sagan Tosu FC. He replaces Keita Yamashita and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 61' Sagan Tosu FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 62' Sotan Tanabe has so much to prove this time. He replaces Kenedeiebusu Mikuni on 62 minute.
  • 67' Avispa Fukuoka make a change. Takeshi Kanamori trudges off to be replaced by Caue on 67 minutes.
  • 72' Sagan Tosu FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' Avispa Fukuoka come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 78' The Avispa Fukuoka manager makes a substitution. Emil Salomonsson departs to be replaced by Masato Yuzawa.
  • 83' Kaisei Ishii has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomoya Koyamatsu on 83 minute.
  • 88' Avispa Fukuoka fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 90' Shinya Nakano makes way for Ayumu Ohata at the 90 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sagan Tosu FC.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.09 Sagan Tosu FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.71 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Sagan Tosu FC or Draw 77% + Under 2.5 goals 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Sagan Tosu FC45% Draw32% Avispa Fukuoka23%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes35% 0% No65%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

Sagan Tosu FC or Draw
77%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
55%
Sagan Tosu FC or Avispa Fukuoka
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sagan Tosu FC28% Draw57% Avispa Fukuoka15%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
16.7%
1 – 1
13.7%
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
4.4%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 0
3.4%
3 – 1
2.6%
2 – 2
2.6%
1 – 3
1.1%

Asian Handicap — Sagan Tosu FC

Handicap Sagan Tosu FC covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 25% 57%
-0.5 43% — 57%
+0.5 78% — 22%
+1 78% 15% 6%
+1.5 94% — 6%
+2 94% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Sagan Tosu FC keeps clean sheet
50% ✗
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
34% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.