Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 49 | Scored | 41 |
| 59 | Conceded | 46 |
| -10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
14%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
29%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
–/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/4
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/1
31-45
3/3
46-60
2/–
61-75
–/1
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Werik | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
| Noah Browne | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Best Denki Stadium!
- 5' A quiet spell here at Best Denki Stadium. Fagiano Okayama FC seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 7' Tomoya Ando doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 12' It is a cagey affair so far. Avispa Fukuoka in their trying to find a way past Fagiano Okayama FC's compact .
- 17' Fagiano Okayama FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 17.
- 22' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Avispa Fukuoka side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 27' Noah Browne has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 4 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
- 32' Fagiano Okayama FC come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 37' Fagiano Okayama FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 42' The 27-year-old Ryo Tabei has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 45' The referee has no hesitation. Takaya Kimura is booked for Fagiano Okayama FC — card on 45.
- 46' Hijiri Kato is ready to make an impact after coming on for Takaya Kimura at the 46 minute mark.
- 51' Hiroki Akino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 56' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 57' Lucao is replacing Kazunari Ichimi for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 62' With 2 assists to his name this season, Lucao is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 67' Takaaki Shichi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Avispa Fukuoka so far.
- 70' The whistle greets Ataru Esaka as he departs to be replaced by Hiroto Iwabuchi.
- 73' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Hiroki Akino by Takeshi Kanamori on 73 minute.
- 78' Avispa Fukuoka receives a card for a hard tackle on 78.
- 78' Noah Browne is replacing Ryunosuke Sato for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 79' Yuta Kamiya gets the nod from Fagiano Okayama FC. He replaces Ibuki Fujita and will look to change the dynamic.
- 84' Kazuki Fujimoto needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 6 Yellow cards this season.
- 85' A tactical swap from Avispa Fukuoka — Masaya Tashiro on, Shintaro Nago off on 85 minutes.
- 90' Lucao picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- It finishes all square. Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Masaya Tashiro 85'
- 5
- 77
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 57'
- 29
- 31
- 9
- 88
- 11
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 73'
- 20
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 73'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 73'
- 1
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 57'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 85'
- 6
- 45
- 47
- –
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 57'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 70'
- 28
-
24
Ibuki Fujita ↓ Yuta Kamiya 79'
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
- 14
- 4
Bench
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 79'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 57'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 70'
- 3
- 5
- 21
- 16
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tomoya Ando | 2 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Towa Yamane | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.41
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
67%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
55%
Avispa Fukuoka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.