Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyōto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tōkyō Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 49 | Scored | 41 |
| 59 | Conceded | 46 |
| -10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
8%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
23%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
| Shu Morooka | 3 G | 1 A |
| Werik | 2 G | |
| Kazuki Fujimoto | 1 G | |
| Yuma Tsujioka | 1 G |
Fagiano Okayama FC
| Kota Kawano | 3 G | |
| Noah Browne | 2 G | 1 A |
| Lucao | 1 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The wait is over. Fagiano Okayama FC get us underway at Best Denki Stadium.
- 5' Hiroto Iwabuchi has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 7' Assisted by Shintaro Nago with the perfectly-timed delivery and Tomoya Ando makes no mistake. 1-0!
- 12' Yuta Kamiya, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 17' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 22' Kazunari Ichimi has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 13 appearances with only 1 goals this season.
- 27' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 32' Japan international Noah Browne has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
- 37' Yota Maejima has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 42' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Fagiano Okayama FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 45' Poor challenge from Takaya Kimura. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 46' Hijiri Kato is replacing Takaya Kimura for the Fagiano Okayama FC side.
- 51' A meaty challenge results in booking for Hiroki Akino on 51.
- 56' Masaaki Murakami needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 57' Lucao is ready to make an impact after coming on for Kazunari Ichimi at the 57 minute mark.
- 62' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fagiano Okayama FC that had 69 games and scored 66 goals.
- 67' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 70' Hiroto Iwabuchi is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ataru Esaka at the 70 minute mark.
- 73' Takeshi Kanamori has so much to prove this time. He replaces Hiroki Akino on 73 minute.
- 78' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 78.
- 78' The Fagiano Okayama FC manager makes a substitution. Ryunosuke Sato departs to be replaced by Noah Browne.
- 79' A tactical swap from Fagiano Okayama FC — Yuta Kamiya on, Ibuki Fujita off on 79 minutes.
- 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Shahab Zahedi Tabar is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 85' Fresh legs for Avispa Fukuoka! Masaya Tashiro comes on to replace Shintaro Nago.
- 90' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Lucao.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. take all three points.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Masaya Tashiro 85'
- 5
- 77
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 57'
- 29
- 31
- 9
- 88
- 11
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 73'
- 20
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 73'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 73'
- 1
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 57'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 85'
- 6
- 45
- 47
- –
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 57'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 70'
- 28
-
24
Ibuki Fujita ↓ Yuta Kamiya 79'
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
- 14
- 4
Bench
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 79'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 57'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 70'
- 3
- 5
- 21
- 16
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tomoya Ando | 2 |
| Kosuke Shirai | 2 |
| Towa Yamane | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
| Yota Maejima | 1 |
| Yu Hashimoto | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.41
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
67%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
55%
Avispa Fukuoka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

