Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — J. League at Best Denki Stadium.
- Avispa Fukuoka 18 games · 21 pts (2026/26)
- Fagiano Okayama FC 18 games · 26 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tōkyō | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F·Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Last 5 meetings
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Fagiano Okayama FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Shimizu S-Pulse | A | 1–3 | L |
| 12 Apr | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 2–1 | W |
| 06 Apr | Urawa Red Diamonds | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Albirex Niigata | A | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Mar | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr | Avispa Fukuoka | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Apr | Kashima Antlers | H | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Apr | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | A | 1–0 | W |
| 06 Apr | FC Tōkyō | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Apr | Cerezo Osaka FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 29 Mar | Yokohama F·Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Avispa Fukuoka | Fagiano Okayama FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #6 |
| 21 | Points | 26 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 0 / 11 | W / D / L | 8 / 0 / 10 |
| 49 | Scored | 41 |
| 59 | Conceded | 46 |
| -10 | GD | -5 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.44 |
| 39% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
Avispa Fukuoka this season
28%
Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Fagiano Okayama FC this season
Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/3
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
–/–
61-75
4/2
76+
–/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
4/3
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It looks surprising Fagiano Okayama FC does not make any changes. Lucao has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 7' What a strike from Tomoya Ando! The score is 1-0.
- 12' Ataru Esaka is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Fagiano Okayama FC so far.
- 17' Fagiano Okayama FC seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 22' With 0 assists to his name this season, Kota Kudo is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Avispa Fukuoka.
- 27' Avispa Fukuoka is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 32' The travelling Fagiano Okayama FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
- 37' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 42' It’s high time made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Takaya Kimura was booked on 45.
- 46' The Fagiano Okayama FC bench stirs into life. Takaya Kimura is withdrawn and Hijiri Kato gets his opportunity.
- 51' Avispa Fukuoka receives a card for a hard tackle on 51.
- 56' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 56 minutes.
- 57' The whistle greets Kazunari Ichimi as he departs to be replaced by Lucao.
- 62' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Myung-Hwi Kim will be considering his options from the bench.
- 67' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 70' Ataru Esaka makes way for Hiroto Iwabuchi at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fagiano Okayama FC.
- 73' Another substitution for Avispa Fukuoka to replace Hiroki Akino by Takeshi Kanamori on 73 minute.
- 78' The referee shows Avispa Fukuoka player a card on 78.
- 78' Fresh legs for Fagiano Okayama FC! Noah Browne comes on to replace Ryunosuke Sato.
- 79' Fagiano Okayama FC make a change. Ibuki Fujita trudges off to be replaced by Yuta Kamiya on 79 minutes.
- 84' Both keepers have barely been tested. Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 85' Masaya Tashiro is ready to make an impact after coming on for Shintaro Nago at the 85 minute mark.
- 90' It’s gonna be a card for Lucao.
- It finishes all square. Avispa Fukuoka and Fagiano Okayama FC share the spoils 1-1.
Lineups
Avispa Fukuoka Lineups
Starting XI
-
14
Shintaro Nago ↓ Masaya Tashiro 85'
- 5
- 77
-
22
Kazuki Fujimoto ↓ Yuto Iwasaki 57'
- 29
- 31
- 9
- 88
- 11
-
15
Hiroki Akino ↓ Takeshi Kanamori 73'
- 20
Bench
-
17
Wellington ↑ 73'
-
7
Takeshi Kanamori ↑ 73'
- 1
-
18
Yuto Iwasaki ↑ 57'
-
37
Masaya Tashiro ↑ 85'
- 6
- 45
- 47
- –
Coach
Myung-Hwi Kim
Fagiano Okayama FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 49
-
22
Kazunari Ichimi ↓ Lucao 57'
- 2
-
8
Ataru Esaka ↓ Hiroto Iwabuchi 70'
- 28
-
24
Ibuki Fujita ↓ Yuta Kamiya 79'
- 15
-
39
Ryunosuke Sato ↓ Noah Browne 78'
-
27
Takaya Kimura ↓ Hijiri Kato 46'
- 14
- 4
Bench
-
33
Yuta Kamiya ↑ 79'
-
50
Hijiri Kato ↑ 46'
-
99
Lucao ↑ 57'
-
45
Noah Browne ↑ 78'
-
19
Hiroto Iwabuchi ↑ 70'
- 3
- 5
- 21
- 16
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Tomoya Ando | 2 |
| Kosuke Shirai | 1 |
| Towa Yamane | 1 |
| Lucao | 1 |
Head to Head
Avispa Fukuoka Form
Fagiano Okayama FC Form
2025-04-25
Avispa Fukuoka
1–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
D
2025-04-20
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–2
Kashima Antlers
L
2025-04-12
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
W
2025-04-06
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
FC Tōkyō
W
2025-04-02
Cerezo Osaka FC
2–1
Fagiano Okayama FC
L
2025-03-29
Fagiano Okayama FC
1–0
Yokohama F·Marinos
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.41
Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16
Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 82% |
|
18% |
| ± 3.5 | 66% |
|
34% |
| ± 4.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
Double Chance
Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
67%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
55%
Avispa Fukuoka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka
| Handicap | Avispa Fukuoka covers | Push | Fagiano Okayama FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 14% | — | 86% |
| -2 | 14% | 13% | 73% |
| -1.5 | 27% | — | 73% |
| -1 | 27% | 17% | 56% |
| -0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 15% | 20% |
| +1.5 | 80% | — | 20% |
| +2 | 80% | 10% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12%
✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.