Saturday , 14 November 2026

Avispa Fukuoka vs Fagiano Okayama FC, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Fri 25 Apr 2025 · 10:00 UTC Best Denki Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'
Hiroki Akino 51' Y
Yota Maejima 78' Y
Y 90' Lucao

Overview

Head-to-Head

3
1
1
Avispa Fukuoka 5 games · Avg 4.4 goals Fagiano Okayama FC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC H 1–1 D
20 Apr Shimizu S-Pulse A 1–3 L
12 Apr Yokohama F·Marinos H 2–1 W
06 Apr Urawa Red Diamonds H 1–0 W
02 Apr Albirex Niigata A 1–0 W
29 Mar FC Machida Zelvia H 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 Apr Avispa Fukuoka A 1–1 D
20 Apr Kashima Antlers H 1–2 L
12 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 1–0 W
06 Apr FC Tōkyō H 1–0 W
02 Apr Cerezo Osaka FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Yokohama F·Marinos H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Avispa Fukuoka Fagiano Okayama FC
#10 Position #6
21 Points 26
18 Played 18
7 / 0 / 11 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 10
49 Scored 41
59 Conceded 46
-10 GD -5
1.17 PPG 1.44
39% Win % 44%

Key Stats

60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
8% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fagiano Okayama FC this season

Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts). Fagiano Okayama FC are 6th (26 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
1/4
16-30
1/2
31-45
4/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
3/8
76+
3/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fagiano Okayama FC
0-15
1/3
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
Shu Morooka 3 G 1 A
Werik 2 G
Kazuki Fujimoto 1 G
Yuma Tsujioka 1 G
Fagiano Okayama FC
Kota Kawano 3 G
Noah Browne 2 G 1 A
Lucao 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.41 Avispa Fukuoka xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.16 Fagiano Okayama FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Both teams to score 80%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Avispa Fukuoka45% Draw22% Fagiano Okayama FC33%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes80% 0% No20%
Avg goals/match: 4.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Avispa Fukuoka or Draw
67%
Draw or Fagiano Okayama FC
55%
Avispa Fukuoka or Fagiano Okayama FC
78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Avispa Fukuoka35% Draw35% Fagiano Okayama FC30%
Actual: Avispa Fukuoka win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 2
6.7%
2 – 1
6.4%
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.8%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 3
3.9%
4 – 2
3.3%
2 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Avispa Fukuoka

Handicap Avispa Fukuoka covers Push Fagiano Okayama FC covers
-2.5 14% — 86%
-2 14% 13% 73%
-1.5 27% — 73%
-1 27% 17% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 15% 20%
+1.5 80% — 20%
+2 80% 10% 9%
+2.5 91% — 9%

Clean Sheet

Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
12% ✓
Fagiano Okayama FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.