Thursday , 2 July 2026

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol, La Liga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2024-25
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Estadio de Vallecas 12,364 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Martin Zubimendi
Oscar Trejo 58' 1–1
Pedro Diaz 72' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs Real Sociedad de FútbolLa Liga at Estadio de Vallecas.

Match Details

  • Referee Alejandro Muniz Ruiz (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Fabian Blanco Rodriguez (Spain)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Real Sociedad de Fútbol H 2–2 D
09 Mar Real Madrid CF A 1–2 L
01 Mar Sevilla FC H 1–1 D
22 Feb Villarreal CF H 0–1 L
17 Feb FC Barcelona A 0–1 L
07 Feb Real Valladolid CF H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Rayo Vallecano de Madrid A 2–2 D
13 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–4 L
09 Mar Sevilla FC H 0–1 L
06 Mar Manchester United FC H 1–1 D
02 Mar FC Barcelona A 0–4 L
23 Feb CD Leganes H 3–0 W

Season Stats

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid Real Sociedad de Fútbol
#8 Position #10
50 Points 46
38 Played 38
12 / 14 / 12 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 14
41 Scored 59
44 Conceded 61
-3 GD -2
1.32 PPG 1.21
32% Win % 29%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 8th (50 pts). Real Sociedad de Fútbol are 10th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid is hosting Real Sociedad de Fútbol for another epic battle.
  • 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 11' Real Sociedad de Futbol receives a card for a hard tackle on 11.
  • 16' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 20' Martin Zubimendi is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 35' Oscar Trejo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 12 goals in his last 229 appearances.
  • 40' The referee has no hesitation. Sergi Guardiola is booked for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — card on 40.
  • 45' The 24-year-old Benat Turrientes has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 50' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 55' The whistle greets Sergi Guardiola as he departs to be replaced by Etienne.
  • 58' What a strike from Oscar Trejo! The score is 1-1.
  • 61' Real Sociedad de Futbol player sees a card in front of him.
  • 62' Unai Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Oscar Trejo at the 62 minute mark.
  • 63' Benat Turrientes gets the nod from Real Sociedad de Futbol. He replaces Ander Barrenetxea and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Romania international Andrei Ratiu has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 72' Pedro Diaz has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 72 minutes.
  • 74' Florian Lejeune picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 76' The crowd applauds Pathe Ciss as he leaves the pitch. Oscar Valentin steps in for Rayo Vallecano de Madrid.
  • 78' Another change for Real Sociedad de Futbol made on 78 minute. Jon Olasagasti leaves to be changed by Arkaitz Mariezkurrena.
  • 80' Arkaitz Mariezkurrena makes no mistake. The score reads 2-2 and Real Sociedad de Futbol are in front.
  • 85' It looks surprising Rayo Vallecano de Madrid does not make any changes. Orri Oskarsson has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 90' Alfonso Espino picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 90' Another change for Real Sociedad de Futbol made on 90 minute. Sergio Gomez leaves to be changed by Pablo Marin.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 2-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.71 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.3 Real Sociedad de Fútbol xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid46% Draw26% Real Sociedad de Fútbol28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.01
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 57%
43%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Draw
72%
Draw or Real Sociedad de Fútbol
54%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid or Real Sociedad de Fútbol
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid34% Draw44% Real Sociedad de Fútbol22%
Actual: Real Sociedad de Fútbol win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.9%
2 – 1
9%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.1%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 0
4%
3 – 2
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Handicap Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers Push Real Sociedad de Fútbol covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 21% 54%
-0.5 46% 54%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
28%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol keeps clean sheet
19%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.