Thursday , 1 October 2026

Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 23,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Maldini 32' 1–0
Daniel Maldini 33' 2–0
2–1 49' Antoine Hainaut
2–2 71' Jacob Ondrejka
2–3 90+1' Jacob Ondrejka

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913 — Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1 Marco Bresmes
  • Assistant 2 Federico Votta (Italy)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–3 L
17 May Genoa CFC A 3–2 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
04 May AC Monza A 4–0 W
27 Apr US Lecce H 1–1 D
20 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
18 May SSC Napoli H 0–0 D
10 May Empoli FC A 1–2 L
03 May Como 1907 H 0–1 L
28 Apr SS Lazio A 2–2 D
23 Apr Juventus FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC Parma Calcio 1913
#11 Position #15
6 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
5 Scored 4
7 Conceded 7
-2 GD -3
1.20 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Parma Calcio 1913 this season

Atalanta BC are 11th (6 pts). Parma Calcio 1913 are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
1/1
61-75
1/1
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Parma Calcio 1913
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/1
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/2
76+
2/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Parma Calcio 1913
Jose Romero 2 G
Simone Lontani 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.76 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.29 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC49% Draw25% Parma Calcio 191326%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.05
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
74%
Draw or Parma Calcio 1913
51%
Atalanta BC or Parma Calcio 1913
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC35% Draw44% Parma Calcio 191321%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
7.6%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 0
6.5%
2 – 2
5.9%
3 – 1
5.3%
0 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Parma Calcio 1913 covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.