Thursday , 2 July 2026

Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Sun 25 May 2025 · 18:45 UTC Gewiss Stadium 23,161 HT 45' · FT 45'
Daniel Maldini 32' 1–0
Daniel Maldini 33' 2–0
2–1 49' Antoine Hainaut
2–2 71' Jacob Ondrejka
2–3 90+1' Jacob Ondrejka

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs Parma Calcio 1913Serie A at Gewiss Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Livio Marinelli
  • Assistant 1 Marco Bresmes
  • Assistant 2 Federico Votta (Italy)
10 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 3.9 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Parma Calcio 1913 H 2–3 L
17 May Genoa CFC A 3–2 W
12 May AS Roma H 2–1 W
04 May AC Monza A 4–0 W
27 Apr US Lecce H 1–1 D
20 Apr AC Milan A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
25 May Atalanta BC A 3–2 W
18 May SSC Napoli H 0–0 D
10 May Empoli FC A 1–2 L
03 May Como 1907 H 0–1 L
28 Apr SS Lazio A 2–2 D
23 Apr Juventus FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Atalanta BC Parma Calcio 1913
#7 Position #12
59 Points 45
38 Played 38
15 / 14 / 9 W / D / L 11 / 12 / 15
51 Scored 28
36 Conceded 46
+15 GD -18
1.55 PPG 1.18
39% Win % 29%

Key Stats

61% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts). Parma Calcio 1913 are 12th (45 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.97 Atalanta BC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.19 Parma Calcio 1913 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 60% + Both teams to score 60%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC54% Draw24% Parma Calcio 191322%
Actual: Parma Calcio 1913 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.16
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 82%
18%
± 2.5 60%
40%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw
77%
Draw or Parma Calcio 1913
46%
Atalanta BC or Parma Calcio 1913
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Atalanta BC39% Draw42% Parma Calcio 191319%
Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
10.8%
2 – 1
9.4%
2 – 0
8.1%
1 – 0
7.7%
3 – 1
6.2%
0 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 0
5.2%
0 – 1
4.3%
3 – 2
3.7%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap Atalanta BC covers Push Parma Calcio 1913 covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 17% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 22% 46%
-0.5 54% 46%
+0.5 78% 22%
+1 78% 13% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
31%
Parma Calcio 1913 keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.