Sunday , 16 August 2026

Olympique de Marseille vs Atalanta BC, Europe 2023-24 SEMI FINALS

UEFA Europa League · 2023-24
Thu 2 May 2024 · 19:00 UTC Orange Velodrome HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Olympique de Marseille vs Atalanta BCEurope at Orange Velodrome.

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
12 games this season 🟨 2.3/game 5.3 goals/game

Head-to-Head

1
2
Olympique de Marseille 3 games · Avg 2.0 goals Atalanta BC

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
28 Apr Racing Club de Lens H 2–1 W
24 Apr OGC Nice H 2–2 D
21 Apr Toulouse FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica H 5–2 W
11 Apr Sport Lisboa e Benfica A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 May Olympique de Marseille A 1–1 D
28 Apr Empoli FC H 2–0 W
21 Apr AC Monza A 2–1 W
18 Apr Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
15 Apr Hellas Verona FC H 2–2 D
11 Apr Liverpool FC A 3–0 W

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (3 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.33 Olympique de Marseille xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Olympique de Marseille or Atalanta BC 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Olympique de Marseille39% Draw29% Atalanta BC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.57
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Olympique de Marseille or Draw
68%
Draw or Atalanta BC
61%
Olympique de Marseille or Atalanta BC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Olympique de Marseille27% Draw48% Atalanta BC25%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 0
9.2%
0 – 1
8.5%
2 – 1
8.1%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.6%
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 2
5.1%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.1%
3 – 0
2.9%

Asian Handicap — Olympique de Marseille

Handicap Olympique de Marseille covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% 83%
-1 17% 20% 63%
-0.5 37% 63%
+0.5 67% 33%
+1 67% 18% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

Olympique de Marseille keeps clean sheet
30%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
27%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.