Thursday , 2 July 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs US LecceSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano
11 games this season 🟨 0.5/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov US Lecce H 0–1 L
29 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–3 L
26 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D
19 Oct AC Milan A 1–2 L
05 Oct AS Roma H 1–2 L
28 Sep AC Pisa 1909 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov ACF Fiorentina A 1–0 W
28 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
25 Oct Udinese Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
04 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W
28 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina US Lecce
#15 Position #17
42 Points 38
38 Played 38
9 / 15 / 14 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 20
41 Scored 28
50 Conceded 50
-9 GD -22
1.11 PPG 1.00
24% Win % 26%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

ACF Fiorentina are 15th (42 pts). US Lecce are 17th (38 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.41 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina40% Draw30% US Lecce30%
Actual: US Lecce win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
70%
Draw or US Lecce
60%
ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina30% Draw49% US Lecce21%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
1 – 0
10.6%
0 – 0
10.3%
2 – 1
8.6%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.7%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% 79%
-1 21% 22% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
34%
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
25%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.