Wednesday , 30 September 2026

ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
Sun 2 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

ACF Fiorentina vs US Lecce — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Antonio Rapuano

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov US Lecce H 0–1 L
29 Oct FC Internazionale Milano A 0–3 L
26 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D
19 Oct AC Milan A 1–2 L
05 Oct AS Roma H 1–2 L
28 Sep AC Pisa 1909 A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov ACF Fiorentina A 1–0 W
28 Oct SSC Napoli H 0–1 L
25 Oct Udinese Calcio A 2–3 L
18 Oct US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–0 D
04 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 A 1–0 W
28 Sep Bologna FC 1909 H 2–2 D

Season Stats

ACF Fiorentina US Lecce
#17 Position #12
4 Points 6
5 Played 5
1 / 1 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 3
6 Scored 5
12 Conceded 10
-6 GD -5
0.80 PPG 1.20
20% Win % 40%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season
20% Clean Sheets
US Lecce this season

ACF Fiorentina are 17th (4 pts). US Lecce are 12th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
0-15
–/–
16-30
2/4
31-45
–/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/2
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
US Lecce
0-15
2/2
16-30
1/4
31-45
–/–
46-60
1/–
61-75
–/3
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

ACF Fiorentina
Franco Mastantuono 3 G
Mateo Pellegrino 2 G
US Lecce
Lassana Coulibaly 2 G 1 A
Tiago Gabriel 2 G
Olaf Gorter 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

US Lecce Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
0 / 4
1.69 ACF Fiorentina xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.5 US Lecce xG
I would bet for: ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce 73% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina39% Draw27% US Lecce34%
Actual: US Lecce win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.19
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 83%
17%
± 2.5 61%
39%
± 3.5 39%
61%
± 4.5 22%
78%

Double Chance

ACF Fiorentina or Draw
66%
Draw or US Lecce
61%
ACF Fiorentina or US Lecce
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
ACF Fiorentina31% Draw43% US Lecce26%
Actual: US Lecce win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 2
6.3%
1 – 0
6.2%
2 – 0
5.9%
0 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
4.8%
0 – 2
4.6%
1 – 3
3.8%
3 – 2
3.6%

Asian Handicap — ACF Fiorentina

Handicap ACF Fiorentina covers Push US Lecce covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% — 78%
-1 22% 19% 59%
-0.5 41% — 59%
+0.5 67% — 33%
+1 67% 17% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
23% ✓
US Lecce keeps clean sheet
19% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.