Thursday , 2 July 2026

SSC Napoli vs Atalanta BC, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2025-26
3 1
Full Time
Sat 22 Nov 2025 · 19:45 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SSC Napoli vs Atalanta BCSerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Marco Di Bello
4 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov Atalanta BC H 3–1 W
09 Nov Bologna FC 1909 A 0–2 L
04 Nov Eintracht Frankfurt H 0–0 D
01 Nov Como 1907 H 0–0 D
28 Oct US Lecce A 1–0 W
25 Oct FC Internazionale Milano H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Nov SSC Napoli A 1–3 L
09 Nov US Sassuolo Calcio H 0–3 L
05 Nov Olympique de Marseille A 1–0 W
01 Nov Udinese Calcio A 0–1 L
28 Oct AC Milan H 1–1 D
25 Oct US Cremonese A 1–1 D

Season Stats

SSC Napoli Atalanta BC
#2 Position #7
76 Points 59
38 Played 38
23 / 7 / 8 W / D / L 15 / 14 / 9
58 Scored 51
36 Conceded 36
+22 GD +15
2.00 PPG 1.55
61% Win % 39%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

SSC Napoli are 2nd (76 pts). Atalanta BC are 7th (59 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

SSC Napoli Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.49 SSC Napoli xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Atalanta BC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
SSC Napoli48% Draw27% Atalanta BC25%
Actual: SSC Napoli win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

SSC Napoli or Draw
75%
Draw or Atalanta BC
52%
SSC Napoli or Atalanta BC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
SSC Napoli32% Draw48% Atalanta BC20%
Actual: SSC Napoli win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
1 – 0
10.1%
0 – 0
9.5%
2 – 1
8.8%
2 – 0
8%
0 – 1
7.2%
1 – 2
6.6%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
Actual
3 – 0
3.9%
3 – 2
2.5%

Asian Handicap — SSC Napoli

Handicap SSC Napoli covers Push Atalanta BC covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 14% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 22% 56%
-0.5 44% 56%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 16% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

SSC Napoli keeps clean sheet
34%
Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet
23%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.