Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Serie A · 2025-26

Atalanta BC

2 – 0

Full Time

ACF Fiorentina

Sun 30 Nov 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Atalanta BC vs ACF Fiorentina — Serie A .

Atalanta BC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
ACF Fiorentina 11 games · 9 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matteo Marcenaro (Italy)

6 games this season 🟨 4.2/game ⚽ 16.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	SS Lazio	11	29
2	FC Internazionale Milano	11	28
3	AS Roma	11	27
4	AC Milan	11	24
5	Como 1907	11	23
6	Frosinone Calcio	11	20
7	Juventus FC	11	18
8	Bologna FC 1909	11	17
9	Cagliari Calcio	11	16
10	SSC Napoli	11	15
11	Torino FC	11	14
12	Atalanta BC	11	14
13	Genoa CFC	11	13
14	US Lecce	11	10
15	ACF Fiorentina	11	9
16	Parma Calcio 1913	11	8
17	US Sassuolo Calcio	11	8
18	AC Monza	11	7
19	Venezia FC	11	6
20	Udinese Calcio	11	5

Head-to-Head

Atalanta BC 25 games · Avg 2.8 goals ACF Fiorentina

Last 5 meetings

2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina 2025-03-30 ACF Fiorentina 1–0 Atalanta BC 2024-09-15 Atalanta BC 3–2 ACF Fiorentina 2024-06-02 Atalanta BC 2–3 ACF Fiorentina 2023-09-17 ACF Fiorentina 3–2 Atalanta BC

Recent Form

Atalanta BC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	ACF Fiorentina	H	2–0	W
26 Nov	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–0	W
22 Nov	SSC Napoli	A	1–3	L
09 Nov	US Sassuolo Calcio	H	0–3	L
05 Nov	Olympique de Marseille	A	1–0	W
01 Nov	Udinese Calcio	A	0–1	L

ACF Fiorentina

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
30 Nov	Atalanta BC	A	0–2	L
22 Nov	Juventus FC	H	1–1	D
09 Nov	Genoa CFC	A	2–2	D
02 Nov	US Lecce	H	0–1	L
29 Oct	FC Internazionale Milano	A	0–3	L
26 Oct	Bologna FC 1909	H	2–2	D

Season Stats

Atalanta BC		ACF Fiorentina
#12	Position	#15
14	Points	9
11	Played	11
4 / 2 / 5	W / D / L	2 / 3 / 6
17	Scored	17
20	Conceded	25
-3	GD	-8
1.27	PPG	0.82
36%	Win %	18%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)

52% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

18% Clean Sheets
Atalanta BC this season

0% Clean Sheets
ACF Fiorentina this season

Atalanta BC are 12th (14 pts). ACF Fiorentina are 15th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Atalanta BC

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/4

31-45

4/3

46-60

3/5

61-75

3/2

76+

2/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

ACF Fiorentina

0-15

1/2

16-30

2/5

31-45

2/5

46-60

5/3

61-75

3/5

76+

3/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Atalanta BC

Nikola Krstovic	7 G	2 A
Ederson	2 G
Giacomo Raspadori	1 G
Lazar Samardzic	1 G

ACF Fiorentina

Mateo Pellegrino	4 G
Franco Mastantuono	4 G
Alieu Njie	3 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Atalanta BC get us underway at .
ACF Fiorentina will have plenty to reflect on. Atalanta BC were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Atalanta BC Lineups

ACF Fiorentina Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Duvan Zapata	4
Dusan Vlahovic	4
Ademola Lookman	4
Josip Ilicic	3
Moise Kean	2
Federico Chiesa	2
Ruslan Malinovskyi	2
Lucas Martinez Quarta	2

Head to Head

Atalanta BC Form

2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina W 2025-11-26 Eintracht Frankfurt 0–3 Atalanta BC W 2025-11-22 SSC Napoli 3–1 Atalanta BC L 2025-11-09 Atalanta BC 0–3 US Sassuolo Calcio L 2025-11-05 Olympique de Marseille 0–1 Atalanta BC W 2025-11-01 Udinese Calcio 1–0 Atalanta BC L

ACF Fiorentina Form

2025-11-30 Atalanta BC 2–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-11-22 ACF Fiorentina 1–1 Juventus FC D 2025-11-09 Genoa CFC 2–2 ACF Fiorentina D 2025-11-02 ACF Fiorentina 0–1 US Lecce L 2025-10-29 FC Internazionale Milano 3–0 ACF Fiorentina L 2025-10-26 ACF Fiorentina 2–2 Bologna FC 1909 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.22 Atalanta BC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.52 ACF Fiorentina xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 69%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC53% Draw22% ACF Fiorentina25%

Actual: Atalanta BC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes69% 0% No31%

Avg goals/match: 3.74

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	88%	12%
± 2.5	71%	29%
± 3.5	51%	49%
± 4.5	32%	68%

Double Chance

Atalanta BC or Draw

75%

Draw or ACF Fiorentina

47%

Atalanta BC or ACF Fiorentina

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Atalanta BC39% Draw39% ACF Fiorentina22%

Actual: Atalanta BC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.9%

2 – 1

8.6%

2 – 2

6.5%

3 – 1

6.3%

1 – 2

2 – 0

Actual

1 – 0

4.8%

3 – 2

4.8%

3 – 0

4.3%

0 – 0

3.6%

4 – 1

3.5%

2 – 3

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Atalanta BC

Handicap	Atalanta BC covers	Push	ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	16%	68%
-1.5	32%	—	68%
-1	32%	20%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	74%	—	26%
+1	74%	14%	12%
+1.5	88%	—	12%
+2	88%	7%	5%
+2.5	95%	—	5%

Clean Sheet

Atalanta BC keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet

12% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.