Thursday , 2 July 2026

Southampton FC vs West Ham United FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Thu 26 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Saint Mary's 31,059 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 59' Jarrod Bowen

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs West Ham United FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 Stuart Burt
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
22 Dec Fulham FC A 0–0 D
15 Dec Tottenham Hotspur FC H 0–5 L
07 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
04 Dec Chelsea FC H 1–5 L
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
26 Dec Southampton FC A 1–0 W
21 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC H 1–1 D
16 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 1–1 D
09 Dec Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–3 L
30 Nov Arsenal FC H 2–5 L

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
42% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.01 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.41 West Ham United FC xG
I would bet for: West Ham United FC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC28% Draw29% West Ham United FC43%
Actual: West Ham United FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
57%
Draw or West Ham United FC
72%
Southampton FC or West Ham United FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC19% Draw49% West Ham United FC32%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11%
1 – 2
8.6%
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.4%
2 – 0
4.4%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push West Ham United FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 23% 22%
+1.5 78% 22%
+2 78% 14% 8%
+2.5 92% 8%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
25%
West Ham United FC keeps clean sheet
37%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.