Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 19:30 UTC Saint Mary's 31,193 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Axel Disasi
Joe Aribo 11' 1–1
1–2 17' Christopher Nkunku
1–3 34' Noni Madueke
1–4 77' Cole Palmer
1–5 87' Jadon Sancho

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Chelsea FCPremier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Chelsea FC H 1–5 L
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Southampton FC A 5–1 W
01 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–0 W
23 Nov Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
10 Nov Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
03 Nov Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
27 Oct Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Southampton FC welcome Chelsea FC for this crunch clash at Saint Mary's.
  • 5' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 7' Axel Disasi has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 7 minutes.
  • 11' The deadlock is broken! Joe Aribo gets on the scoresheet on 11 minutes.
  • 16' The energy levels are beginning to show. Enzo Maresca might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 17' What a strike from Christopher Nkunku! The score is 1-2.
  • 22' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 27' Southampton FC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Chelsea FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 34' Noni Madueke makes no mistake. The score reads 1-3 and Chelsea FC are in front.
  • 39' That is a card for Southampton FC. Jack Stephens will be fuming at that decision.
  • 44' named a 5-3-2 earlier, and opted for a 4-2-3-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 47' That is a card for Southampton FC. Adam Armstrong will be fuming at that decision.
  • 52' It looks like no one’s ball. Chelsea FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 57' Jadon Sancho has been relatively quiet despite scoring 71 goals in his last 521 appearances.
  • 62' The crowd applauds Ryan Fraser as he leaves the pitch. Kamal Deen Sulemana steps in for Southampton FC.
  • 67' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Russell Martin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 72' The supporters are chanting for Jadon Sancho. He replaces Noni Madueke on 72 minute.
  • 73' The supporters are chanting for Yukinari Sugawara. He replaces Cameron Archer on 73 minute.
  • 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Cole Palmer makes it 1-4.
  • 79' A tactical swap from Southampton FCRonnie Edwards on, James Bree off on 79 minutes.
  • 84' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 87' A goal from the England international Jadon Sancho! He fires home on 87 to make it 1-5!
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-5 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC24% Draw24% Chelsea FC52%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Chelsea FC
76%
Southampton FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC18% Draw40% Chelsea FC42%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% 79%
+0.5 43% 57%
+1 43% 21% 35%
+1.5 65% 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% 18%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.