Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Southampton FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Wed 4 Dec 2024 · 19:30 UTC Saint Mary's 31,193 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 7' Axel Disasi
Joe Aribo 11' 1–1
1–2 17' Christopher Nkunku
1–3 34' Noni Madueke
1–4 77' Cole Palmer
1–5 87' Jadon Sancho

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Tony Harrington
  • Assistant 1 Matt Wilkes (England)
  • Assistant 2 Steven Meredith (England)
6 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 9.8 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Chelsea FC H 1–5 L
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W
26 Oct Manchester City FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Dec Southampton FC A 5–1 W
01 Dec Aston Villa FC H 3–0 W
23 Nov Leicester City FC A 2–1 W
10 Nov Arsenal FC H 1–1 D
03 Nov Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
27 Oct Newcastle United FC H 2–1 W

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (12 games)
67% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Chelsea FC kicks off things out of here…
  • 5' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 7' Magnificent from Axel Disasi! That is 24 goals in 427 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 11' Magnificent from Joe Aribo! That is 43 goals in 386 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 16' Southampton FC are deployed in a 5-3-2 today, looking to exploit space against Chelsea FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 17' Christopher Nkunku does the damage! The net is bulging and Chelsea FC surge ahead!
  • 22' Southampton FC is showing some good football. However, Southampton FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' The 24-year-old Noni Madueke has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 32' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Russell Martin will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 34' What a moment for Noni Madueke! That strike on 34 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 39' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jack Stephens on 39 minutes.
  • 44' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 47' Adam Armstrong catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 47.
  • 52' England international Cole Palmer has been a key figure this campaign — 6 goals and 4 assists in the Array this season.
  • 57' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and Chelsea FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 62' Kamal Deen Sulemana is ready to make an impact after coming on for Ryan Fraser at the 62 minute mark.
  • 67' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Southampton FC and Chelsea FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 72' Chelsea FC make a change. Noni Madueke trudges off to be replaced by Jadon Sancho on 72 minutes.
  • 73' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Cameron Archer is replaced by Yukinari Sugawara.
  • 77' Cole Palmer has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 77 minutes.
  • 79' Southampton FC ring the changes. James Bree has done his job and it is now time for Ronnie Edwards to step up.
  • 84' With 0 assists to his name this season, Charlie Taylor is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 87' Goal! Jadon Sancho scores his 71 goal in 527 matches.
  • The points are shared — Southampton FC 1-5 Chelsea FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.22 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.12 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC24% Draw24% Chelsea FC52%
Actual: Chelsea FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
48%
Draw or Chelsea FC
76%
Southampton FC or Chelsea FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC18% Draw40% Chelsea FC42%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–5 not predicted
1 – 5
Actual
1 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.4%
0 – 2
7.9%
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 3
6.6%
2 – 2
5.7%
0 – 3
5.5%
2 – 1
5.4%
0 – 0
5%
2 – 3
4.1%
1 – 0
3.7%
1 – 4
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 43% — 57%
+1 43% 21% 35%
+1.5 65% — 35%
+2 65% 17% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
13% ✓
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.