Sunday , 16 August 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Southampton FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
Sat 7 Dec 2024 · 15:00 UTC Villa Park 42,453 HT 45' · FT 45'
Jhon Duran 24' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Southampton FCPremier League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Darren Bond
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 Richard West

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Southampton FC H 1–0 W
04 Dec Brentford FC H 3–1 W
01 Dec Chelsea FC A 0–3 L
27 Nov Juventus FC H 0–0 D
23 Nov Crystal Palace FC H 2–2 D
09 Nov Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Aston Villa FC A 0–1 L
04 Dec Chelsea FC H 1–5 L
29 Nov Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–1 D
24 Nov Liverpool FC H 2–3 L
09 Nov Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 0–2 L
02 Nov Everton FC H 1–0 W

Key Stats

20% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Villa Park that hosts another battle between Aston Villa FC and Southampton FC.
  • 5' Southampton FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 15' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 20' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Aston Villa FC and Southampton FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 24' Against the run of play, Jhon Duran has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 29' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Youri Tielemans made 422 appearances and scored 44 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 34' Spain international Pau Torres has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 39' The travelling Southampton FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 44' Aston Villa FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Southampton FC backline.
  • 46' Southampton FC ring the changes. James Bree has done his job and it is now time for Joe Aribo to step up.
  • 51' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 58' The Aston Villa FC manager makes a substitution. Jhon Duran departs to be replaced by Ollie Watkins.
  • 59' Aston Villa FC make a change. Ian Maatsen trudges off to be replaced by Lucas Digne on 59 minutes.
  • 64' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 69' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Flynn Downes.
  • 73' It is a substitution in Southampton FC team. Cameron Archer is replaced by Samuel Amo-Ameyaw on 73 minute.
  • 78' Nathan Wood-Gordon has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 78.
  • 79' The supporters are chanting for Ben Brereton. He replaces Flynn Downes on 79 minute.
  • 84' Ezri Konsa has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 3 cards already picked up this season.
  • 85' It’s a booking for Southampton FC player. Samuel Amo-Ameyaw gets a card.
  • 90' Aston Villa FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • 90' Another substitution for Southampton FC to replace Ryan Manning by Kamal Deen Sulemana on 90 minute.
  • The points are shared — Aston Villa FC 1-0 Southampton FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.37 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.72 Southampton FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 65% + Under — clean sheet likely 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC54% Draw28% Southampton FC18%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes39% 0% No61%
Avg goals/match: 2.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 85%
15%
± 1.5 62%
38%
± 2.5 35%
65%
± 3.5 17%
83%
± 4.5 7%
93%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
82%
Draw or Southampton FC
46%
Aston Villa FC or Southampton FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Aston Villa FC34% Draw52% Southampton FC14%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
14.6%
1 – 1
13%
2 – 0
11.1%
2 – 1
8.2%
0 – 1
7.7%
3 – 0
5%
1 – 2
4.2%
3 – 1
3.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
0 – 2
3%
4 – 0
1.7%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Southampton FC covers
-2.5 10% 90%
-2 10% 16% 75%
-1.5 25% 75%
-1 25% 26% 49%
-0.5 51% 49%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 13% 5%
+1.5 95% 5%
+2 95% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
49%
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.