Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
3 games this season 🟨 6.0/game ⚽ 15.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Everton FC H 2–0 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
06 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
03 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
06 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Aston Villa FC
#10 Position #16
7 Points 4
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
10 Scored 4
12 Conceded 9
-2 GD -5
1.40 PPG 0.80
40% Win % 20%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Chelsea FC are 10th (7 pts). Aston Villa FC are 16th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
–/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.35 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.53 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 70%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC48% Draw23% Aston Villa FC29%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes70% 0% No30%
Avg goals/match: 3.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 73%
27%
± 3.5 53%
47%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
52%
Chelsea FC or Aston Villa FC
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC41% Draw38% Aston Villa FC21%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.5%
1 – 1
8.2%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
6.4%
2 – 0
5.8%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.4%
3 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
3.9%
2 – 3
3.3%
0 – 0
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 19% — 81%
-2 19% 16% 65%
-1.5 35% — 65%
-1 35% 20% 45%
-0.5 55% — 45%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 13% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.