Saturday , 14 November 2026

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC, Premier League 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2025-26
Sat 27 Dec 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Aston Villa FC — Premier League .

Match Details

  • Referee Stuart Attwell
6 games this season 🟨 5.2/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Aston Villa FC H 1–2 L
20 Dec Newcastle United FC A 2–2 D
13 Dec Everton FC H 2–0 W
09 Dec Atalanta BC A 1–2 L
06 Dec AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
03 Dec Leeds United FC A 1–3 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Dec Chelsea FC A 2–1 W
21 Dec Manchester United FC H 2–1 W
14 Dec West Ham United FC A 3–2 W
11 Dec FC Basel 1893 A 2–1 W
06 Dec Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
03 Dec Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 4–3 W

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Aston Villa FC
#5 Position #10
16 Points 13
10 Played 10
5 / 1 / 4 W / D / L 3 / 4 / 3
19 Scored 14
16 Conceded 17
+3 GD -3
1.60 PPG 1.30
50% Win % 30%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
20% Clean Sheets
Aston Villa FC this season

Chelsea FC are 5th (16 pts). Aston Villa FC are 10th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
7/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/3
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/1
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Aston Villa FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
3/2
46-60
3/3
61-75
2/–
76+
2/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 5 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 5 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 3 G 3 A
Pedro Neto 3 G 1 A
Jordan Henderson 2 G 1 A
Aston Villa FC
Nicolas Jackson 6 G 1 A
Johan Manzambi 2 G 3 A
Alysson 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Chelsea FC Lineups

Aston Villa FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.25 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.67 Aston Villa FC xG
I would bet for: Chelsea FC or Aston Villa FC 76% + Over 2.5 goals 74%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC44% Draw24% Aston Villa FC32%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes72% 0% No28%
Avg goals/match: 3.92
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
68%
Draw or Aston Villa FC
56%
Chelsea FC or Aston Villa FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Chelsea FC38% Draw38% Aston Villa FC24%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
8.2%
2 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
6%
2 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
5%
1 – 0
4.1%
3 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
3.7%
4 – 1
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Aston Villa FC covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 15% 69%
-1.5 31% — 69%
-1 31% 19% 50%
-0.5 50% — 50%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 14% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 8% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.