Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Nottingham Forest FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 30,252 HT 45' · FT 45'

Callum Hudson-Odoi 83' 1–0

Morgan Gibbs-White 27' Y

Y 33' Nico Gonzalez

Y 57' Matheus Nunes

Ryan Yates 76' Y

Callum Hudson-Odoi 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Nottingham Forest FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)
Manchester City FC 5 games · 15 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Chris Kavanagh
Assistant 1 Lee Betts
Assistant 2 Scott Ledger

5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 12.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Manchester City FC	5	15
2	Arsenal FC	5	12
3	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	5	10
4	Brentford FC	5	9
5	Leeds United FC	5	9
6	Liverpool FC	5	9
7	Everton FC	5	9
8	Hull City AFC	5	8
9	Newcastle United FC	5	8
10	Chelsea FC	5	7
11	Ipswich Town FC	5	6
12	Manchester United FC	5	5
13	Nottingham Forest FC	5	5
14	Sunderland AFC	5	4
15	Crystal Palace FC	5	4
16	Aston Villa FC	5	4
17	AFC Bournemouth	5	3
18	Coventry City FC	5	3
19	Fulham FC	5	2
20	Tottenham Hotspur FC	5	2

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 9 games · Avg 2.8 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2024-12-04 Manchester City FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2023-02-18 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	1–0	W
03 Mar	Ipswich Town FC	H	5–4	W
26 Feb	Arsenal FC	H	0–0	D
23 Feb	Newcastle United FC	A	3–4	L
15 Feb	Fulham FC	A	1–2	L
11 Feb	Exeter City FC	A	4–2	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–1	L
01 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	3–1	W
26 Feb	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	1–0	W
23 Feb	Liverpool FC	H	0–2	L
19 Feb	Real Madrid CF	A	1–3	L
15 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	4–0	W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC		Manchester City FC
#13	Position	#1
5	Points	15
5	Played	5
1 / 2 / 2	W / D / L	5 / 0 / 0
4	Scored	13
5	Conceded	5
-1	GD	+8
1.00	PPG	3.00
20%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

33% Both Teams to Score
H2H (9 games)

44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

20% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

40% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 13th (5 pts). Manchester City FC are 1st (15 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/2

61-75

1/1

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Manchester City FC

0-15

1/1

16-30

3/1

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/1

61-75

–/–

76+

4/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Morgan Gibbs-White	1 G	2 A
Dan Ndoye	1 G

Manchester City FC

Erling Haaland	5 G
Rayan Cherki	3 G	2 A
Antoine Semenyo	2 G	3 A
Josko Gvardiol	1 G	2 A
Marc Guehi	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' KICK OFF: Manchester City FC gets underway.
5' Nottingham Forest FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
10' It is a cagey affair so far. Nottingham Forest FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Manchester City FC's compact 4-1-4-1.
15' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
20' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
25' Manchester City FC come into this ranked 4 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
27' Morgan Gibbs-White catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 27.
32' Callum Hudson-Odoi is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Nottingham Forest FC so far.
33' Manchester City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 33.
38' Kevin De Bruyne has been relatively quiet despite scoring 81 goals in his last 439 appearances.
43' Both keepers have barely been tested. Nottingham Forest FC and Manchester City FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
48' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
53' Manchester City FC is showing some good football. However, Manchester City FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
57' The referee has no hesitation. Matheus Nunes is booked for Manchester City FC — card on 57.
61' A tactical swap from Manchester City FC — Rico Lewis on, Matheus Nunes off on 61 minutes.
62' Manchester City FC ring the changes. Nico Gonzalez has done his job and it is now time for Mateo Kovacic to step up.
67' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
69' Omar Marmoush has so much to prove this time. He replaces Savio on 69 minute.
74' Manchester City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
76' It’s a booking for Nottingham Forest FC player. Ryan Yates gets a card.
80' Nottingham Forest FC make a change. Anthony Elanga trudges off to be replaced by Ibrahim Sangare on 80 minutes.
83' The deadlock is broken! Callum Hudson-Odoi gets on the scoresheet on 83 minutes.
84' Callum Hudson-Odoi picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
85' The supporters are chanting for Taiwo Awoniyi. He replaces Chris Wood on 85 minute.
87' Morato gets the nod from Nottingham Forest FC. He replaces Callum Hudson-Odoi and will look to change the dynamic.
Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 1-0 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nuno Espírito Santo

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Julian Alvarez	3
Joao Cancelo	2
Bernardo Silva	2
Josko Gvardiol	2
Rico Lewis	1
Chris Wood	1
Phil Foden	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC W 2025-03-03 Nottingham Forest FC 5–4 Ipswich Town FC W 2025-02-26 Nottingham Forest FC 0–0 Arsenal FC D 2025-02-23 Newcastle United FC 4–3 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-02-15 Fulham FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-02-11 Exeter City FC 2–4 Nottingham Forest FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-02-26 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-23 Manchester City FC 0–2 Liverpool FC L 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-02-15 Manchester City FC 4–0 Newcastle United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.92 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.51 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC30% Draw28% Manchester City FC42%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes48% 0% No52%

Avg goals/match: 2.43

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	89%	11%
± 1.5	70%	30%
± 2.5	43%	57%
± 3.5	23%	77%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

57%

Draw or Manchester City FC

70%

Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC17% Draw49% Manchester City FC34%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

13.1%

0 – 1

12.3%

0 – 0

11%

0 – 2

9.8%

1 – 2

8.9%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

5.4%

0 – 3

4.8%

1 – 3

4.5%

2 – 2

4.2%

2 – 0

3.6%

2 – 3

2.2%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	2%	—	98%
-2	2%	6%	92%
-1.5	8%	—	92%
-1	8%	14%	78%
-0.5	22%	—	78%
+0.5	51%	—	49%
+1	51%	24%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	15%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

23% ✗

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

40% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.