Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Premier League · 2024-25

Nottingham Forest FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Manchester City FC

Sat 8 Mar 2025 · 12:30 UTC City Ground, Nottingham 30,252 HT 45' · FT 45'

Callum Hudson-Odoi 83' 1–0

Morgan Gibbs-White 27' Y

Y 33' Nico Gonzalez

Y 57' Matheus Nunes

Ryan Yates 76' Y

Callum Hudson-Odoi 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Nottingham Forest FC vs Manchester City FC — Premier League at City Ground, Nottingham.

Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Manchester City FC 10 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Chris Kavanagh
Assistant 1 Lee Betts
Assistant 2 Scott Ledger

9 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 16.0 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Arsenal FC	10	27
2	Brighton & Hove Albion FC	10	22
3	Manchester City FC	10	21
4	Liverpool FC	10	18
5	Chelsea FC	10	16
6	Everton FC	10	16
7	AFC Bournemouth	10	15
8	Brentford FC	10	14
9	Leeds United FC	10	14
10	Aston Villa FC	10	13
11	Tottenham Hotspur FC	10	12
12	Newcastle United FC	10	12
13	Hull City AFC	10	11
14	Ipswich Town FC	10	11
15	Fulham FC	10	10
16	Nottingham Forest FC	10	9
17	Coventry City FC	10	9
18	Manchester United FC	10	8
19	Sunderland AFC	10	8
20	Crystal Palace FC	10	7

Head-to-Head

Nottingham Forest FC 10 games · Avg 2.9 goals Manchester City FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC 2024-12-04 Manchester City FC 3–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2024-04-28 Nottingham Forest FC 0–2 Manchester City FC 2023-09-23 Manchester City FC 2–0 Nottingham Forest FC 2023-02-18 Nottingham Forest FC 1–1 Manchester City FC

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Manchester City FC	H	1–0	W
03 Mar	Ipswich Town FC	H	5–4	W
26 Feb	Arsenal FC	H	0–0	D
23 Feb	Newcastle United FC	A	3–4	L
15 Feb	Fulham FC	A	1–2	L
11 Feb	Exeter City FC	A	4–2	W

Manchester City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
08 Mar	Nottingham Forest FC	A	0–1	L
01 Mar	Plymouth Argyle FC	H	3–1	W
26 Feb	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	1–0	W
23 Feb	Liverpool FC	H	0–2	L
19 Feb	Real Madrid CF	A	1–3	L
15 Feb	Newcastle United FC	H	4–0	W

Season Stats

Nottingham Forest FC		Manchester City FC
#16	Position	#3
9	Points	21
10	Played	10
2 / 3 / 5	W / D / L	7 / 0 / 3
9	Scored	21
13	Conceded	13
-4	GD	+8
0.90	PPG	2.10
20%	Win %	70%

Key Stats

40% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

10% Clean Sheets
Nottingham Forest FC this season

30% Clean Sheets
Manchester City FC this season

Nottingham Forest FC are 16th (9 pts). Manchester City FC are 3rd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

0-15

3/–

16-30

2/–

31-45

–/3

46-60

1/4

61-75

2/1

76+

1/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Manchester City FC

0-15

1/4

16-30

4/3

31-45

2/1

46-60

6/2

61-75

3/1

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Nottingham Forest FC

Liam Delap	3 G
Dan Ndoye	2 G
Morgan Gibbs-White	1 G	2 A

Manchester City FC

Erling Haaland	9 G
Rayan Cherki	5 G	2 A
Antoine Semenyo	2 G	3 A
Josko Gvardiol	1 G	3 A
Marc Guehi	1 G	1 A

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Nottingham Forest FC kicks off things out of here…
5' It’s high time Pep Guardiola made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
20' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
25' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Nottingham Forest FC that had 382 games and scored 443 goals.
27' A meaty challenge results in booking for Morgan Gibbs-White on 27.
32' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Abdukodir Khusanov suffering a number of foals already.
33' It’s a booking for Manchester City FC player. Nico Gonzalez gets a card.
38' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Chris Wood made 357 appearances and scored 89 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
43' Neco Williams, a Wales , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
48' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
53' Nottingham Forest FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker Liam Delap scoring 2 goals.
57' It’s gonna be a card for Matheus Nunes.
61' Manchester City FC ring the changes. Matheus Nunes has done his job and it is now time for Rico Lewis to step up.
62' The Manchester City FC bench stirs into life. Nico Gonzalez is withdrawn and Mateo Kovacic gets his opportunity.
67' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
69' It is a substitution in Manchester City FC team. Savio is replaced by Omar Marmoush on 69 minute.
74' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
76' A moment of madness from Ryan Yates on 76 minutes earns him a card. Nottingham Forest FC will be frustrated.
80' Anthony Elanga makes way for Ibrahim Sangare at the 80 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nottingham Forest FC.
83' GOAL! Callum Hudson-Odoi scores on 83. Assisted by Morgan Gibbs-White
84' The referee shows Nottingham Forest FC player a card on 84.
85' Nottingham Forest FC ring the changes. Chris Wood has done his job and it is now time for Taiwo Awoniyi to step up.
87' Callum Hudson-Odoi makes way for Morato at the 87 minute mark. A tactical switch from Nottingham Forest FC.
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Nottingham Forest FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Nottingham Forest FC Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Nuno Espírito Santo

Manchester City FC Lineups

4-1-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Pep Guardiola

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	5
Julian Alvarez	3
Joao Cancelo	2
Liam Delap	2
Bernardo Silva	2
Josko Gvardiol	2
Callum Hudson-Odoi	1
Rico Lewis	1

Head to Head

Nottingham Forest FC Form

2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC W 2025-03-03 Nottingham Forest FC 5–4 Ipswich Town FC W 2025-02-26 Nottingham Forest FC 0–0 Arsenal FC D 2025-02-23 Newcastle United FC 4–3 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-02-15 Fulham FC 2–1 Nottingham Forest FC L 2025-02-11 Exeter City FC 2–4 Nottingham Forest FC W

Manchester City FC Form

2025-03-08 Nottingham Forest FC 1–0 Manchester City FC L 2025-03-01 Manchester City FC 3–1 Plymouth Argyle FC W 2025-02-26 Tottenham Hotspur FC 0–1 Manchester City FC W 2025-02-23 Manchester City FC 0–2 Liverpool FC L 2025-02-19 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Manchester City FC L 2025-02-15 Manchester City FC 4–0 Newcastle United FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.08 Nottingham Forest FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.58 Manchester City FC xG

I would bet for: Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC 73%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Nottingham Forest FC32% Draw27% Manchester City FC41%

Actual: Nottingham Forest FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.66

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	91%	9%
± 1.5	75%	25%
± 2.5	49%	51%
± 3.5	28%	72%
± 4.5	14%	86%

Double Chance

Nottingham Forest FC or Draw

59%

Draw or Manchester City FC

68%

Nottingham Forest FC or Manchester City FC

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Nottingham Forest FC20% Draw47% Manchester City FC33%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

12.8%

0 – 1

10%

1 – 2

9.1%

0 – 0

8.9%

0 – 2

8.5%

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 1

6.2%

2 – 2

1 – 3

4.8%

0 – 3

4.4%

2 – 0

2 – 3

2.7%

Asian Handicap — Nottingham Forest FC

Handicap	Nottingham Forest FC covers	Push	Manchester City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	7%	90%
-1.5	10%	—	90%
-1	10%	15%	75%
-0.5	25%	—	75%
+0.5	53%	—	47%
+1	53%	22%	25%
+1.5	75%	—	25%
+2	75%	15%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

Nottingham Forest FC keeps clean sheet

21% ✗

Manchester City FC keeps clean sheet

34% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.