Thursday , 2 July 2026

Aston Villa FC vs Bologna FC 1909, Champions League 2024-25 LEAGUE STAGE

Tue 22 Oct 2024 · 19:00 UTC Villa Park 41,847 HT 45' · FT 45'
John McGinn 55' 1–0
Jhon Duran 64' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

Aston Villa FC vs Bologna FC 1909Champions League at Villa Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Joao Pedro Pinheiro
  • Assistant 1 Bruno Jesus (Portugal)
  • Assistant 2 Luciano Maia
20 games this season 🟨 1.4/game 5.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Head-to-Head

4
Aston Villa FC 4 games · Avg 2.8 goals Bologna FC 1909

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Bologna FC 1909 H 2–0 W
19 Oct Fulham FC A 3–1 W
06 Oct Manchester United FC H 0–0 D
02 Oct FC Bayern München H 1–0 W
29 Sep Ipswich Town FC A 2–2 D
21 Sep Wolverhampton Wanderers FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
22 Oct Aston Villa FC A 0–2 L
19 Oct Genoa CFC A 2–2 D
06 Oct Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
02 Oct Liverpool FC A 0–2 L
28 Sep Atalanta BC H 1–1 D
22 Sep AC Monza A 2–1 W

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.57 Aston Villa FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.7 Bologna FC 1909 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 59%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC58% Draw26% Bologna FC 190916%
Actual: Aston Villa FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes41% 0% No59%
Avg goals/match: 2.27
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Aston Villa FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Bologna FC 1909
42%
Aston Villa FC or Bologna FC 1909
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Aston Villa FC38% Draw49% Bologna FC 190913%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
15.3%
0 – 0
12.5%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
3 – 0
6.3%
0 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
4.6%
1 – 2
3.8%
2 – 2
3.1%
4 – 0
2.5%
0 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Aston Villa FC

Handicap Aston Villa FC covers Push Bologna FC 1909 covers
-2.5 13% 87%
-2 13% 18% 69%
-1.5 31% 69%
-1 31% 26% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 85% 15%
+1 85% 11% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Aston Villa FC keeps clean sheet
50%
Bologna FC 1909 keeps clean sheet
22%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.