Thursday , 15 October 2026

Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
1 – 0
Full Time
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,311 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mikel Merino 20' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC — Premier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
7 games this season 🟨 3.9/game ⚽ 14.4 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar PSV H 2–2 D
09 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar PSV A 7–1 W
26 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
09 Mar Leicester City FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Southampton FC H 4–0 W
22 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
14 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Chelsea FC
#2 Position #6
15 Points 10
6 Played 6
5 / 0 / 1 W / D / L 3 / 1 / 2
10 Scored 15
5 Conceded 13
+5 GD +2
2.50 PPG 1.67
83% Win % 50%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season

Arsenal FC are 2nd (15 pts). Chelsea FC are 6th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Chelsea FC
0-15
7/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
4/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 5 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 4 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 3 A
Jordan Henderson 2 G 1 A
Pedro Neto 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Arsenal FC have kicked off against Chelsea FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' David Raya is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 10' It’s high time Enzo Maresca made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 15' The home supporters are growing impatient. Arsenal FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 20' Mikel Merino puts Arsenal FC on the lead.
  • 25' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 30' Levi Colwill catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 30.
  • 35' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 40' Martin Odegaard has been relatively quiet despite scoring 68 goals in his last 282 appearances.
  • 45' Martinelli, a Brazil , has 18 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 50' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 52' It’s a booking for Chelsea FC player. Pedro Neto gets a card.
  • 54' Gabriel was booked on 54.
  • 58' That is a card for Arsenal FC. Thomas Partey will be fuming at that decision.
  • 59' It’s a booking for Chelsea FC player. Wesley Fofana gets a card.
  • 64' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 65' Martin Odegaard has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 65.
  • 70' Arsenal FC is showing some good football. However, Arsenal FC are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 75' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Arsenal FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 76' Time for substitution for Chelsea FC. Christopher Nkunku is replaced by Kiernan Dewsbury Hall.
  • 78' Time for substitution for Arsenal FC. Martinelli is replaced by Ethan Nwaneri.
  • 82' Romeo Lavia gets the nod from Chelsea FC. He replaces Reece James and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 86' Chelsea FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Tosin Adarabioyo is hanging Benoit Badiashile on the field on 86 minute.
  • 90' Arsenal FC ring the changes. Martin Odegaard has done his job and it is now time for Kieran Tierney to step up.
  • Another three points for Arsenal FC.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.37 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.06 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Arsenal FC to win 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC64% Draw20% Chelsea FC16%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes59% 0% No41%
Avg goals/match: 3.43
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 44%
56%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
84%
Draw or Chelsea FC
36%
Arsenal FC or Chelsea FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC48% Draw38% Chelsea FC14%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
9.1%
1 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
Actual
3 – 1
7.3%
3 – 0
7%
2 – 2
4.9%
0 – 0
4.6%
4 – 1
4.4%
1 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
4.1%
3 – 2
3.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 24% — 76%
-2 24% 19% 56%
-1.5 44% — 56%
-1 44% 22% 35%
-0.5 65% — 35%
+0.5 85% — 15%
+1 85% 9% 5%
+1.5 95% — 5%
+2 95% 4% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
35% ✗
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.