Thursday , 2 July 2026

Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FC, Premier League 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2024-25
1 0
Full Time
Sun 16 Mar 2025 · 13:30 UTC Emirates Stadium 60,311 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mikel Merino 20' 1–0

Overview

Match Preview

Arsenal FC vs Chelsea FCPremier League at Emirates Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Assistant 1 Lee Betts
  • Assistant 2 James Mainwaring
8 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.1 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Chelsea FC H 1–0 W
12 Mar PSV H 2–2 D
09 Mar Manchester United FC A 1–1 D
04 Mar PSV A 7–1 W
26 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
16 Mar Arsenal FC A 0–1 L
09 Mar Leicester City FC H 1–0 W
25 Feb Southampton FC H 4–0 W
22 Feb Aston Villa FC A 1–2 L
14 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 0–3 L
08 Feb Brighton & Hove Albion FC A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Arsenal FC Chelsea FC
#8 Position #17
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
61% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Arsenal FC are 8th (0 pts). Chelsea FC are 17th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Emirates Stadium!
  • 5' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 10' Levi Colwill, a England , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 15' Arsenal FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Chelsea FC backline.
  • 20' A stunning finish from Mikel Merino — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 25' Jurrien Timber is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Chelsea FC tonight.
  • 30' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Levi Colwill on 30 minutes.
  • 35' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 40' Arsenal FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 45' Arsenal FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 50' It is a cagey affair so far. Arsenal FC in their 4-3-3 trying to find a way past Chelsea FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 52' The referee calls foul for Pedro Neto. He receives a card.
  • 54' A moment of madness from Gabriel on 54 minutes earns him a card. Arsenal FC will be frustrated.
  • 58' A meaty challenge results in booking for Thomas Partey on 58.
  • 59' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Wesley Fofana.
  • 64' Thomas Partey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 58 Yellow cards this season.
  • 65' Martin Odegaard was booked on 65.
  • 70' Both keepers have barely been tested. Arsenal FC and Chelsea FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 75' Chelsea FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 76' The whistle greets Christopher Nkunku as he departs to be replaced by Kiernan Dewsbury Hall.
  • 78' It is a substitution in Arsenal FC team. Martinelli is replaced by Ethan Nwaneri on 78 minute.
  • 82' Romeo Lavia is ready to make an impact after coming on for Reece James at the 82 minute mark.
  • 86' It is a substitution in Chelsea FC team. Benoit Badiashile is replaced by Tosin Adarabioyo on 86 minute.
  • 90' Kieran Tierney gets the nod from Arsenal FC. He replaces Martin Odegaard and will look to change the dynamic.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Arsenal FC players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.96 Arsenal FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.38 Chelsea FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 84% + Under — clean sheet likely 79%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Arsenal FC52% Draw34% Chelsea FC14%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes21% 0% No79%
Avg goals/match: 1.34
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 71%
29%
± 1.5 39%
61%
± 2.5 16%
84%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Arsenal FC or Draw
86%
Draw or Chelsea FC
48%
Arsenal FC or Chelsea FC
66%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Arsenal FC28% Draw64% Chelsea FC8%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
28.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
11.3%
1 – 1
10.4%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 2
1.8%
3 – 1
1.7%
0 – 2
1.6%
2 – 2
1%
4 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — Arsenal FC

Handicap Arsenal FC covers Push Chelsea FC covers
-2.5 5% 95%
-2 5% 13% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 29% 53%
-0.5 47% 53%
+0.5 88% 12%
+1 88% 10% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
69%
Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.