Thursday , 2 July 2026

PSV vs Arsenal FC, Champions League 2024-25 LAST 16

1 7
Full Time
Tue 4 Mar 2025 · 20:00 UTC Philips Stadion 34,400 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 18' Jurrien Timber
0–2 21' Ethan Nwaneri
0–3 31' Mikel Merino
Noa Lang pen 43' 1–3
1–4 47' Martin Odegaard
1–5 48' Leandro Trossard
1–6 73' Martin Odegaard
1–7 85' Riccardo Calafiori

Overview

Match Preview

PSV vs Arsenal FCChampions League at Philips Stadion.

  • PSV 8 games · 8 pts (2025/26)
  • Arsenal FC 8 games · 24 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

  • Referee Jesus Gil Manzano (Spain)
  • Assistant 1 Diego Barbero Sevilla (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Angel Nevado Rodriguez (Spain)
8 games this season 🟨 0.9/game 3.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar Arsenal FC H 1–7 L
01 Mar Go Ahead Eagles A 2–3 L
19 Feb Juventus FC H 3–1 W
15 Feb FC Utrecht H 2–2 D
11 Feb Juventus FC A 1–2 L
08 Feb Willem II Tilburg H 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Mar PSV A 7–1 W
26 Feb Nottingham Forest FC A 0–0 D
22 Feb West Ham United FC H 0–1 L
15 Feb Leicester City FC A 2–0 W
02 Feb Manchester City FC H 5–1 W
29 Jan Girona FC A 2–1 W

Season Stats

PSV Arsenal FC
#28 Position #1
8 Points 24
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 8 / 0 / 0
16 Scored 23
16 Conceded 4
+0 GD +19
1.00 PPG 3.00
25% Win % 100%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
PSV this season
67% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

PSV are 28th (8 pts). Arsenal FC are 1st (24 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Arsenal FC
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/1
61-75
/
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between PSV and Arsenal FC is underway.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Luuk de Jong made 436 appearances and scored 135 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Thomas Partey needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 18' Arsenal FC is taking the lead after the goal scored by Jurrien Timber on 18.
  • 21' GOAL! Ethan Nwaneri scores on 21. Assisted by Myles Lewis-Skelly
  • 24' It’s gonna be a card for Myles Lewis-Skelly.
  • 29' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Arsenal FC that had 414 games and scored 725 goals.
  • 31' GOAL! Mikel Merino scores on 31.
  • 35' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Myles Lewis-Skelly departs to be replaced by Riccardo Calafiori.
  • 40' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 42' Arsenal FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 42.
  • 43' GOAL! Noa Lang scores on 43. Assisted by Luuk de Jong
  • 46' Another substitution for PSV to replace Ryan Flamingo by Adamo Nagalo on 46 minute.
  • 47' Goal! Martin Odegaard scores his 65 goal in 282 matches.
  • 48' What a strike from Leandro Trossard! The score is 1-5.
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' The travelling Arsenal FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 63' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 65' Johan Bakayoko has so much to prove this time. He replaces Luuk de Jong on 65 minute.
  • 69' Jurrien Timber was booked on 69.
  • 71' Another substitution for Arsenal FC to replace Ethan Nwaneri by Raheem Sterling on 71 minute.
  • 73' GOAL! Martin Odegaard scores on 73. Assisted by Mikel Merino
  • 77' The Arsenal FC manager makes a substitution. Mikel Merino departs to be replaced by Kieran Tierney.
  • 82' Another change for PSV made on 82 minute. Olivier Boscagli leaves to be changed by Armando Obispo.
  • 83' Another change for PSV made on 83 minute. Ismael Saibari leaves to be changed by Joey Veerman.
  • 85' Goal! Riccardo Calafiori scores his 8 goal in 527 matches.
  • 89' The referee calls foul for Tyrell Malacia. He receives a card.
  • Full Time. Arsenal FC beats PSV

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
0.86 PSV xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
3.18 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 75% + Arsenal FC to win 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
PSV14% Draw17% Arsenal FC69%
Actual: Arsenal FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 4.04
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 75%
25%
± 3.5 56%
44%
± 4.5 36%
64%

Double Chance

PSV or Draw
30%
Draw or Arsenal FC
86%
PSV or Arsenal FC
83%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
PSV8% Draw30% Arsenal FC62%
Actual: Arsenal FC win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 1–7 not predicted
1 – 7
Actual
0 – 3
9.4%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 3
7.9%
1 – 2
7.6%
0 – 4
7.3%
1 – 4
6.3%
0 – 1
5.7%
1 – 1
5.5%
0 – 5
4.7%
1 – 5
4.1%
2 – 3
3.4%
2 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — PSV

Handicap PSV covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 2% 98%
-1.5 2% 98%
-1 2% 5% 93%
-0.5 7% 93%
+0.5 19% 81%
+1 19% 18% 63%
+1.5 37% 63%
+2 37% 20% 43%
+2.5 57% 43%

Clean Sheet

PSV keeps clean sheet
5%
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
43%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.