Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Chelsea FC vs Arsenal FC, Premier League 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Premier League · 2023-24
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 21 Oct 2023 · 16:30 UTC Stamford Bridge HT 45' · FT 45'
Cole Palmer pen 15' 1–0
Mykhailo Mudryk 48' 2–0
2–1 77' Declan Rice
2–2 84' Leandro Trossard

Overview

Match Preview

Chelsea FC vs Arsenal FC — Premier League at Stamford Bridge.

Match Details

  • Referee Chris Kavanagh
  • Assistant 1 Richard West
  • Assistant 2 Matt Wilkes (England)
5 games this season 🟨 3.2/game ⚽ 12.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Arsenal FC H 2–2 D
07 Oct Burnley FC A 4–1 W
02 Oct Fulham FC A 2–0 W
24 Sep Aston Villa FC H 0–1 L
17 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 0–0 D
02 Sep Nottingham Forest FC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Oct Chelsea FC A 2–2 D
08 Oct Manchester City FC H 1–0 W
03 Oct Racing Club de Lens A 1–2 L
30 Sep AFC Bournemouth A 4–0 W
24 Sep Tottenham Hotspur FC H 2–2 D
20 Sep PSV H 4–0 W

Season Stats

Chelsea FC Arsenal FC
#10 Position #2
7 Points 12
5 Played 5
2 / 1 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 1
10 Scored 8
12 Conceded 4
-2 GD +4
1.40 PPG 2.40
40% Win % 80%

Key Stats

68% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
63% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Chelsea FC this season
60% Clean Sheets
Arsenal FC this season

Chelsea FC are 10th (7 pts). Arsenal FC are 2nd (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Chelsea FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
–/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/1
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Arsenal FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
2/–
31-45
–/2
46-60
4/1
61-75
–/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Chelsea FC
Joao Pedro 3 G 3 A
Morgan Rogers 3 G 1 A
Cole Palmer 2 G 2 A
Pedro Neto 1 G
Romeo Lavia 1 G
Arsenal FC
Bukayo Saka 3 G
Martin Odegaard 2 G
Kai Havertz 2 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.32 Chelsea FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.3 Arsenal FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 69% + Both teams to score 66%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC26% Draw24% Arsenal FC50%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes66% 0% No34%
Avg goals/match: 3.62
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 87%
13%
± 2.5 69%
31%
± 3.5 48%
52%
± 4.5 30%
70%

Double Chance

Chelsea FC or Draw
49%
Draw or Arsenal FC
74%
Chelsea FC or Arsenal FC
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Chelsea FC18% Draw39% Arsenal FC43%
Actual: Chelsea FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
9.1%
1 – 1
9%
0 – 2
7.1%
1 – 3
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
5.7%
0 – 3
5.3%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 3
4.5%
1 – 4
4%
0 – 0
4%
0 – 4
3%

Asian Handicap — Chelsea FC

Handicap Chelsea FC covers Push Arsenal FC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 12% 79%
-0.5 21% — 79%
+0.5 42% — 58%
+1 42% 21% 37%
+1.5 63% — 37%
+2 63% 17% 20%
+2.5 80% — 20%

Clean Sheet

Chelsea FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓
Arsenal FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.